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Key Tronic Corporation reports 47.0% EBITDA decline in 2018 and 1.6 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 3.6% to 2.0%

08/07/2018 • About Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC) • By InTwits

Key Tronic Corporation reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Key Tronic Corporation has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $5m in FY2018, $9m in FY2017, $13m in FY2016, $9m in FY2015, $8m in FY2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 0.7%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.9x while industry average is 3.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Key Tronic Corporation's Revenue decreased on 4.6%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - revenue decreased slightly on 1.3%. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth topped in FY2015 at 42.1% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 10.9 pp from -15.1% to -4.2% in FY2018.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.53 pp from 8.2% to 7.7% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 1.2% to -0.30% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.0%. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.0 pp from 2.0% in FY2015 to 1.0% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.9%. Battling declining revenue Key Tronic Corporation invested a large share of EBITDA (50.9%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (0.7%) and negative ROE (-1.1%). ROIC decreased on 5.8 pp from 6.5% to 0.75% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 6.2 pp from 5.1% to -1.1% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.4x from 2.5x to 3.9x in FY2018. Debt dropped on 18.5% while cash decreased on 8.0%.

Key Tronic Corporation has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 5.9% of short term debt.

Management team


Key Tronic Corporation's CEO Craig D Gates is a founder and has spent 10 years with the company. Brett R Larsen is a Key Tronic Corporation's CFO. Brett R Larsen has spent 4 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2018

Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue305.4434.0485.0467.8446.3-4.6%
Gross Profit26.933.338.838.334.2-10.8%
SG&A12.020.922.022.422.3-0.1%
EBITDA13.112.616.616.88.9-47.0%
Net Income7.64.36.55.6-1.3-123.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash5.80.41.00.40.3-8.0%
Short Term Debt7.95.05.05.85.80.0%
Long Term Debt0.037.939.337.129.2-21.4%
Cash flow
Capex7.88.813.39.34.5-51.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-15.4%42.1%11.7%-3.5%-4.6%
EBITDA growth-36.1%-4.3%32.0%1.2%-47.0%

Gross Margin8.8%7.7%8.0%8.2%7.7%-0.5%
EBITDA Margin4.3%2.9%3.4%3.6%2.0%-1.6%
SG&A, % of revenue3.9%4.8%4.5%4.8%5.0%0.2%
Net Income Margin2.5%1.0%1.3%1.2%-0.3%-1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.5%2.0%2.7%2.0%1.0%-1.0%

ROIC9.2%5.4%7.5%6.5%0.7%-5.8%
ROE7.7%4.2%6.3%5.1%-1.1%-6.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.2x3.4x2.6x2.5x3.9x1.4x

Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue109112108117 -6.8%-5.7%-4.6%-1.3%
EBITDA343-1 -29.1%-17.9%-26.6%-112.7%
Net Income0-01-2 -75.9%-114.7%-33.0%-262.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1000 255.3%-64.8%-67.3%-8.0%
Short Term Debt6666 16.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Long Term Debt35312929 -17.9%-22.5%-23.6%-21.4%
Ratios
Gross Margin7.2%7.9%7.5%8.0% -1.1%-0.2%-0.5%-0.3%
EBITDA Margin 2.9% 3.2% 2.5% -0.5% -0.9%-0.5%-0.8%-4.1%
Net Income Margin 0.4% -0.2% 0.6% -1.9% -1.1%-1.5%-0.3%-3.0%

Peers in Electronic Manufacturing Servi


Below we provide Key Tronic Corporation benchmarking against other companies in Electronic Manufacturing Servi industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)41.9%-7.8%-24.0%118.4%
Alpine 4 Technologies Ltd ($ALPP)35,893.8%5.8%71.5%
Kemet Corporation ($KEM)-1.3%-10.7%3.1%58.4%
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)-3.5%-23.9%-17.1%55.2%
Deswell Industries, Inc. ($DSWL)-7.0%17.1%-0.1%36.3%
 
Median (27 companies)2.6%1.2%3.0%9.8%
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)42.1%11.7%-3.5%-4.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)68.2%66.0%86.9%77.1%89.2%
Andrea Electronics Corp ($ANDR)83.8%99.1%88.5%96.2%70.4%
Data I/O Corporation ($DAIO)53.9%52.4%55.0%58.9%59.4%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)54.1%54.6%54.9%56.6%54.8%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)32.2%33.2%35.4%33.2%35.1%
 
Median (27 companies)14.7%19.4%22.2%15.8%15.2%
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)8.8%7.7%8.0%8.2%7.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)41.5%42.4%41.8%44.7%40.9%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)19.7%19.3%20.9%20.4%21.4%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)14.7%9.0%20.7%14.0%17.8%
Methode Electronics, Inc. ($MEI)12.6%15.4%16.5%16.5%16.1%
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)12.4%6.7%-12.1%3.1%15.9%
 
Median (27 companies)4.8%5.8%5.4%5.0%4.8%
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)4.3%2.9%3.4%3.6%2.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Maxwell Technologies, Inc. ($MXWL)3.7%2.5%4.9%6.6%11.3%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)11.5%7.8%12.6%9.0%11.0%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)5.8%4.7%6.7%6.2%8.8%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)5.3%4.9%5.3%5.6%6.7%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)3.2%2.5%5.2%4.3%6.1%
 
Median (27 companies)2.7%2.4%2.8%3.4%2.5%
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)2.5%2.0%2.7%2.0%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)8.5%4.6%-18.7%0.9%29.2%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)27.0%27.8%25.1%29.9%22.9%
Methode Electronics, Inc. ($MEI)19.7%26.1%22.7%20.8%19.2%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)17.3%15.1%15.9%16.2%18.4%
Kemet Corporation ($KEM)-2.8%3.8%6.2%6.9%16.9%
 
Median (29 companies)4.4%4.9%6.2%4.2%6.7%
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)9.2%5.4%7.5%6.5%0.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpine 4 Technologies Ltd ($ALPP)34.1x65.7x
SigmaTron International, Inc. ($SGMA)2.7x4.1x2.4x3.4x16.0x
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)3.5x1.8x1.0x11.3x
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)7.1x14.0x2.0x5.6x4.9x
Nortech Systems Incorporated ($NSYS)3.8x8.2x4.6x10.9x3.8x
 
Median (22 companies)-0.5x-0.9x-0.0x-0.1x-0.2x
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)0.2x3.4x2.6x2.5x3.9x