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Essar Ports reports 125% CAPEX growth in 2016 while 8.4% Revenue decline

08-11-2016 • About Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS) • By InTwits

Essar Ports reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Essar Ports is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -8.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -4.5%
  • Essar Ports has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 32.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 39.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹6,409m in FY2016, ₹2,847m in FY2015, ₹183m in FY2014, ₹4,860m in FY2013, ₹7,354m in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 7.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.0x while industry average is 5.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 8.4%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 8.2% to 9.3% in FY2016.

Net Income margin dropped on 19.2 pp from 23.7% to 4.5% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 42.3% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 8.1 pp from 34.2% in FY2013 to 42.3% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 20.1%. The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (58.5%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2014 at 0.86% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.9%) and ROE (2.0%). ROIC decreased on 3.2 pp from 11.1% to 7.9% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 10.1 pp from 12.0% to 2.0% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE topped in FY2013 at 13.5% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 7.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 7.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from 4.8x to 7.0x in FY2016. Debt surged on 20.2% while cash dropped on 82.2%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2014 at 4.8x and was growing since that time.

Essar Ports has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 1.3% of short term debt.

Management team


Essar Ports's CEO Rajiv Agarwal has spent 9 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue11,08814,21521,24416,54115,146-8.4%
EBITDA8,98611,41312,39313,02810,956-15.9%
Net Income6403,3153,8373,912675-82.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash162113831,170208-82.2%
Short Term Debt5,4117,2444,8248,17915,56190.3%
Long Term Debt49,64050,30554,82155,85461,3829.9%
Cash flow
Capex7,3544,8601832,8476,409125.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth-42.0%28.2%49.4%-22.1%-8.4%
EBITDA growth19.2%27.0%8.6%5.1%-15.9%

EBITDA Margin81.0%80.3%58.3%78.8%72.3%-6.4%
Net Income Margin5.8%23.3%18.1%23.7%4.5%-19.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue66.3%34.2%0.9%17.2%42.3%25.1%

ROIC9.3%10.9%10.9%11.1%7.9%-3.2%
ROE2.9%13.5%13.2%12.0%2.0%-10.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.1x5.0x4.8x4.8x7.0x2.2x

Peers in Marine Port & Services


Below we provide Essar Ports benchmarking against other companies in Marine Port & Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone ($ADANIPORTS)-32.3%31.4%28.6%18.2%
 
Median (1 company)-32.3%31.4%28.6%18.2%
Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS)-28.2%49.4%-22.1%-8.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone ($ADANIPORTS)68.0%68.4%65.0%67.4%68.2%
 
Median (1 company)68.0%68.4%65.0%67.4%68.2%
Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS)81.0%80.3%58.3%78.8%72.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone ($ADANIPORTS)173.0%110.0%27.2%30.6%36.3%
 
Median (1 company)173.0%110.0%27.2%30.6%36.3%
Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS)66.3%34.2%0.9%17.2%42.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone ($ADANIPORTS)9.7%9.7%11.7%12.1%11.3%
 
Median (1 company)9.7%9.7%11.7%12.1%11.3%
Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS)9.3%10.9%10.9%11.1%7.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Adani Ports And Special Economic Zone ($ADANIPORTS)9.6x4.5x4.3x4.3x4.6x
 
Median (1 company)9.6x4.5x4.3x4.3x4.6x
Essar Ports ($ESSARPORTS)6.1x5.0x4.8x4.8x7.0x