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Nava Bharat Ventures Debt jumped on 141% while Revenue dropped on 12.2%

30-05-2016 • About Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES) • By InTwits

Nava Bharat Ventures reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Nava Bharat Ventures has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 63.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 34.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹14,299m in FY2016, ₹10,038m in FY2015, ₹12,069m in FY2014, ₹3,434m in FY2013, ₹6,742m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 4.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 8.5x while industry average is 7.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 12.2%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2014 at 51.6% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.4 pp from 17.1% to 22.5% in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased on 6.7 pp from 11.4% to 18.0% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2015 at 11.4%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 89.8% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 59.3 pp from 30.5% in FY2013 to 89.8% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 71.9%. Battling declining revenue Nava Bharat Ventures made large investments to CAPEX (398% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.8%) and ROE (9.4%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE increased on 2.5 pp from 6.9% to 9.4% in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2014 at 9.2% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 8.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 10.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 4.0x from 4.5x to 8.5x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 141% while cash surged on 372%. Net Debt/EBITDA grew at 1.6x per annum in the last 5 years.

Nava Bharat Ventures has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (142.8%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 12.6x and P/E 5.1x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x.

Financial and operational results


Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue9,77411,27217,08918,13815,930-12.2%
EBITDA1,9742,7514,7513,1033,59115.7%
Net Income2,8411,9042,7992,0602,87339.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,4425,9131,7651,4056,638372.3%
Short Term Debt3,5118,4447,94712,2284,650-62.0%
Long Term Debt4,5334,2833,8363,15132,380927.6%
Cash flow
Capex6,7423,43412,06910,03814,29942.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-10.4%15.3%51.6%6.1%-12.2%
EBITDA growth-35.2%39.4%72.7%-34.7%15.7%

EBITDA Margin20.2%24.4%27.8%17.1%22.5%5.4%
Net Income Margin29.1%16.9%16.4%11.4%18.0%6.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue69.0%30.5%70.6%55.3%89.8%34.4%

ROIC5.3%6.3%9.2%5.2%4.8%-0.5%
ROE13.5%8.0%10.2%6.9%9.4%2.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x2.5x2.1x4.5x8.5x4.0x

Peers in Electric Utilities


Below you can find Nava Bharat Ventures benchmarking vs. other companies in Electric Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Reliance Infrastructure ($RELINFRA)--10.7%-14.4%-8.6%112.0%
Adani Power ($ADANIPOWER)-65.7%128.0%21.7%34.1%
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)-4.6%8.2%8.1%32.5%
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)-27.2%18.9%12.8%21.0%
Torrent Power ($TORNTPOWER)-9.9%5.6%19.8%12.4%
 
Median (14 companies)41.4%14.2%8.4%8.1%2.6%
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)-15.3%51.6%6.1%-12.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)83.7%85.6%84.9%85.8%87.0%
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)24.4%53.3%57.8%82.8%86.9%
Bf Utilities ($BFUTILITIE)43.9%55.1%61.2%72.2%-
Nhpc ($NHPC)71.4%66.5%59.3%63.4%59.9%
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)91.7%70.6%60.1%63.3%57.2%
 
Median (18 companies)28.3%25.5%25.0%23.5%27.8%
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)20.2%24.4%27.8%17.1%22.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)184.3%172.4%173.4%169.8%120.3%
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)378.9%341.9%229.9%113.6%66.7%
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)422.5%170.0%77.0%19.3%52.8%
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)139.1%136.7%109.1%52.7%36.9%
Ntpc ($NTPC)20.2%28.9%24.1%24.2%29.8%
 
Median (12 companies)102.5%46.8%30.3%19.3%18.5%
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)69.0%30.5%70.6%55.3%89.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ptc India ($PTC)11.2%10.4%13.6%12.3%13.6%
Torrent Power ($TORNTPOWER)19.0%7.3%4.9%8.1%12.2%
Adani Power ($ADANIPOWER)2.4%-0.4%5.5%6.6%11.2%
Tata Power Co ($TATAPOWER)8.9%8.8%9.0%7.1%10.6%
Alstom T&D India ($ALSTOMT&D)0.0%15.7%14.6%16.1%10.6%
 
Median (15 companies)5.1%5.4%4.9%6.2%6.5%
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)5.3%6.3%9.2%5.2%4.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lanco Infratech ($LITL)16.3x12.9x19.2x17.5x18.1x
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)19.1x23.9x20.1x20.2x14.2x
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)11.6x13.1x16.7x13.4x10.7x
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)21.5x10.0x10.6x8.7x9.1x
Adani Power ($ADANIPOWER)25.1x38.0x9.0x8.2x6.2x
 
Median (15 companies)11.3x8.6x6.6x6.2x5.8x
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)1.3x2.5x2.1x4.5x8.5x