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Axis Bank Net Income dropped on 88.5% while Revenue increased slightly on 1.5%

26-04-2018 • About Axis Bank ($AXISBANK) • By InTwits

Axis Bank reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Axis Bank has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 1.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹8,550m in FY2018, ₹7,737m in FY2017, ₹14,944m in FY2016, ₹5,386m in FY2015, ₹6,078m in FY2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 0.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 9.0x while industry average is
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.5%. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth topped in FY2015 at 15.6% and was decelerating since that time.

Net Income margin decreased on 6.1 pp from 6.9% to 0.78% in FY2018. Net Income margin stuck to a declining trend at -4.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.5%. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.2%) and ROE (0.8%). ROIC decreased on 2.8 pp from 3.1% to 0.25% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 6.4 pp from 7.2% to 0.76% in FY2018. ROIC followed a declining trend at -2.3 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. ROE followed a declining trend at -4.4 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt surged on 35.3% while cash surged on 15.0%.

Axis Bank has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (151.9%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31-03-2018

Axis Bank ($AXISBANK) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue386,025446,166512,801575,967584,7671.5%
Net Income63,10174,47983,49739,5304,558-88.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash170,414198,188223,612308,579354,81115.0%
Short Term Debt187,333162,944157,172199,690233,58817.0%
Long Term Debt527,392843,9351,138,4771,124,5481,557,67138.5%
Cash flow
Capex6,0785,38614,9447,7378,55010.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth13.1%15.6%14.9%12.3%1.5%

Net Income Margin16.3%16.7%16.3%6.9%0.8%-6.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%1.2%2.9%1.3%1.5%0.1%

ROIC9.1%8.8%7.6%3.1%0.2%-2.8%
ROE17.6%17.9%17.0%7.2%0.8%-6.4%

Peers in Banks


Below we provide Axis Bank benchmarking against other companies in Banks industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Federal Bank ($FEDERALBNK)31.9%-7.4%2.2%14.3%-
State Bank Of India ($SBIN)12.2%14.1%5.9%8.7%-
Standard Chartered Plc ($STAN)--15.4%-6.0%7.1%-
 
Median (3 companies)10.6%10.2%2.0%8.7%-
Axis Bank ($AXISBANK)-15.6%14.9%12.3%1.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
State Bank Of India ($SBIN)1.4%1.3%1.4%1.5%-
Federal Bank ($FEDERALBNK)1.3%1.4%1.9%1.0%-
Standard Chartered Plc ($STAN)0.8%0.6%1.0%0.8%-
 
Median (3 companies)1.2%1.3%1.2%1.0%-
Axis Bank ($AXISBANK)1.6%1.2%2.9%1.3%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Federal Bank ($FEDERALBNK)--4.7%6.1%-
Standard Chartered Plc ($STAN)2.7%-0.5%0.6%1.5%-
State Bank Of India ($SBIN)4.9%5.5%3.2%0.1%-
 
Median (3 companies)3.2%4.2%3.6%1.5%-
Axis Bank ($AXISBANK)9.1%8.8%7.6%3.1%0.2%