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NetSol Technologies Inc. reports 187% Net Income growth in 2018 and 5.7 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 8.5% to 14.2%

09/26/2018 • About NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) • By InTwits

NetSol Technologies Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 14.2% in FY2018, 8.5% in FY2017, 20.8% in FY2016, 10.1% in FY2015, -12.0% in FY2014
  • NetSol Technologies Inc. has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 13.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $2m in FY2018, $2m in FY2017, $3m in FY2016, $4m in FY2015, $13m in FY2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


NetSol Technologies Inc.'s Revenue decreased on 6.8%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - revenue surged on 12.5%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2015 at 40.3% and was decelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.7 pp from 8.5% to 14.2% in FY2018.

Gross Margin increased on 4.5 pp from 43.5% to 47.9% in FY2018. Gross Margin grew at 5.8 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 40.5% to 39.2% in FY2018.

Net Income margin jumped on 14.7 pp from -7.6% to 7.1% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 NetSol Technologies Inc. had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.0%. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.0 pp from 7.0% in FY2015 to 4.0% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.2%. During FY2014-FY2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2017 at 3.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.5%) and ROE (6.8%). ROIC increased on 4.6 pp from -1.2% to 3.5% in FY2018. ROE jumped on 14.6 pp from -7.8% to 6.8% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x. Debt dropped on 15.6% while cash surged on 55.9%.

NetSol Technologies Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (248.0%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 7.8x and P/E 18.6x.

Management team


The company's CEO is Najeeb Ullah Ghauri. Najeeb Ullah Ghauri is a founder and has 12 years tenure with the company. Roger K Almond is a NetSol Technologies Inc.'s CFO. Roger K Almond has spent 5 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2018

NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue36.38551.04964.55065.36660.930-6.8%
Gross Profit8.66417.45730.80228.40829.2072.8%
SG&A19.61820.30122.78926.49423.875-9.9%
EBITDA-4.3595.17813.4545.5618.62855.2%
Net Income-11.356-5.5493.403-4.9784.307
Balance Sheet
Cash11.46314.16911.55814.17322.08955.9%
Short Term Debt5.7914.3684.92810.5848.907-15.8%
Long Term Debt1.5320.3630.4780.3670.331-9.9%
Cash flow
Capex13.2363.5593.3362.2032.44911.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-27.0%40.3%26.4%1.3%-6.8%
EBITDA growth-122.8%-218.8%159.8%-58.7%55.2%

Gross Margin23.8%34.2%47.7%43.5%47.9%4.5%
EBITDA Margin-12.0%10.1%20.8%8.5%14.2%5.7%
SG&A, % of revenue53.9%39.8%35.3%40.5%39.2%-1.3%
Net Income Margin-31.2%-10.9%5.3%-7.6%7.1%14.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue36.4%7.0%5.2%3.4%4.0%0.6%

ROIC-14.2%-6.2%7.8%-1.2%3.5%4.6%
ROE-16.9%-9.1%5.5%-7.8%6.8%14.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.8x-0.5x-0.6x-1.5x-0.9x

NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue13141717 -24.9%-8.9%-5.0%12.5%
EBITDA0243 -87.7%37.9%18.6%
Net Income-0131 309.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash9101322 -23.3%5.3%50.4%55.9%
Short Term Debt101099 127.2%131.9%61.0%-15.8%
Long Term Debt0000 -43.0%-50.0%-40.7%-9.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin37.5%46.3%53.9%51.2% -10.3%4.3%3.8%18.2%
EBITDA Margin 2.3% 11.8% 24.1% 15.1% -12.0%4.0%4.8%23.8%
Net Income Margin -2.9% 4.4% 16.8% 7.1% -0.6%18.1%12.9%26.9%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide NetSol Technologies Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (150 companies)27.9%13.5%13.6%15.7%15.2%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)40.3%26.4%1.3%-6.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (149 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%66.0%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)23.8%34.2%47.7%43.5%47.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (151 companies)-10.1%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)-12.0%10.1%20.8%8.5%14.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (152 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)36.4%7.0%5.2%3.4%4.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (178 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-9.8%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)-14.2%-6.2%7.8%-1.2%3.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.4x-0.9x-0.9x-0.9x-0.6x
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)-1.8x-0.5x-0.6x-1.5x