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Andhra Sugars reports 97.6% EBITDA growth in 2016 and 13.6% Revenue growth

28-05-2016 • About Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR) • By InTwits

Andhra Sugars reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 12.5% in FY2016, 7.2% in FY2015, 14.2% in FY2014, 19.1% in FY2013, 19.8% in FY2012
  • Andhra Sugars has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.0%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹1,437m in FY2016, ₹645m in FY2015, ₹763m in FY2014, ₹1,024m in FY2013, ₹2,139m in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.6%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.7x while industry average is 1.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Andhra Sugars's Revenue surged on 13.6%. During FY2012-FY2016 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2014 at -10.8% and was accelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.9 pp from 8.2% to 17.1% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2015 at 7.2%.

Net Income margin increased on 4.9 pp from -0.44% to 4.5% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2015 at -0.44%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Andhra Sugars's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.5% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.2 pp from 4.2% in FY2013 to 6.5% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.6%. To fuel its fast growth the company invested a large share of EBITDA (51.9%) to CAPEX. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2014 at 3.2% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.6%) and ROE (8.4%). ROIC increased on 5.6 pp from 3.0% to 8.6% in FY2016. ROE increased on 9.2 pp from -0.74% to 8.4% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at 3.0%. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2015 at -0.74%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.2x from 3.9x to 1.7x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 13.6% while cash dropped on 23.4%.

Andhra Sugars has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 17.4% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue11,43212,32210,99111,07512,58213.6%
EBITDA2,2612,3541,5637951,57197.6%
Net Income1,092836516-49563
Balance Sheet
Cash177266231275211-23.4%
Short Term Debt2,0241,4268301,8741,210-35.4%
Long Term Debt1,3591,3611,5761,4851,69013.8%
Cash flow
Capex60452335444881582.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.8%7.8%-10.8%0.8%13.6%
EBITDA growth57.3%4.1%-33.6%-49.1%97.6%

EBITDA Margin19.8%19.1%14.2%7.2%12.5%5.3%
Net Income Margin9.6%6.8%4.7%-0.4%4.5%4.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.3%4.2%3.2%4.0%6.5%2.4%

ROIC15.8%15.4%8.5%3.0%8.6%5.6%
ROE20.5%13.8%7.9%-0.7%8.4%9.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.4x1.1x1.4x3.9x1.7x-2.2x

Peers in Commodity Chemicals


Below you can find Andhra Sugars benchmarking vs. other companies in Commodity Chemicals industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilisers ($TUTIALKA)--27.9%-83.3%408.0%18.3%
Jayshree Chemicals ($JAYCH)288.9%17.5%-75.2%262.3%-
Jagran Production ($JAGPRO)-4.4%514.9%192.3%-32.9%
Shree Hari Chemicals Export ($SHHARICH)-2.5%-78.0%299.5%111.6%-
Jindal Poly Films ($JINDPOLBBPH)-17.2%-6.3%131.7%46.9%-
 
Median (37 companies)27.6%11.2%11.5%6.3%-0.6%
Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR)-7.8%-10.8%0.8%13.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols ($RIDDHI)---104.7%-
Mysore Petro Chemicals ($MYSORPETRO)---47.1%-
Aditya Birla Chemicals (India) ($ABCIL)26.8%27.1%23.6%21.9%-
Indo Borax & Chemicals ($INDOBORAX)---21.3%-
Chemfab Alkalis ($CHEMFALKAL)22.3%32.9%24.2%19.8%23.2%
 
Median (50 companies)9.6%8.3%8.5%6.6%10.2%
Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR)19.8%19.1%14.2%7.2%12.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kanoria Chemicals & Industries ($KANORICHEM)25.1%6.0%13.4%40.3%28.7%
Aditya Birla Chemicals (India) ($ABCIL)136.9%24.2%30.8%15.0%-
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)8.0%11.2%11.0%10.4%16.8%
Alkyl Amines Chemicals ($ALKYLAMINE)5.1%6.6%5.9%8.6%7.3%
Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals ($SUKHJITS)15.7%9.4%5.4%5.4%3.6%
 
Median (21 companies)5.2%7.2%5.9%3.2%4.7%
Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR)5.3%4.2%3.2%4.0%6.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bodal Chemicals ($BODALCHEM)-1.3%3.3%39.0%38.3%33.1%
Elantas Beck India ($ELANTAS)20.4%33.9%31.0%36.6%-
Alkyl Amines Chemicals ($ALKYLAMINE)16.0%18.7%25.0%23.7%24.7%
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)15.9%19.1%17.2%17.9%19.3%
Transpek Industry ($TRANSPEK)-1.7%14.2%11.0%17.8%26.9%
 
Median (60 companies)9.0%9.5%9.9%9.6%14.7%
Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR)15.8%15.4%8.5%3.0%8.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Iol Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals ($IOLCP)5.8x4.5x3.7x35.4x8.8x
India Glycols ($INDIAGLYCO)4.8x3.7x8.5x14.2x6.7x
Godrej Industries ($GODREJIND)9.9x5.7x7.9x10.7x10.0x
Kanoria Chemicals & Industries ($KANORICHEM)5.2x9.6x3.5x9.4x10.1x
Garware Polyester ($GARWARPOLY)2.2x3.8x4.0x5.2x3.1x
 
Median (37 companies)2.6x3.2x0.8x0.9x1.0x
Andhra Sugars ($ANDHRSUGAR)1.4x1.1x1.4x3.9x1.7x