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Fabrinet reports 13.3% Net Income decline in 2018 and 3.4% Revenue decline

08/20/2018 • About Fabrinet ($FN) • By InTwits

Fabrinet reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Fabrinet has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $34m in FY2018, $68m in FY2017, $41m in FY2016, $51m in FY2015, $11m in FY2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 12.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.4%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it was 6.8% YoY. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth topped in FY2017 at 45.4%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.9 pp from 18.2% to 22.1% in 2018.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.89 pp from 12.1% to 11.2% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin topped in FY2016 at 12.2% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in FY2015 at 5.1% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. SBC as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 0.25 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 0.70 pp from 6.8% to 6.1% in FY2018. The efficient tax rate was 4.4% in FY2018 while the average for the last five years was 5.6%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Fabrinet's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5% in FY2018. Fabrinet's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.2 pp from 6.6% in FY2015 to 2.5% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.61 pp from 18.6% to 18.0% in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 16.8% to 18.8% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.83 pp from 17.2% to 18.1% in FY2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (12.0%) while ROE is low (11.8%). ROIC decreased on 3.4 pp from 15.4% to 12.0% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 3.9 pp from 15.7% to 11.8% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.5x Debt / EBITDA. Debt dropped on 10.1% while cash surged on 18.1%.

Fabrinet has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 26.0x. Fabrinet has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (4,271.9%).

Average interest expence paid by the company was 5.5% in FY2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 13.3x and P/E 20.6x.

Management team


Seamus Grady is a Fabrinet's CEO. Seamus Grady is a founder and has spent 1 year with the company. CEO total compensation was $16,657,459 in FY2018 which included $1,492,500 salary. The company's CFO Toh-Seng Ng has spent 7 years with the company.

Insider ownership is 1.7%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 10,579 employees. The number of employees showed almost no change in 2018. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $129,684 and it decreased on 3.8%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/29/2018

Fabrinet ($FN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue6787749771,4201,372-3.4%
Gross Profit7488120171153-10.5%
SG&A2839506658-11.9%
EBITDA1026087130123-5.2%
EBIT91477010694-11.3%
Interest expence112348.6%
Tax14674-42.7%
Net Income9244629784-13.3%
Stock Based Compensation68102723-14.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash23311314313415818.1%
Accounts Receivable101135196264247-6.6%
Inventory1251311812392588.0%
Accounts Payable1011151722152202.3%
Short Term Debt63624494-92.4%
Long Term Debt115362461159.0%
Cash flow
Capex1151416834-50.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth5.7%14.1%26.3%45.4%-3.4%
EBITDA growth25.9%-41.1%45.0%48.7%-5.2%

Gross Margin11.0%11.3%12.2%12.1%11.2%-0.9%
EBITDA Margin15.0%7.8%8.9%9.1%9.0%-0.2%
EBIT Margin13.5%6.1%7.1%7.5%6.8%-0.6%
SG&A, % of revenue4.1%5.1%5.1%4.6%4.2%-0.4%
SBC, % of revenue0.8%1.0%1.0%1.9%1.6%-0.2%
Net Income Margin13.5%5.6%6.3%6.8%6.1%-0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%6.6%4.2%4.8%2.5%-2.3%

ROIC22.9%9.8%12.3%15.4%12.0%-3.4%
ROE24.4%9.6%12.0%15.7%11.8%-3.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.1x-1.2x-0.9x-0.5x-0.8x-0.3x
Interest expence / Average debt4.3%2.2%3.1%5.0%5.5%0.5%
People
Insider ownership1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7%0.0%
Employees9,33010,54110,5790.4%
Revenue/Employee, th. $105135130-3.8%

Fabrinet ($FN) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue357337332345 7.6%-4.0%-9.4%-6.8%
EBITDA32293230 11.0%-6.3%-4.9%-17.3%
Net Income21192123 -7.6%-23.6%-2.8%-16.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash112135142158 5.5%57.5%4.2%18.1%
Short Term Debt4853534 26.9%36.9%8.1%-92.4%
Long Term Debt20171361 -40.8%-45.2%-51.1%159.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin11.3%11.0%11.1%11.3% -0.6%-1.2%-0.9%-0.8%
EBITDA Margin 9.0% 8.6% 9.5% 8.8% 0.3%-0.2%0.5%-1.1%
Net Income Margin 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 6.6% -1.0%-1.5%0.4%-0.8%

Peers in Electronic Manufacturing Servi


Below we provide Fabrinet benchmarking against other companies in Electronic Manufacturing Servi industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)41.9%-7.8%-24.0%118.4%
Alpine 4 Technologies Ltd ($ALPP)35,893.8%5.8%71.5%
Kemet Corporation ($KEM)-1.3%-10.7%3.1%58.4%
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)-3.5%-23.9%-17.1%55.2%
Deswell Industries, Inc. ($DSWL)-7.0%17.1%-0.1%36.3%
 
Median (27 companies)2.6%1.2%1.9%9.8%
Fabrinet ($FN)14.1%26.3%45.4%-3.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)68.2%66.0%86.9%77.1%89.2%
Andrea Electronics Corp ($ANDR)83.8%99.1%88.5%96.2%70.4%
Data I/O Corporation ($DAIO)53.9%52.4%55.0%58.9%59.4%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)54.1%54.6%54.9%56.6%54.8%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)32.2%33.2%35.4%33.2%35.1%
 
Median (27 companies)14.7%19.4%22.2%15.8%15.2%
Fabrinet ($FN)11.0%11.3%12.2%12.1%11.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)41.5%42.4%41.8%44.7%40.9%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)19.7%19.3%20.9%20.4%21.4%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)14.7%9.0%20.7%14.0%17.8%
Methode Electronics, Inc. ($MEI)12.6%15.4%16.5%16.5%16.1%
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)12.4%6.7%-12.1%3.1%15.9%
 
Median (27 companies)4.4%5.2%4.8%4.5%4.7%
Fabrinet ($FN)15.0%7.8%8.9%9.1%9.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Maxwell Technologies, Inc. ($MXWL)3.7%2.5%4.9%6.6%11.3%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)11.5%7.8%12.6%9.0%11.0%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)5.8%4.7%6.7%6.2%8.8%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)5.3%4.9%5.3%5.6%6.7%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)3.2%2.5%5.2%4.3%6.1%
 
Median (27 companies)2.7%2.4%2.8%2.7%2.4%
Fabrinet ($FN)1.6%6.6%4.2%4.8%2.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)8.5%4.6%-18.7%0.9%29.2%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)27.0%27.8%25.1%29.9%22.9%
Methode Electronics, Inc. ($MEI)19.7%26.1%22.7%20.8%19.2%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)17.3%15.1%15.9%16.2%18.4%
Kemet Corporation ($KEM)-2.8%3.8%6.2%6.9%16.9%
 
Median (29 companies)4.4%4.9%6.2%4.2%6.4%
Fabrinet ($FN)22.9%9.8%12.3%15.4%12.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpine 4 Technologies Ltd ($ALPP)34.1x65.7x
SigmaTron International, Inc. ($SGMA)2.7x4.1x2.4x3.4x16.0x
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)3.5x1.8x1.0x11.3x
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)7.1x14.0x2.0x5.6x4.9x
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)0.2x3.4x2.6x2.5x3.9x
 
Median (22 companies)0.2x-0.2x0.6x0.5x0.5x
Fabrinet ($FN)-2.1x-1.2x-0.9x-0.5x-0.8x