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Ansal Properties & Infrastructure CAPEX jumped on 123% while Revenue dropped on 33.4%

28-05-2016 • About Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI) • By InTwits

Ansal Properties & Infrastructure reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ansal Properties & Infrastructure is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -33.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -10.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 17.1% in FY2016, 8.2% in FY2015, 7.5% in FY2014, 10.0% in FY2013, 10.5% in FY2012
  • Ansal Properties & Infrastructure has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 10.7%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹1,437m in FY2016, ₹645m in FY2015, ₹763m in FY2014, ₹1,024m in FY2013, ₹2,139m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 13.3x while industry average is 10.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 33.4%. During FY2012-FY2016 Revenue growth topped in FY2014 at 29.3% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.9 pp from 8.2% to 17.1% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2014 at 7.5% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 1.8% to 0.32% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 19.4%. CAPEX/Revenue surged on 10.1 pp from 9.4% in FY2013 to 19.4% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 10.2%. The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (114% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2014 at 5.4% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.1%) and ROE (0.1%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.70 pp from 2.4% to 3.1% in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 1.3% to 0.15% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at 2.4%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 13.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 13.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.3x from 16.6x to 13.3x in FY2016. Debt increased on 8.2% while cash dropped on 46.9%.

Ansal Properties & Infrastructure has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 9.0% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue10,32110,92514,12911,0927,387-33.4%
EBITDA1,0881,0941,0559071,26239.2%
Net Income51485920524-88.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash758827869942500-46.9%
Short Term Debt8,0517,6224,8104,4515,56725.1%
Long Term Debt6,6476,2428,04311,58511,7781.7%
Cash flow
Capex2,1391,0247636451,437122.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-18.7%5.9%29.3%-21.5%-33.4%
EBITDA growth-61.8%0.5%-3.6%-14.0%39.2%

EBITDA Margin10.5%10.0%7.5%8.2%17.1%8.9%
Net Income Margin0.5%0.4%0.4%1.8%0.3%-1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue20.7%9.4%5.4%5.8%19.4%13.6%

ROIC3.3%3.0%2.8%2.4%3.1%0.7%
ROE0.3%0.3%0.4%1.3%0.1%-1.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA12.8x11.9x11.4x16.6x13.3x-3.3x

Peers in Realty


Below you can find Ansal Properties & Infrastructure benchmarking vs. other companies in Realty industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sspdl ($SSPDL)--11.8%-43.4%326.1%-48.8%
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)--21.9%-88.0%275.1%-98.6%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)--61.7%-1.8%109.9%92.0%
Prajay Engineers Syndicate ($PRAENG)-21.1%42.0%-30.1%62.8%-
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)-34.7%13.7%56.3%35.9%
 
Median (34 companies)-16.0%3.4%-4.5%13.2%3.1%
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)-5.9%29.3%-21.5%-33.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%
 
Median (1 company)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)53.3%72.4%67.6%82.4%-
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%68.4%
Tci Developers ($TCIDEVELOP)---75.9%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)42.4%53.3%-127.2%69.8%-
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%47.7%
 
Median (43 companies)20.1%18.1%20.1%22.6%20.1%
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)10.5%10.0%7.5%8.2%17.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Prozone Intu Properties ($PROZONINTU)---89.5%-
Ashiana Housing ($ASHIANA)---26.7%-
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%56.3%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)37.7%30.2%18.8%11.6%-
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)15.9%-11.6%10.6%15.6%
 
Median (30 companies)4.7%2.3%3.5%2.3%2.8%
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)20.7%9.4%5.4%5.8%19.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) ($AHLUCONT)-3.2%-15.8%5.6%21.2%27.1%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%7.5%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%-
Mahindra Lifespace Developers ($MAHLIFE)10.4%11.7%6.6%14.9%4.6%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%9.0%
 
Median (50 companies)5.9%5.1%5.7%6.8%7.2%
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)3.3%3.0%2.8%2.4%3.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x51.1x
B.L.Kashyap And Sons ($BLKASHYAP)8.2x5.8x12.7x40.1x3.3x
Vipul ($VIPUL)0.7x3.0x10.8x26.0x-
Srs Real Infrastructure ($SRSREAL)11.7x10.0x12.9x14.7x-
Prozone Intu Properties ($PROZONINTU)-8.6x13.0x11.9x8.7x
 
Median (37 companies)5.1x4.8x4.9x4.0x4.1x
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)12.8x11.9x11.4x16.6x13.3x