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Unitech EBITDA dropped on 186% and EBITDA Margin dropped on 56.0 pp from 22.6% to -33.4%

30-05-2016 • About Unitech ($UNITECH) • By InTwits

Unitech reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Unitech is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -41.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -10.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -33.4% in FY2016, 22.6% in FY2015, 6.3% in FY2014, 13.4% in FY2013, 13.4% in FY2012
  • Unitech has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 18.8%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹472m in FY2016, ₹151m in FY2015, ₹3,126m in FY2014, ₹3,094m in FY2013, ₹1,110m in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -4.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.3x while industry average is 10.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 41.5%. During FY2012-FY2016 Revenue growth topped in FY2014 at 21.0% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.1 pp from 19.1% to 27.2% in FY2016.

Net Income margin dropped on 41.2 pp from -3.7% to -45.0% in FY2016. Net Income margin pursued a declining trend in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.4%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 10.3 pp from 12.7% in FY2013 to 2.4% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.6%) and ROE (-8.6%). ROIC decreased on 9.1 pp from 4.5% to -4.6% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 7.5 pp from -1.1% to -8.6% in FY2016. ROE declined at -2.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.3x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 5.8x from 5.8x to in FY2016. Debt increased on 2.4% while cash decreased on 4.1%.

Unitech has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 9.1% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Unitech ($UNITECH) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue24,18324,40529,53434,31220,075-41.5%
EBITDA3,2453,2801,8637,766-6,699-186.3%
Net Income2,3742,096697-1,283-9,027
Balance Sheet
Cash3,1524,0312,6652,2642,171-4.1%
Short Term Debt24,60722,48128,95325,69123,837-7.2%
Long Term Debt21,20328,78625,90121,65624,64713.8%
Cash flow
Capex1,1103,0943,126151472213.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-28.8%0.9%21.0%16.2%-41.5%
EBITDA growth-65.7%1.1%-43.2%316.8%-186.3%

EBITDA Margin13.4%13.4%6.3%22.6%-33.4%-56.0%
Net Income Margin9.8%8.6%2.4%-3.7%-45.0%-41.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.6%12.7%10.6%0.4%2.4%1.9%

ROIC1.7%1.7%0.8%4.5%-4.6%-9.1%
ROE2.0%1.8%0.6%-1.1%-8.6%-7.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA13.1x14.4x28.0x5.8x

Peers in Realty


Below we provide Unitech benchmarking against other companies in Realty industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pvp Ventures ($PVP)--32.9%-15.9%177.3%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)--61.7%-1.8%109.9%92.0%
Peninsula Land ($PENINLAND)-39.2%-62.3%-42.4%90.2%
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)-27.3%-23.4%14.1%53.7%
Nila Infrastructures ($NILA)---28.7%47.2%
 
Median (28 companies)-4.5%5.6%-4.5%11.4%2.3%
Unitech ($UNITECH)-0.9%21.0%16.2%-41.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%
 
Median (1 company)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)53.3%72.4%67.6%82.4%-
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%68.4%
Tci Developers ($TCIDEVELOP)---75.9%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)42.4%53.3%-127.2%69.8%-
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%47.7%
 
Median (43 companies)20.1%18.1%20.1%19.4%18.6%
Unitech ($UNITECH)13.4%13.4%6.3%22.6%-33.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Prozone Intu Properties ($PROZONINTU)---89.5%-
Ashiana Housing ($ASHIANA)---26.7%-
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%56.3%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)37.7%30.2%18.8%11.6%11.2%
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)15.9%-11.6%10.6%15.6%
 
Median (30 companies)4.9%2.3%3.5%2.5%3.1%
Unitech ($UNITECH)4.6%12.7%10.6%0.4%2.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) ($AHLUCONT)-3.2%-15.8%5.6%21.2%27.1%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%7.5%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%-
Mahindra Lifespace Developers ($MAHLIFE)10.4%11.7%6.6%14.9%4.6%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%9.0%
 
Median (50 companies)5.9%5.1%5.7%6.8%6.9%
Unitech ($UNITECH)1.7%1.7%0.8%4.5%-4.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)225.8x-5.1x5.9x151.9x
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x51.1x
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)5.1x4.7x14.6x9.0x36.3x
Vipul ($VIPUL)0.7x3.0x10.8x26.0x27.7x
D.S.Kulkarni Developers ($DSKULKARNI)56.4x16.0x12.2x9.8x19.6x
 
Median (31 companies)5.1x4.8x4.9x4.0x4.2x