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SeaChange International, Inc. Net Income surged on 119% while Revenue decreased on 4.2%

04/16/2018 • About SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC) • By InTwits

SeaChange International, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • SeaChange International, Inc. is a company in decline: FY2018 revenue growth was -4.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -12.6%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -0.9%
  • SeaChange International, Inc. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -18.6% for the sames years
  • SeaChange International, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $1m in FY2018, $1m in FY2017, $1m in FY2016, $2m in FY2015, $2m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -6.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.3x while industry average is -2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


SeaChange International, Inc.'s Revenue decreased on 4.2%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - revenue decreased on 3.6%. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 56.3 pp from -57.2% to -0.89% in FY2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2017 at -57.2%.

Gross Margin jumped on 16.9 pp from 50.3% to 67.2% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2016 at 43.8% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.1 pp from 36.0% to 34.0% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue grew at 3.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin jumped on 102 pp from -85.0% to 16.8% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2017 at -85.0%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


SeaChange International, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 0.66% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.97 pp from 1.6% in FY2015 to 0.66% in FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.93%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -0.27 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-6.9%) and low but positive ROE (17.4%). ROIC surged on 46.7 pp from -53.7% to -6.9% in FY2018. ROE surged on 88.4 pp from -71.1% to 17.4% in FY2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2017 at -53.7%. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2017 at -71.1%.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 54.2%.

Management team


The company's CFO Peter Faubert has spent 3 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 01/31/2018

SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue146.3115.4107.083.880.3-4.2%
Gross Profit79.257.146.842.253.927.9%
SG&A32.629.930.730.227.3-9.7%
EBITDA7.4-17.6-40.0-47.9-0.7
Net Income-3.0-27.5-47.7-71.213.5
Balance Sheet
Cash115.790.058.728.343.754.2%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex2.31.91.40.70.5-23.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.9%-21.1%-7.3%-21.7%-4.2%
EBITDA growth29.2%-338.4%127.3%19.6%-98.5%

Gross Margin54.1%49.5%43.8%50.3%67.2%16.9%
EBITDA Margin5.1%-15.3%-37.4%-57.2%-0.9%56.3%
SG&A, % of revenue22.3%25.9%28.7%36.0%34.0%-2.1%
Net Income Margin-2.1%-23.8%-44.6%-85.0%16.8%101.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%1.6%1.3%0.8%0.7%-0.2%

ROIC-0.8%-14.1%-31.8%-53.7%-6.9%46.7%
ROE-1.5%-14.6%-31.6%-71.1%17.4%88.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-15.7x

SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue17172323 -22.7%-6.6%17.4%-3.6%
EBITDA-4-122
Net Income-5-2-021
Balance Sheet
Cash27252744 -47.9%-34.6%-1.2%54.2%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin59.3%66.3%69.8%71.0% 16.8%25.9%17.9%4.8%
EBITDA Margin -25.5% -5.2% 9.0% 10.1% 11.7%49.0%43.3%108.9%
Net Income Margin -32.2% -8.9% -0.9% 89.9% 9.1%136.8%39.5%204.8%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide SeaChange International, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (150 companies)27.9%14.0%14.3%15.7%15.2%
SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC)-21.1%-7.3%-21.7%-4.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (149 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%65.3%
SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC)54.1%49.5%43.8%50.3%67.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (151 companies)-10.3%-9.4%-4.7%-3.3%-3.3%
SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC)5.1%-15.3%-37.4%-57.2%-0.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (152 companies)2.8%2.7%3.0%2.3%2.4%
SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC)1.6%1.6%1.3%0.8%0.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (178 companies)-14.4%-11.2%-9.2%-10.2%-9.8%
SeaChange International, Inc. ($SEAC)-0.8%-14.1%-31.8%-53.7%-6.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (70 companies)-1.2x-1.0x-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x