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Andrew Yule & Company reports 54.2% Net Income decline in 2016 and 1.7 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 4.9% to 3.3%

30-05-2016 • About Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU) • By InTwits

Andrew Yule & Company reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Andrew Yule & Company has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹175m in FY2016, ₹0m in FY2015, ₹0m in FY2014, ₹9,546m in FY2013, ₹14,414m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 1.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.7x while industry average is 1.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Andrew Yule & Company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.98%. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 4.9% to 3.3% in FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased on 6.8 pp from 12.4% to 5.7% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6%. Andrew Yule & Company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.3%. The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (50.2%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.1%) and ROE (6.0%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 2.6% to 1.1% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 8.3 pp from 14.2% to 6.0% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 3.1x from 1.7x to 4.7x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 9.3% while cash dropped on 54.3%.

Andrew Yule & Company has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 44.9% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Andrew Yule & Company's trades at EV/EBITDA 64.0x and P/E 34.2x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. Andrew Yule & Company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 128.5x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,0613,2033,8213,7063,7421.0%
EBITDA197199314182122-33.1%
Net Income257244352461212-54.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,026319343671307-54.3%
Short Term Debt7427793816676842.5%
Long Term Debt695617556309201-35.0%
Cash flow
Capex86599010961-43.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth17.1%4.7%19.3%-3.0%1.0%
EBITDA growth-17.0%0.7%58.0%-41.9%-33.1%

EBITDA Margin6.4%6.2%8.2%4.9%3.3%-1.7%
Net Income Margin8.4%7.6%9.2%12.4%5.7%-6.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.8%1.8%2.4%2.9%1.6%-1.3%

ROIC4.0%3.7%6.5%2.6%1.1%-1.5%
ROE13.5%11.3%13.2%14.2%6.0%-8.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.1x5.4x1.9x1.7x4.7x3.1x

Peers in Tea & Coffee


Below we provide Andrew Yule & Company benchmarking against other companies in Tea & Coffee industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mcleod Russel India ($MCLEODRUSS)-15.4%7.2%-8.0%17.0%
Rossell India ($ROSSELLIND)-27.9%33.6%-0.3%14.2%
Bombay Burmah Trading Corp ($BBTC)-10.0%11.5%12.7%10.3%
Ccl Products (India) ($CCL)-29.6%10.2%22.8%5.9%
Warren Tea ($WARRENTEA)--44.0%17.7%-7.5%5.7%
 
Median (8 companies)2.5%10.2%8.9%5.0%5.9%
Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU)-4.7%19.3%-3.0%1.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ccl Products (India) ($CCL)20.3%20.1%21.5%20.6%22.0%
Tata Coffee ($TATACOFFEE)12.8%19.2%19.9%20.2%17.7%
Rossell India ($ROSSELLIND)31.0%27.5%26.5%14.7%14.7%
Bombay Burmah Trading Corp ($BBTC)6.0%6.8%8.6%10.5%13.4%
Tata Global Beverages ($TATAGLOBAL)9.5%10.6%9.9%9.7%10.0%
 
Median (8 companies)11.1%17.4%18.5%10.5%11.7%
Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU)6.4%6.2%8.2%4.9%3.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Rossell India ($ROSSELLIND)11.0%6.7%14.8%11.1%15.8%
Ccl Products (India) ($CCL)11.1%5.8%8.3%2.4%9.4%
Mcleod Russel India ($MCLEODRUSS)10.0%6.0%9.4%9.8%6.7%
Tata Coffee ($TATACOFFEE)3.2%4.3%4.0%3.6%3.6%
Bombay Burmah Trading Corp ($BBTC)4.7%3.6%2.3%1.6%3.1%
 
Median (7 companies)5.2%4.0%3.3%3.0%3.6%
Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU)2.8%1.8%2.4%2.9%1.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bombay Burmah Trading Corp ($BBTC)10.7%13.9%20.6%23.7%31.0%
Ccl Products (India) ($CCL)16.1%18.0%19.7%23.0%25.7%
Tata Coffee ($TATACOFFEE)10.9%16.2%14.0%14.0%11.5%
Tata Global Beverages ($TATAGLOBAL)8.2%9.6%8.1%8.0%6.5%
Rossell India ($ROSSELLIND)-12.1%12.7%4.1%5.0%
 
Median (11 companies)10.9%14.8%15.4%11.0%6.5%
Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU)4.0%3.7%6.5%2.6%1.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jay Shree Tea & Industries ($JAYSHREETEA)----10.2x
Mcleod Russel India ($MCLEODRUSS)0.4x0.5x0.7x4.2x4.7x
Rossell India ($ROSSELLIND)0.0x1.9x1.5x2.6x2.9x
Tata Coffee ($TATACOFFEE)3.6x2.6x2.7x2.5x2.7x
Tata Global Beverages ($TATAGLOBAL)1.4x1.5x1.0x1.0x1.3x
 
Median (8 companies)1.4x1.7x0.4x1.0x2.0x
Andrew Yule & Company ($ANDREWYU)2.1x5.4x1.9x1.7x4.7x