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Ginni Filaments EBITDA dropped on 32.6% and EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.8 pp from 10.3% to 7.5%

29-05-2018 • About Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL) • By InTwits

Ginni Filaments reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.0x while industry average is 3.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.5%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.8 pp from 10.3% to 7.5% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -1.4 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 2.1% to 0.38% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.1% in FY2018. Ginni Filaments showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 3.5 pp from 1.6% in FY2015 to 5.1% in FY2018. Ginni Filaments invested a big chunk of EBITDA (67.3%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.2%) and ROE (1.5%). ROIC decreased on 6.3 pp from 12.4% to 6.2% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 8.7 pp from 10.2% to 1.5% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 5.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.2x from 2.9x to 5.0x in FY2018. Debt jumped on 18.0% while cash decreased slightly on 1.7%.

Ginni Filaments has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 1.6% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31-03-2018

Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue8,6808,4777,5037,5376,972-7.5%
EBITDA1,260910717779525-32.6%
Net Income363784416127-83.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash4219403232-1.7%
Short Term Debt1,5022,0261,6531,5422,04432.6%
Long Term Debt1,6231,114790718622-13.4%
Cash flow
Capex1343263538.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth16.6%-2.3%-11.5%0.4%-7.5%
EBITDA growth34.5%-27.7%-21.3%8.6%-32.6%

EBITDA Margin14.5%10.7%9.6%10.3%7.5%-2.8%
Net Income Margin4.2%0.9%0.6%2.1%0.4%-1.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%4.3%5.1%0.7%

ROIC21.6%12.8%9.8%12.4%6.2%-6.3%
ROE31.6%5.2%3.2%10.2%1.5%-8.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.4x3.4x3.4x2.9x5.0x2.2x

Peers in


Below we provide Ginni Filaments benchmarking against other companies in industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Fertilizers & Chemicals Travancore ($FACT)---8.5%2.4%
Vardhman Acrylics ($VARDHACRLC)----17.7%-11.2%
 
Median (2 companies)3.9%8.8%5.2%-4.6%-4.4%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)---0.4%-7.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Vardhman Acrylics ($VARDHACRLC)--9.9%10.2%9.6%
Fertilizers & Chemicals Travancore ($FACT)---11.9%2.4%8.7%
 
Median (2 companies)14.7%10.7%10.3%6.3%9.2%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)--9.6%10.3%7.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Vardhman Acrylics ($VARDHACRLC)--0.8%0.3%0.5%
Fertilizers & Chemicals Travancore ($FACT)--0.2%0.4%0.5%
 
Median (2 companies)4.5%5.0%3.6%0.4%0.5%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)---4.3%5.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Fertilizers & Chemicals Travancore ($FACT)---60.9%3.4%19.7%
Vardhman Acrylics ($VARDHACRLC)---9.4%7.5%
 
Median (2 companies)5.9%4.4%3.0%6.4%13.6%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)--9.8%12.4%6.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Fertilizers & Chemicals Travancore ($FACT)---52.4x13.3x
Vardhman Acrylics ($VARDHACRLC)---0.0x-0.2x-0.1x
 
Median (2 companies)2.2x1.1x0.3x26.1x6.6x
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)--3.4x2.9x5.0x