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Seagate Technology PLC reports 53.1% Net Income growth in 2018 and 3.2 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 16.7% to 20.0%

07/30/2018 • About Seagate Technology PLC ($STX) • By InTwits

Seagate Technology PLC reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Seagate Technology PLC has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $89m in 2018, $46m in 2017, $38m in 2016, $18m in 2015, $19m in 2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $2,693m vs. $3,882m. In FY2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 366 while D&A was 598
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 27.5%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.3x while industry average is -2.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 3.8%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it increased 17.8% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.2 pp from 16.7% to 20.0% in FY2018.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.61 pp from 29.5% to 30.1% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2016 at 23.4% and was growing since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SBC as a % of Revenue topped in FY2017 at 1.3%.

Net Income margin increased on 3.4 pp from 7.2% to 10.6% in FY2018. The efficient tax rate was 16.6% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.3%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.2 pp from 5.4% in FY2015 to 3.3% in FY2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.2%. During FY2014-FY2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2015 at 5.4% and was declining since that time.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.55 pp from 11.1% to 10.6% in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue showed almost no change at 9.4% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.69 pp from 21.4% to 22.1% in FY2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (27.5%) and ROE (78.0%). ROIC increased on 8.2 pp from 19.4% to 27.5% in FY2018. ROE surged on 25.8 pp from 52.2% to 78.0% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.048x from 1.4x to 1.3x in FY2018. Debt decreased on 4.0% while cash dropped on 27.0%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA topped in FY2016 at 2.4x and was declining since that time.

Seagate Technology PLC has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 6.9x. Seagate Technology PLC has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (371.3%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 4.9% in FY2018.

Valuation and dividends


Seagate Technology PLC's trades at EV/EBITDA 8.3x and P/E 13.2x.

The company paid 61.4% of Net Income as dividends in FY2018. Dividends grew on average at 5.4% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


William David Mosley "Dave" is a the company's CEO. William David Mosley "Dave" is a founder and has spent 1 year with the company. CEO total compensation was $17,174,884 in FY2018 which included $1,807,714 salary.

At the end of financial year the company had 0.62% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

At the end of financial year the company had 43,000 employees. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $260,093.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/29/2018

Seagate Technology PLC ($STX) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue13,72413,73911,16010,77111,1843.8%
Gross Profit3,8463,8092,6153,1743,3646.0%
EBITDA2,6552,8991,2601,8032,23223.8%
EBIT1,7762,0584451,0541,63455.0%
Interest expence1952072222366.3%
Tax-142282643236448.8%
Net Income1,5701,7422487721,18253.1%
Stock Based Compensation118137120137112-18.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,6342,4791,1252,5391,853-27.0%
Accounts Receivable1,7291,7351,3181,1991,184-1.3%
Inventory9859938689821,0537.2%
Accounts Payable1,5491,5401,5171,6261,7286.3%
Short Term Debt0000499
Long Term Debt3,9204,1554,0915,0214,320-14.0%
Cash flow
Capex559747587434366-15.7%
Dividends55766472756172629.4%
Acquisitions285453634
Ratios
Revenue growth-4.4%0.1%-18.8%-3.5%3.8%
EBITDA growth-10.4%9.2%-56.5%43.1%23.8%

Gross Margin28.0%27.7%23.4%29.5%30.1%0.6%
EBITDA Margin19.3%21.1%11.3%16.7%20.0%3.2%
EBIT Margin12.9%15.0%4.0%9.8%14.6%4.8%
SBC, % of revenue0.9%1.0%1.1%1.3%1.0%-0.3%
Net Income Margin11.4%12.7%2.2%7.2%10.6%3.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.1%5.4%5.3%4.0%3.3%-0.8%

ROIC29.3%31.7%7.6%19.4%27.5%8.2%
ROE49.6%59.6%10.8%52.2%78.0%25.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.5x0.6x2.4x1.4x1.3x-0.0x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)9.1x9.9x4.7x6.9x2.2x
Interest expence / Average debt5.0%5.1%4.9%4.9%0.0%
People
Insider ownership0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.0%
Employees52,10052,35045,50043,000
Revenue/Employee, th. $263262245260

