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Extreme Networks, Inc. revenue jumped on 64.4% while EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 4.3% to 1.1%

08/08/2018 • About Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR) • By InTwits

Extreme Networks, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Extreme Networks, Inc. is a fast growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 64.4%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 26.8% at FY2018 ROIC -14.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 1.1% in FY2018, 4.3% in FY2017, 3.3% in FY2016, -2.6% in FY2015, -2.1% in FY2014
  • Extreme Networks, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $40m in FY2018, $10m in FY2017, $5m in FY2016, $7m in FY2015, $22m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -14.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.1x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Extreme Networks, Inc.'s Revenue jumped on 64.4%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 55.7% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in FY2016 at -4.4% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 13.5 pp from 8.0% to -5.6% in 2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2015 at 50.6% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 33.6% to 32.4% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue declined at -1.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.3 pp from -1.4% to -4.8% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.1%. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 2.8 pp from 1.3% in FY2015 to 4.1% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3%. To secure its fast growth Extreme Networks, Inc. made large investments to CAPEX (373% of EBITDA). During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 1.0% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-14.9%) and ROE (-42.6%). ROIC dropped on 14.5 pp from -0.41% to -14.9% in FY2018. ROE dropped on 34.0 pp from -8.7% to -42.6% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 18.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 8.5x from -1.5x to 7.1x in FY2018. Debt jumped on 113% while cash decreased on 7.1%.

Extreme Networks, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,344.9%).

Management team


Extreme Networks, Inc.'s CEO Edward B Meyercord III "Ed" is a founder and has spent 4 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2018

Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue519.6552.9528.4598.1983.164.4%
Gross Profit267.3279.7270.8324.5534.564.7%
SG&A197.6211.4188.5200.8318.158.4%
EBITDA-10.8-14.217.625.610.8-57.6%
Net Income-57.3-71.6-31.9-8.5-46.8
Balance Sheet
Cash73.276.294.1130.5121.1-7.1%
Short Term Debt29.711.417.912.39.0-26.7%
Long Term Debt91.955.537.680.4188.7134.7%
Cash flow
Capex22.47.25.310.440.4287.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth73.6%6.4%-4.4%13.2%64.4%
EBITDA growth-164.2%31.2%-224.0%45.3%-57.6%

Gross Margin51.5%50.6%51.2%54.3%54.4%0.1%
EBITDA Margin-2.1%-2.6%3.3%4.3%1.1%-3.2%
SG&A, % of revenue38.0%38.2%35.7%33.6%32.4%-1.2%
Net Income Margin-11.0%-13.0%-6.0%-1.4%-4.8%-3.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.3%1.3%1.0%1.7%4.1%2.4%

ROIC-21.3%-27.6%-15.6%-0.4%-14.9%-14.5%
ROE-33.1%-54.9%-32.8%-8.7%-42.6%-34.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.2x-1.5x7.1x8.5x

Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue212231262278 72.7%47.8%75.6%55.7%
EBITDA12-19135 97.0%-676.8%441.6%-74.0%
Net Income4-32-14-6 -146.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash153127103121 49.6%22.5%-12.0%-7.1%
Short Term Debt1822259 -7.3%123.8%121.7%-26.7%
Long Term Debt150161154189 359.0%84.5%83.8%134.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin53.1%55.8%54.6%54.0% -0.7%4.9%-0.9%-3.0%
EBITDA Margin 5.6% -8.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.7%-10.6%3.4%-9.1%
Net Income Margin 2.1% -13.8% -5.2% -2.0% 6.8%-11.1%-1.9%-8.8%

Peers in Communications Equipment


Below we provide Extreme Networks, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Communications Equipment industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)30.6%75.2%
Optical Cable Corporation ($OCC)-11.3%-12.2%-0.8%37.0%
ParkerVision Inc ($PRKR)37,601.2%-97.5%35.0%
Network-1 Technologies, Inc. ($NTIP)34.6%292.9%-74.7%34.4%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)43.4%34.8%45.8%30.7%
 
Median (66 companies)-0.4%7.6%5.1%2.8%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)6.4%-4.4%13.2%64.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)82.1%82.7%83.1%83.1%83.3%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)82.1%82.4%81.8%81.3%82.2%
Radcom Ltd. ($RDCM)63.2%76.8%69.6%71.8%74.0%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)70.8%69.1%73.4%73.4%
NetScout Systems, Inc. ($NTCT)78.7%79.2%65.6%70.2%72.4%
 
Median (67 companies)41.4%41.3%43.7%41.0%40.5%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)51.5%50.6%51.2%54.3%54.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Network-1 Technologies, Inc. ($NTIP)35.5%33.7%50.6%37.8%42.8%
InterDigital, Inc. ($IDCC)50.8%58.1%73.6%67.3%41.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)25.7%39.7%40.3%38.1%37.4%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. ($UBNT)34.7%25.5%37.3%34.3%32.8%
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. ($ITRN)32.4%30.5%29.9%29.9%30.4%
 
Median (65 companies)5.6%6.1%5.9%6.5%5.4%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)-2.1%-2.6%3.3%4.3%1.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)132.5%124.8%245.2%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)22.8%26.5%26.7%33.0%32.1%
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ($AAOI)31.5%30.1%19.0%17.5%26.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)19.7%43.8%39.9%30.9%26.5%
Finisar Corporation ($FNSR)11.3%11.9%9.4%9.7%16.8%
 
Median (65 companies)2.2%2.3%2.0%1.9%1.6%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)4.3%1.3%1.0%1.7%4.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)33.9%40.8%43.1%46.9%47.9%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. ($UBNT)61.4%31.5%41.5%38.5%39.1%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)-16.1%18.9%26.4%39.5%35.3%
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. ($ITRN)50.9%46.8%50.1%48.5%35.1%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)43.2%39.7%21.9%
 
Median (70 companies)2.1%2.3%2.4%2.2%0.7%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)-21.3%-27.6%-15.6%-0.4%-14.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)3.4x2.5x3.2x2.5x5.8x
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. ($COMM)2.3x9.6x4.3x4.6x4.4x
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)3.9x
Finisar Corporation ($FNSR)-0.3x0.2x-0.5x1.6x3.8x
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)-4.7x-4.1x3.4x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.7x-0.7x-0.8x-0.6x-0.3x
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)-2.2x-1.5x7.1x