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Nitesh Estates reports 3,184% CAPEX growth in 2016 while 11.8% Revenue decline

28-05-2016 • About Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST) • By InTwits

Nitesh Estates reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -0.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 151.9x while industry average is 10.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 11.8%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.1 pp from 82.8% to 86.9% in FY2016.

Net Income margin dropped on 29.5 pp from 0.82% to -28.7% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 105% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 65.0 pp from 39.7% in FY2013 to 105% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 35.9%. Battling declining revenue the company made large investments to CAPEX (3,457% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.6%) and ROE (-25.9%). ROIC decreased on 9.8 pp from 9.2% to -0.59% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 26.7 pp from 0.73% to -25.9% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 151.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 156.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 146.0x from 5.9x to 151.9x in FY2016. Debt surged on 189% while cash surged on 39.7%.

Nitesh Estates has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 6.3% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,1628292,9762,8752,535-11.8%
EBITDA5-47859066677-88.5%
Net Income3-1,4215224-727-3,182.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash18227936428039139.7%
Short Term Debt1,1212,3563,0093,8256,20262.2%
Long Term Debt1273533523515,8501,567.9%
Cash flow
Capex3292812,6553,184.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.3%-28.7%259.1%-3.4%-11.8%
EBITDA growth-93.0%-10,232.3%-223.3%12.9%-88.5%

EBITDA Margin0.4%-57.7%19.8%23.2%3.0%-20.1%
Net Income Margin0.3%-171.4%1.8%0.8%-28.7%-29.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue39.7%0.1%2.8%104.7%101.9%

ROIC-0.2%-8.4%9.0%9.2%-0.6%-9.8%
ROE0.1%-36.2%1.6%0.7%-25.9%-26.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA225.8x5.1x5.9x151.9x146.0x

Peers in Realty


Below you can find Nitesh Estates benchmarking vs. other companies in Realty industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sspdl ($SSPDL)--11.8%-43.4%326.1%-48.8%
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)--21.9%-88.0%275.1%-98.6%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)--61.7%-1.8%109.9%92.0%
Prajay Engineers Syndicate ($PRAENG)-21.1%42.0%-30.1%62.8%-
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)-34.7%13.7%56.3%35.9%
 
Median (34 companies)-16.0%5.6%-4.5%13.2%3.1%
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)--28.7%259.1%-3.4%-11.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%
 
Median (1 company)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)53.3%72.4%67.6%82.4%-
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%68.4%
Tci Developers ($TCIDEVELOP)---75.9%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)42.4%53.3%-127.2%69.8%-
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%47.7%
 
Median (43 companies)20.1%18.1%20.1%19.4%20.1%
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)0.4%-57.7%19.8%23.2%3.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Prozone Intu Properties ($PROZONINTU)---89.5%-
Ashiana Housing ($ASHIANA)---26.7%-
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%56.3%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)37.7%30.2%18.8%11.6%-
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)15.9%-11.6%10.6%15.6%
 
Median (30 companies)4.8%2.3%3.7%2.3%2.8%
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)-39.7%0.1%2.8%104.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) ($AHLUCONT)-3.2%-15.8%5.6%21.2%27.1%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%7.5%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%-
Mahindra Lifespace Developers ($MAHLIFE)10.4%11.7%6.6%14.9%4.6%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%9.0%
 
Median (50 companies)5.9%5.1%5.6%6.8%7.2%
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)-0.2%-8.4%9.0%9.2%-0.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x51.1x
B.L.Kashyap And Sons ($BLKASHYAP)8.2x5.8x12.7x40.1x3.3x
Vipul ($VIPUL)0.7x3.0x10.8x26.0x-
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)12.8x11.9x11.4x16.6x13.3x
Srs Real Infrastructure ($SRSREAL)11.7x10.0x12.9x14.7x-
 
Median (37 companies)5.1x4.8x4.9x4.0x4.1x
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)225.8x-5.1x5.9x151.9x