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Gmr Infrastructure reports 76.6% EBITDA growth in 2016 and 10.0 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 23.5% to 33.5%

31-05-2016 • About Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA) • By InTwits

Gmr Infrastructure reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Gmr Infrastructure is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 24.0%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 16.4% at FY2016 ROIC 3.8%
  • Gmr Infrastructure has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 69.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 30.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹22,421m in FY2016, ₹38,051m in FY2015, ₹56,027m in FY2014, ₹102,810m in FY2013, ₹108,133m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 10.4x while industry average is 6.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 24.0%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 15.2% to 16.8% in FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased on 9.1 pp from -25.0% to -16.0% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 Gmr Infrastructure had CAPEX/Revenue of 16.5%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 88.0 pp from 105% in FY2013 to 16.5% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 34.8%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -31.5 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (3.8%) and negative ROE (-40.3%). ROIC increased on 2.8 pp from 1.0% to 3.8% in FY2016. ROE increased on 4.3 pp from -44.6% to -40.3% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 10.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 10.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 7.2x from 17.7x to 10.4x in FY2016. Debt increased on 3.1% while cash dropped on 17.4%.

Gmr Infrastructure has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 17.5% of short term debt.

Management team


Madhu Bhimacharya Terdal is a the company's CFO. Madhu Bhimacharya Terdal has spent 7 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue77,74498,328105,670109,268135,48324.0%
SG&A321270-15.9%
EBITDA16,82525,46026,01125,66645,33776.6%
Net Income-6,033881100-27,333-21,610
Balance Sheet
Cash31,85537,83114,94325,20520,808-17.4%
Short Term Debt106,622107,161114,41590,917118,77930.6%
Long Term Debt254,147316,332335,993387,390374,134-3.4%
Cash flow
Capex108,133102,81056,02738,05122,421-41.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth22.8%26.5%7.5%3.4%24.0%
EBITDA growth-30.5%51.3%2.2%-1.3%76.6%

EBITDA Margin21.6%25.9%24.6%23.5%33.5%10.0%
SG&A, % of revenue0.3%0.2%-0.1%
Net Income Margin-7.8%0.9%0.1%-25.0%-16.0%9.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue139.1%104.6%53.0%34.8%16.5%-18.3%

ROIC1.8%2.8%2.0%1.0%3.8%2.8%
ROE-7.9%1.2%0.1%-44.6%-40.3%4.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA19.5x15.1x16.7x17.7x10.4x-7.2x

Peers in Electric Utilities


Below you can find Gmr Infrastructure benchmarking vs. other companies in Electric Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Reliance Infrastructure ($RELINFRA)--10.7%-14.4%-8.6%112.0%
Ksk Energy Ventures ($KSK)-13.4%-4.3%12.7%83.2%
Adani Power ($ADANIPOWER)-65.7%128.0%21.7%34.1%
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)-4.6%8.2%8.1%32.5%
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)-27.2%18.9%12.8%21.0%
 
Median (16 companies)41.4%14.2%8.8%8.1%2.6%
Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA)-26.5%7.5%3.4%24.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)83.7%85.6%84.9%85.8%87.0%
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)24.4%53.3%57.8%82.8%86.9%
Nhpc ($NHPC)71.4%66.5%59.3%63.4%59.9%
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)91.7%70.6%60.1%63.3%57.2%
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)28.3%27.4%37.2%38.2%44.9%
 
Median (16 companies)28.3%24.7%26.2%22.3%27.8%
Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA)21.6%25.9%24.6%23.5%33.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)184.3%172.4%173.4%169.8%120.3%
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)69.0%30.5%70.6%55.3%89.8%
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)378.9%341.9%229.9%113.6%66.7%
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)422.5%170.0%77.0%19.3%52.8%
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)139.1%136.7%109.1%52.7%36.9%
 
Median (14 companies)67.4%39.8%30.3%19.3%18.5%
Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA)139.1%104.6%53.0%34.8%16.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ptc India ($PTC)11.2%10.4%13.6%12.3%13.6%
Torrent Power ($TORNTPOWER)19.0%7.3%4.9%8.1%12.2%
Adani Power ($ADANIPOWER)2.4%-0.4%5.5%6.6%11.2%
Tata Power Co ($TATAPOWER)8.9%8.8%9.0%7.1%10.6%
Alstom T&D India ($ALSTOMT&D)0.0%15.7%14.6%16.1%10.6%
 
Median (18 companies)5.6%5.8%5.5%6.2%6.5%
Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA)1.8%2.8%2.0%1.0%3.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lanco Infratech ($LITL)16.3x12.9x19.2x17.5x18.1x
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)19.1x23.9x20.1x20.2x14.2x
Ksk Energy Ventures ($KSK)16.3x16.2x27.0x35.7x12.4x
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)11.6x13.1x16.7x13.4x10.7x
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)21.5x10.0x10.6x8.7x9.1x
 
Median (17 companies)8.6x6.6x6.2x6.1x5.8x
Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA)19.5x15.1x16.7x17.7x10.4x