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Semtech Corporation reports 33.4% Net Income decline in 2018 and 4.1 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 24.1% to 20.0%

03/14/2018 • About Semtech Corporation ($SMTC) • By InTwits

Semtech Corporation reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 20.0% in FY2018, 24.1% in FY2017, 16.1% in FY2016, 20.0% in FY2015, -2.5% in FY2014
  • Semtech Corporation spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 is 5.4%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was 15.3%. In FY2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 8.2%
  • Semtech Corporation has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $91m in FY2018, $64m in FY2017, $49m in FY2016, $22m in FY2015, $23m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $150m vs. $308m. In FY2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 35 while D&A was 49
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 7.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 8.0%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 0.4% YoY. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 4.1 pp from 24.1% to 20.0% in FY2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in FY2016 at 27.8% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue increased on 2.5 pp from 5.7% to 8.2% in FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.8 pp from 10.0% to 6.2% in FY2018. The efficient tax rate was 38.9% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 6.0%. Semtech Corporation showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2015 to FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.9%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue showed almost no change at 12.1% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.3 pp from 19.1% to 15.8% in FY2018.

Semtech Corporation has spent $18m on M&A in FY2018 which accounts for 3.0% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.8%) and ROE (5.7%). ROIC decreased on 2.4 pp from 10.2% to 7.8% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 3.9 pp from 9.6% to 5.7% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x. Debt decreased on 6.0% while cash increased on 3.6%.

Semtech Corporation has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,998.2%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 22.3x and P/E 74.5x.

Management team


Semtech Corporation's CEO Mohan R Maheswaran is a founder and has spent 13 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $6,464,567 in FY2018 which included $600,000 salary. Semtech Corporation's CFO is Emeka N Chukwu. Emeka N Chukwu has 12 years tenure at the company.

The company has 1.4% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 1,282 employees. The number of employees decreased slightly on 0.77%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $458,539 and it increased on 8.8%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 01/28/2018

Semtech Corporation ($SMTC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue595.0557.9490.2544.3587.88.0%
Gross Profit335.2328.8293.1324.9352.08.3%
SG&A125.4128.5136.2136.4146.37.2%
EBITDA-14.8111.678.9131.1117.7-10.2%
EBIT-108.942.330.084.168.7-18.3%
Interest expence18.25.97.89.3
Tax36.08.58.918.423.226.0%
Net Income-164.527.911.554.736.4-33.4%
Stock Based Compensation20.429.620.530.847.955.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash243.2230.3211.8297.1307.93.6%
Accounts Receivable66.369.344.151.453.23.4%
Inventory60.373.763.965.971.17.9%
Accounts Payable40.032.435.542.037.2-11.3%
Short Term Debt18.518.518.614.415.46.8%
Long Term Debt273.3234.7239.2226.5211.1-6.8%
Cash flow
Capex37.231.813.032.935.57.7%
Acquisitions4.939.217.6
Ratios
Revenue growth2.8%-6.2%-12.1%11.0%8.0%
EBITDA growth-122.9%-851.5%-29.2%66.1%-10.2%

Gross Margin56.3%58.9%59.8%59.7%59.9%0.2%
EBITDA Margin-2.5%20.0%16.1%24.1%20.0%-4.1%
EBIT Margin-18.3%7.6%6.1%15.4%11.7%-3.8%
SG&A, % of revenue21.1%23.0%27.8%25.1%24.9%-0.2%
SBC, % of revenue3.4%5.3%4.2%5.7%8.2%2.5%
Net Income Margin-27.6%5.0%2.3%10.0%6.2%-3.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.2%5.7%2.7%6.0%6.0%-0.0%

ROIC-11.8%5.1%3.7%10.2%7.8%-2.4%
ROE-26.7%5.1%2.1%9.6%5.7%-3.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.2x0.6x-0.4x-0.7x-0.3x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)7.1x3.8x9.0x
Interest expence / Average debt6.2%2.2%3.1%3.7%
People
Insider ownership1.4%1.4%1.4%1.4%1.4%0.0%
Employees1,4551,4561,3351,2921,282-0.8%
Revenue/Employee, th. $4093833674214598.8%

Semtech Corporation ($SMTC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue144153150141 9.7%12.7%9.6%0.4%
EBITDA30313027 17.3%8.1%-40.3%1.4%
Net Income121313-1 71.6%39.9%-56.7%-116.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash282278291308 30.3%16.3%-2.3%3.6%
Short Term Debt14141415 -20.3%-20.3%-24.3%6.8%
Long Term Debt223219216211 -4.8%-4.5%-5.7%-6.8%
Ratios
Gross Margin59.0%60.2%59.5%60.7% -0.8%0.1%0.4%1.1%
EBITDA Margin 20.6% 20.0% 20.1% 19.4% 1.3%-0.8%-16.8%0.2%
Net Income Margin 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% -0.9% 3.0%1.6%-13.6%-6.6%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below we provide Semtech Corporation benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductors industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%9.7%5.2%10.9%4.7%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)-6.2%-12.1%11.0%8.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)45.3%47.0%47.2%48.6%50.4%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)56.3%58.9%59.8%59.7%59.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.3%9.2%10.7%9.8%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)-2.5%20.0%16.1%24.1%20.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.4%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)6.2%5.7%2.7%6.0%6.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.7%3.8%1.4%3.2%3.0%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)-11.8%5.1%3.7%10.2%7.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.5x-0.3x-0.0x0.4x0.3x
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)0.2x0.6x-0.4x-0.7x