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Nhpc reports 28.7% CAPEX growth in 2016 and 4.7% Revenue growth

28-05-2016 • About Nhpc ($NHPC) • By InTwits

Nhpc reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Nhpc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 32.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 32.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹2,811m in FY2016, ₹4,488m in FY2015, ₹9,924m in FY2014, ₹5,139m in FY2013, ₹6,186m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Nhpc's Revenue increased on 4.7%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.6 pp from 23.5% to 29.1% in FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.4 pp from 22.0% to 26.4% in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.94 pp from 30.2% to 31.2% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2014 at 16.4% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 25.7% in FY2016. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 11.7 pp from 37.4% in FY2013 to 25.7% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 25.7%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -5.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.1%) and ROE (8.7%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2014 at 4.8% and was growing since that time. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE bottomed in FY2014 at 4.2% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.1x from 2.6x to 2.5x in FY2016. Debt decreased slightly on 2.0% while cash increased on 7.2%.

Nhpc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (423.1%).

Financial and operational results


Nhpc ($NHPC) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue72,18164,06274,15982,44186,2784.7%
SG&A11,81719,00118,15222,76525.4%
EBITDA51,55142,57943,98752,24251,684-1.1%
Net Income30,85626,17412,18824,91426,8837.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash10,21579,72561,02369,35274,3387.2%
Short Term Debt16,49615,34415,10418,60017,572-5.5%
Long Term Debt179,126188,059193,090187,245184,167-1.6%
Cash flow
Capex32,97923,98922,49917,26022,20828.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth40.3%-11.2%15.8%11.2%4.7%
EBITDA growth43.9%-17.4%3.3%18.8%-1.1%

EBITDA Margin71.4%66.5%59.3%63.4%59.9%-3.5%
SG&A, % of revenue18.4%25.6%22.0%26.4%4.4%
Net Income Margin42.7%40.9%16.4%30.2%31.2%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue45.7%37.4%30.3%20.9%25.7%4.8%

ROIC8.3%5.5%4.8%6.0%6.1%0.1%
ROE11.2%9.0%4.2%8.4%8.7%0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.6x2.9x3.3x2.6x2.5x-0.1x

Peers in Electric Utilities


Below you can find Nhpc benchmarking vs. other companies in Electric Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bf Utilities ($BFUTILITIE)41.4%9.2%20.6%117.9%-
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)-52.2%9.0%38.1%11.1%
Adani Power ($ADANIPOWER)-65.7%128.0%21.7%34.1%
Torrent Power ($TORNTPOWER)-9.9%5.6%19.8%12.4%
Ptc India ($PTC)-14.2%31.5%14.9%0.6%
 
Median (17 companies)22.8%15.3%8.4%6.1%5.8%
Nhpc ($NHPC)--11.2%15.8%11.2%4.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)83.7%85.6%84.9%85.8%87.0%
Orient Green Power Company ($GREENPOWER)24.4%53.3%57.8%82.8%86.9%
Bf Utilities ($BFUTILITIE)43.9%55.1%61.2%72.2%-
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)91.7%70.6%60.1%63.3%57.2%
Energy Development Company ($ENERGYDEV)---44.3%-
 
Median (18 companies)24.4%24.7%25.0%22.3%27.8%
Nhpc ($NHPC)71.4%66.5%59.3%63.4%59.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)184.3%172.4%173.4%169.8%120.3%
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)378.9%341.9%229.9%113.6%66.7%
Ksk Energy Ventures ($KSK)161.9%80.3%57.0%57.4%-
Nava Bharat Ventures ($NBVENTURES)69.0%30.5%70.6%55.3%-
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)139.1%136.7%109.1%52.7%36.9%
 
Median (15 companies)104.0%46.8%39.9%19.3%10.6%
Nhpc ($NHPC)45.7%37.4%30.3%20.9%25.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bf Utilities ($BFUTILITIE)1.9%4.5%6.0%17.2%-
Alstom T&D India ($ALSTOMT&D)0.0%15.7%14.6%16.1%10.6%
Ptc India ($PTC)11.2%10.4%13.6%12.3%13.6%
Torrent Power ($TORNTPOWER)19.0%7.3%4.9%8.1%12.2%
Power Grid Corporation Of India ($POWERGRID)8.3%8.8%8.4%7.7%8.4%
 
Median (19 companies)4.8%5.6%5.5%5.8%8.4%
Nhpc ($NHPC)8.3%5.5%4.8%6.0%6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ksk Energy Ventures ($KSK)16.3x16.2x27.0x35.7x-
Gvk Power & Infrastructure ($GVKPIL)19.1x23.9x20.1x20.2x14.2x
Gmr Infrastructure ($GMRINFRA)19.5x15.1x16.7x17.7x-
Lanco Infratech ($LITL)16.3x12.9x19.2x17.5x18.1x
Jaiprakash Power Ventures ($JPPOWER)11.6x13.1x16.7x13.4x10.7x
 
Median (18 companies)11.3x8.6x6.6x6.2x5.8x
Nhpc ($NHPC)3.6x2.9x3.3x2.6x2.5x