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ViaSat, Inc. reports 42.1% EBITDA decline in 2018 while 2.3% Revenue growth

05/24/2018 • About ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT) • By InTwits

ViaSat, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 10.3% in FY2018 vs. 18.1% in FY2017 vs. 13.9% in FY2014
  • ViaSat, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 is 3.4%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was 16.7%. In FY2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 4.3%
  • ViaSat, Inc. has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 28.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $63m in 2018, $31m in 2017, $19m in 2016, $12m in 2015, $13m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -3.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.8x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 2.3%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it increased 5.6% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 20.0% to 21.7% in 2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2015 at 22.0% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.0 pp from 32.7% to 29.7% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in FY2017 at 32.7%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.8 pp from 21.4% to 24.2% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2015 at 19.6% and was growing since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.72 pp from 3.6% to 4.3% in FY2018. SBC as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 0.43 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased on 5.7 pp from 1.5% to -4.2% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2015 at 2.9% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 32.1%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 5.6 pp from 26.5% in FY2015 to 32.1% in FY2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 30.6%. The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (313% of EBITDA). CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 2.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 10.5% to 12.3% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased on 4.5 pp from 9.6% to 14.1% in FY2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.6%) and ROE (-3.8%). ROIC decreased on 5.3 pp from 1.7% to -3.6% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 5.4 pp from 1.7% to -3.8% in FY2018. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2015 at 5.0% and was declining since that time. During FY2014-FY2018 ROE topped in FY2015 at 4.1% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 3.3x from 2.5x to 5.8x in FY2018. Debt surged on 20.6% while cash dropped on 45.1%.

ViaSat, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (157.7%).

Average interest expence paid by the company was 0.39% in FY2018.

Management team


The company's CEO Mark D Dankberg is a founder and has spent 33 years with the company. The company's CFO is Shawn Duffy. Shawn Duffy has 5 years tenure at the company.

The company has 5.9% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 5,200 employees. The number of employees surged on 20.9%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $306,659 and it dropped on 15.4%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 03/31/2018

ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue1,3511,3831,4171,5591,5952.3%
Gross Profit360419433510474-7.2%
SG&A28227129833338515.6%
EBITDA188305283282163-42.1%
EBIT3834136-92-352.9%
Interest expence383126124-66.7%
Tax-2614-44-35-1,073.7%
Net Income-9402224-67-383.2%
Stock Based Compensation343948566922.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash58524213071-45.1%
Accounts Receivable2722662872642681.5%
Inventory12012814516319620.3%
Accounts Payable99779610015757.1%
Short Term Debt20004515,629.2%
Long Term Debt69080694684897815.3%
Cash flow
Capex308366378515512-0.6%
Acquisitions257417
Ratios
Revenue growth20.7%2.3%2.5%10.0%2.3%
EBITDA growth37.7%61.7%-7.0%-0.3%-42.1%

Gross Margin26.7%30.3%30.6%32.7%29.7%-3.0%
EBITDA Margin13.9%22.0%20.0%18.1%10.3%-7.9%
EBIT Margin0.2%6.0%2.9%2.3%-5.8%-8.1%
SG&A, % of revenue20.8%19.6%21.0%21.4%24.2%2.8%
SBC, % of revenue2.5%2.8%3.4%3.6%4.3%0.7%
Net Income Margin-0.7%2.9%1.5%1.5%-4.2%-5.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue22.8%26.5%26.7%33.0%32.1%-0.9%

ROIC0.2%5.0%2.2%1.7%-3.6%-5.3%
ROE-1.0%4.1%2.0%1.7%-3.8%-5.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.4x2.5x3.2x2.5x5.8x3.3x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)0.1x2.6x1.6x3.0x
Interest expence / Average debt5.5%4.2%2.9%1.3%0.4%-1.0%
People
Insider ownership5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%0.0%
Employees3,1003,4003,8004,3005,20020.9%
Revenue/Employee, th. $436407373363307-15.4%

ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue380393382440 4.7%-1.5%0.3%5.6%
EBITDA46453636 -32.2%-43.9%-47.6%-44.4%
Net Income-9-14-25-20 -587.3%-224.2%-680.5%-399.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash16124316271 239.8%373.3%-43.2%-45.1%
Short Term Debt19234645 6,867.5%8,065.5%15,956.0%15,629.2%
Long Term Debt831996976978 -19.7%-6.0%15.2%15.3%
Ratios
Gross Margin31.5%31.5%30.9%25.5% -0.2%-0.6%-1.9%-8.6%
EBITDA Margin 12.1% 11.5% 9.5% 8.2% -6.6%-8.6%-8.7%-7.4%
Net Income Margin -2.4% -3.5% -6.5% -4.5% -2.9%-6.2%-7.6%-6.1%

Peers in Communications Equipment


Below we provide ViaSat, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Communications Equipment industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)30.6%75.2%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)6.4%-4.4%13.2%64.4%
Optical Cable Corporation ($OCC)-11.3%-12.2%-0.8%37.0%
ParkerVision Inc ($PRKR)37,601.2%-97.5%35.0%
Network-1 Technologies, Inc. ($NTIP)34.6%292.9%-74.7%34.4%
 
Median (66 companies)-0.4%7.6%5.1%3.5%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)2.3%2.5%10.0%2.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)82.1%82.7%83.1%83.1%83.3%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)82.1%82.4%81.8%81.3%82.2%
Radcom Ltd. ($RDCM)63.2%76.8%69.6%71.8%74.0%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)70.8%69.1%73.4%73.4%
NetScout Systems, Inc. ($NTCT)78.7%79.2%65.6%70.2%72.4%
 
Median (67 companies)42.4%44.0%43.9%41.7%41.2%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)26.7%30.3%30.6%32.7%29.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Network-1 Technologies, Inc. ($NTIP)35.5%33.7%50.6%37.8%42.8%
InterDigital, Inc. ($IDCC)50.8%58.1%73.6%67.3%41.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)25.7%39.7%40.3%38.1%37.4%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. ($UBNT)34.7%25.5%37.3%34.3%32.8%
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. ($ITRN)32.4%30.5%29.9%29.9%30.4%
 
Median (65 companies)5.3%4.7%5.5%6.0%4.6%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)13.9%22.0%20.0%18.1%10.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)132.5%124.8%245.2%
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ($AAOI)31.5%30.1%19.0%17.5%26.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)19.7%43.8%39.9%30.9%26.5%
Finisar Corporation ($FNSR)11.3%11.9%9.4%9.7%16.8%
Oclaro, Inc. ($OCLR)2.2%5.3%7.3%11.7%10.6%
 
Median (65 companies)2.2%2.2%1.9%1.8%1.6%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)22.8%26.5%26.7%33.0%32.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)33.9%40.8%43.1%46.9%47.9%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. ($UBNT)61.4%31.5%41.5%38.5%39.1%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)-16.1%18.9%26.4%39.5%35.3%
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. ($ITRN)50.9%46.8%50.1%48.5%35.1%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)43.2%39.7%21.9%
 
Median (70 companies)2.1%2.0%2.4%2.2%0.7%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)0.2%5.0%2.2%1.7%-3.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)-2.2x-1.5x7.1x
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. ($COMM)2.3x9.6x4.3x4.6x4.4x
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)3.9x
Finisar Corporation ($FNSR)-0.3x0.2x-0.5x1.6x3.8x
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)-4.7x-4.1x3.4x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.8x-0.8x-0.9x-0.8x-0.3x
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)3.4x2.5x3.2x2.5x5.8x