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Jaiprakash Associates CAPEX dropped on 47.2% and Revenue dropped on 11.9%

28-05-2016 • About Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT) • By InTwits

Jaiprakash Associates reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 27.6% in FY2016 vs. 31.5% in FY2015 vs. 36.9% in FY2012
  • Jaiprakash Associates has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 51.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹32,523m in FY2016, ₹61,613m in FY2015, ₹88,612m in FY2014, ₹123,202m in FY2013, ₹143,343m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 14.1x while industry average is 6.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Jaiprakash Associates's Revenue dropped on 11.9%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -11.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.9 pp from 31.5% to 27.6% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin followed a declining trend at -2.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin dropped on 10.6 pp from -8.9% to -19.5% in FY2016. Net Income margin followed a declining trend at -5.9 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 18.9%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 46.5 pp from 65.5% in FY2013 to 18.9% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 31.8%. The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (68.5%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling. CAPEX as a % of Revenue declined at -19.0 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (3.3%) and negative ROE (-23.9%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 4.8% to 3.3% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 10.1 pp from -13.8% to -23.9% in FY2016. ROIC followed a declining trend at -0.98 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a declining trend at -7.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 14.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 14.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from 11.9x to 14.1x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 10.3% while cash dropped on 68.5%. Net Debt/EBITDA grew at 1.3x per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Jaiprakash Associates has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 4.6% of short term debt.

Management team


Jaiprakash Associates's CFO Rahul Kumar has spent 10 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue147,732188,164196,960194,935171,811-11.9%
EBITDA54,57867,49363,82061,43047,503-22.7%
Net Income6,3294,618-8,248-17,351-33,450
Balance Sheet
Cash27,63328,06021,89720,8466,574-68.5%
Short Term Debt92,61598,732156,532192,317141,495-26.4%
Long Term Debt439,127532,378569,457560,424533,787-4.8%
Cash flow
Capex143,343123,20288,61261,61332,523-47.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth31.2%27.4%4.7%-1.0%-11.9%
EBITDA growth10.1%23.7%-5.4%-3.7%-22.7%

EBITDA Margin36.9%35.9%32.4%31.5%27.6%-3.9%
Net Income Margin4.3%2.5%-4.2%-8.9%-19.5%-10.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue97.0%65.5%45.0%31.6%18.9%-12.7%

ROIC7.0%7.1%5.5%4.8%3.3%-1.5%
ROE5.7%3.8%-7.2%-13.8%-23.9%-10.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA9.2x8.9x11.0x11.9x14.1x2.2x

Peers in Construction & Engineering


Below we provide Jaiprakash Associates benchmarking against other companies in Construction & Engineering industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Thirthankar Infra ($THIRINFRA)---258.2%-
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)--8.9%-20.7%239.1%-73.2%
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)-3.7%-4.0%8.5%79.2%-
Mukand Engineers ($MUKANDENGG)-16.7%12.4%63.0%-20.2%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)-115.1%28.1%50.2%-70.5%
 
Median (32 companies)-2.1%6.7%7.1%1.2%-4.9%
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)-27.4%4.7%-1.0%-11.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)8.4%31.9%22.1%32.1%-
Arss Infrastructure Projects ($ARSSINFRA)14.0%13.9%22.0%31.3%-
Reliance Industrial Infrastructure ($RIIL)---30.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)27.2%30.0%30.0%29.8%29.6%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)28.5%34.6%30.8%21.4%8.2%
 
Median (37 companies)11.9%11.2%10.2%9.9%10.2%
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)36.9%35.9%32.4%31.5%27.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)234.5%155.1%76.0%67.4%-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)46.6%31.1%43.1%45.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)0.0%11.2%14.1%40.8%25.2%
Man Infraconstruction ($MANINFRA)7.8%1.6%25.0%18.6%4.5%
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)0.4%-0.6%17.3%-
 
Median (23 companies)7.3%6.6%4.0%3.1%3.5%
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)97.0%65.5%45.0%31.6%18.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skipper ($SKIPPER)10.4%13.5%14.7%27.4%24.4%
Voltas ($VOLTAS)19.6%11.7%11.8%19.3%18.2%
Coromandel Engineering Company ($COROENGG)-21.9%3.4%-0.3%15.0%7.9%
Mbl Infrastructures ($MBLINFRA)21.3%13.4%14.0%13.6%-
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)13.1%11.3%3.8%12.6%-
 
Median (43 companies)8.6%7.5%6.3%6.8%6.8%
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)7.0%7.1%5.5%4.8%3.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mcnally Bharat Engineering Company ($MBECL)4.3x7.0x7.6x28.3x-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)6.0x6.1x6.8x11.3x-
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)96.8x19.0x16.4x9.8x-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)11.8x8.6x7.9x9.4x8.8x
Hindustan Construction Co ($HCC)18.8x20.3x12.3x9.3x6.4x
 
Median (31 companies)4.5x5.2x5.4x2.7x3.0x
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)9.2x8.9x11.0x11.9x14.1x