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Visa Steel reports 147% EBITDA decline in 2016 and 2.1 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 1.4% to -0.65%

27-05-2016 • About Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL) • By InTwits

Visa Steel reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -0.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -0.6% in FY2016, 1.4% in FY2015, 7.6% in FY2014, -2.6% in FY2013, 5.9% in FY2012
  • Visa Steel has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 18.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹50m in FY2016, ₹568m in FY2015, ₹1,488m in FY2014, ₹2,766m in FY2013, ₹6,510m in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -4.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Visa Steel's Revenue increased slightly on 1.8%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.8 pp from 0.23% to 9.1% in FY2016.

Net Income margin dropped on 25.9 pp from -21.3% to -47.2% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.38% in FY2016. Visa Steel's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 26.6 pp from 27.0% in FY2013 to 0.38% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue declined at -11.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 187.1x from 187.1x to in FY2016. Debt jumped on 13.2% while cash jumped on 349%.

Visa Steel has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 0.3% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue13,49610,24914,54912,80313,0311.8%
EBITDA798-2621,111179-85-147.2%
Net Income-1,189-1,076-1,478-2,729-6,155
Balance Sheet
Cash210247860939348.9%
Short Term Debt6,3941,0984,3088,69614,43966.0%
Long Term Debt9,83922,47123,68624,88023,571-5.3%
Cash flow
Capex6,5102,7661,48856850-91.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.3%-24.1%42.0%-12.0%1.8%
EBITDA growth-62.7%-132.8%-524.4%-83.9%-147.2%

EBITDA Margin5.9%-2.6%7.6%1.4%-0.6%-2.1%
Net Income Margin-8.8%-10.5%-10.2%-21.3%-47.2%-25.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue48.2%27.0%10.2%4.4%0.4%-4.1%

ROIC1.5%-4.0%1.3%-1.9%-4.8%-2.9%
ROE-40.0%-46.9%-100.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA20.1x24.4x187.1x

Peers in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products


Below we provide Visa Steel benchmarking against other companies in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ocl Iron And Steel ($OISL)-5.5%86.6%69.1%-65.1%
Uttam Galva Steels ($UTTAMSTL)12.0%11.0%-13.2%55.0%-
Modern Steels ($MDRNSTL)-2.6%-22.7%0.7%20.3%-
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)-59.1%1.1%15.0%4.0%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)--8.5%0.5%12.7%3.4%
 
Median (34 companies)11.9%8.8%3.4%-0.4%-15.4%
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)--24.1%42.0%-12.0%1.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)37.5%30.5%28.1%29.8%17.2%
Sarda Energy & Minerals ($SARDAEN)16.3%21.5%21.3%21.5%13.5%
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)31.2%32.3%28.1%20.4%-
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)17.8%17.1%17.9%17.7%14.6%
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-9.6%0.9%6.8%14.6%16.8%
 
Median (31 companies)9.4%9.2%7.0%7.3%10.0%
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)5.9%-2.6%7.6%1.4%-0.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ocl Iron And Steel ($OISL)191.2%247.2%163.7%42.4%-
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)34.2%47.6%69.6%26.4%21.8%
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)20.4%44.0%31.1%17.3%5.7%
Steel Authority Of India ($SAIL)20.9%20.7%19.3%16.9%17.3%
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)47.2%44.0%50.4%16.2%-
 
Median (18 companies)9.7%11.6%7.7%5.4%8.8%
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)48.2%27.0%10.2%4.4%0.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-23.5%-3.7%19.9%57.4%42.6%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)26.8%18.4%12.3%15.7%16.6%
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)16.3%15.1%5.5%15.3%19.0%
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries ($KIRLFER)19.1%16.8%12.4%14.7%15.9%
Gallantt Metal ($GALLANTT)8.7%11.7%8.5%11.7%-
 
Median (42 companies)7.2%5.5%6.0%5.0%3.8%
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)1.5%-4.0%1.3%-1.9%-4.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ismt ($ISMTLTD)5.3x9.8x19.9x48.3x0.0x
Kic Metaliks ($KAJARIR)9.2x3.0x18.2x19.8x-
Ocl Iron And Steel ($OISL)164.7x1,935.8x41.6x19.4x-
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)6.3x8.6x12.9x17.7x-
Prakash Industries ($PRAKASH)2.5x2.8x2.5x11.9x3.4x
 
Median (28 companies)4.6x4.4x3.4x1.7x0.9x
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)20.1x-24.4x187.1x-