Seagate Technology PLC ($STX) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2,6322,9142,8032,835 -5.9%0.7%4.8%17.8%
EBITDA416590584642 -1.2%5.2%30.4%72.6%
Net Income181159381461 8.4%-46.5%96.4%304.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,2852,5562,9261,853 53.5%49.0%-3.3%-27.0%
Short Term Debt0560503499 218.4%
Long Term Debt5,0024,3164,3194,320 22.2%5.4%-14.9%-14.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin28.0%30.1%30.2%31.9% -0.7%-0.7%-0.3%4.2%
EBITDA Margin 15.8% 20.2% 20.8% 22.6% 0.8%0.9%4.1%7.2%
Net Income Margin 6.9% 5.5% 13.6% 16.3% 0.9%-4.8%6.3%11.5%

Peers in Technology Hardware, Storage &


Below you can find Seagate Technology PLC benchmarking vs. other companies in Technology Hardware, Storage & industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Crossroads Systems Inc ($CRSS)-90.6%-35.5%-89.5%39,959.5%
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)19.8%-9.9%-38.7%217.0%
Veritec Inc ($VRTC)-42.2%-28.0%-52.2%53.1%
Boxlight Corporation ($BOXL)-88.5%503.2%26.4%47.0%
Pure Storage, Inc. ($PSTG)308.2%152.4%67.9%38.6%
 
Median (30 companies)-16.9%-3.3%-4.3%2.1%5.6%
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)0.1%-18.8%-3.5%3.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)99.1%99.3%99.7%99.4%99.8%
Pure Storage, Inc. ($PSTG)43.5%55.5%61.9%65.9%65.5%
NetApp, Inc. ($NTAP)62.0%62.6%60.8%61.3%62.7%
Avid Technology, Inc. ($AVID)61.4%60.9%65.0%57.8%57.9%
Datasea Inc ($DTSS)39.3%54.4%
 
Median (29 companies)38.6%36.3%39.3%39.6%38.8%
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)28.0%27.7%23.4%29.5%30.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)12.3%9.0%-25.1%-127.0%48.6%
Apple Inc. ($AAPL)33.1%35.3%32.7%31.2%30.8%
Western Digital Corporation ($WDC)20.1%18.7%12.5%21.4%27.5%
NetApp, Inc. ($NTAP)16.9%16.7%11.3%15.4%22.9%
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ($HPE)11.8%10.5%25.4%12.7%14.4%
 
Median (29 companies)7.1%6.2%3.8%3.5%7.9%
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)19.3%21.1%11.3%16.7%20.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ($HPE)6.6%6.4%10.8%10.9%9.6%
Pure Storage, Inc. ($PSTG)28.7%24.2%8.9%10.4%6.3%
3D Systems Corporation ($DDD)3.5%3.4%2.6%4.8%5.9%
Apple Inc. ($AAPL)5.2%4.8%5.9%5.4%5.0%
Western Digital Corporation ($WDC)4.2%4.2%4.5%3.0%4.0%
 
Median (29 companies)2.6%2.9%1.7%1.8%2.2%
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)4.1%5.4%5.3%4.0%3.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Avid Technology, Inc. ($AVID)252.4%
Ionix Technology Inc ($IINX)23.9%204.5%
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)7.6%5.8%-21.5%-138.9%96.8%
HP Inc. ($HPQ)8.0%8.7%15.8%60.8%72.9%
NetApp, Inc. ($NTAP)12.5%14.8%7.3%14.0%28.1%
 
Median (37 companies)5.9%5.0%-2.6%0.2%2.2%
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)29.3%31.7%7.6%19.4%27.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CPI Card Group Inc. ($PMTS)3.4x3.5x5.8x12.4x
NCR Corporation ($NCR)4.9x6.6x2.7x2.3x5.2x
Avid Technology, Inc. ($AVID)-0.7x3.1x1.7x5.6x4.8x
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)3.5x3.5x3.1x3.0x3.0x
Electronics for Imaging, Inc. ($EFII)-0.2x1.4x1.3x1.6x1.7x
 
Median (19 companies)-0.4x0.3x0.1x0.2x0.2x
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)0.5x0.6x2.4x1.4x1.3x