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Puravankara Projects reports 49.7% Net Income decline in 2016 and 7.3% Revenue decline

27-05-2016 • About Puravankara Projects ($PURVA) • By InTwits

Puravankara Projects reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Puravankara Projects has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.8%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹155m in FY2016, ₹350m in FY2015, ₹141m in FY2014, ₹216m in FY2013, ₹149m in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.5x while industry average is 6.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.3%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 8.2% to 9.3% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -7.2 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.7 pp from 8.0% to 4.3% in FY2016. Net Income margin declined at -3.7 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0% in FY2016. Puravankara Projects showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 0.75 pp from 1.8% in FY2013 to 1.0% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.1%) and ROE (2.9%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 9.7% to 8.1% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 3.1 pp from 6.0% to 2.9% in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2013 at 17.0% and was declining since that time. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE topped in FY2013 at 13.6% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 5.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.5x from 4.0x to 5.5x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 28.7% while cash surged on 32.3%. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2013 at 2.7x and was growing since that time.

Puravankara Projects has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 31.3% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 8.7x and P/E 17.6x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 9.1x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Management team


Ashish Ravi Puravankara is a Puravankara Projects's CEO. Ashish Ravi Puravankara has spent 5 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Puravankara Projects ($PURVA) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue8,09712,32012,98116,58615,377-7.3%
EBITDA3,9045,7964,7403,9893,676-7.8%
Net Income1,3572,4341,6001,327668-49.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash6982,2751,6552,1712,87232.3%
Short Term Debt10,4518,8819,9387,2799,17926.1%
Long Term Debt3,0398,9787,03010,65213,89430.4%
Cash flow
Capex149216141350155-55.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth36.4%52.2%5.4%27.8%-7.3%
EBITDA growth34.6%48.5%-18.2%-15.8%-7.8%

EBITDA Margin48.2%47.1%36.5%24.1%23.9%-0.1%
Net Income Margin16.8%19.8%12.3%8.0%4.3%-3.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.8%1.8%1.1%2.1%1.0%-1.1%

ROIC13.3%17.0%12.3%9.7%8.1%-1.6%
ROE8.3%13.6%7.9%6.0%2.9%-3.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.3x2.7x3.2x4.0x5.5x1.5x

Peers in Realty


Below you can find Puravankara Projects benchmarking vs. other companies in Realty industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sspdl ($SSPDL)16.2%-11.8%-43.4%326.1%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)--21.9%-88.0%275.1%-98.6%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)--61.7%-1.8%109.9%92.0%
Prajay Engineers Syndicate ($PRAENG)-21.1%42.0%-30.1%62.8%-
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)-34.7%13.7%56.3%35.9%
 
Median (34 companies)-16.0%3.4%-4.5%11.4%15.5%
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)-52.2%5.4%27.8%-7.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%
 
Median (1 company)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)53.3%72.4%67.6%82.4%-
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%-
Tci Developers ($TCIDEVELOP)---75.9%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)42.4%53.3%-127.2%69.8%-
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%47.7%
 
Median (43 companies)19.4%13.4%19.8%19.4%21.4%
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)48.2%47.1%36.5%24.1%23.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Prozone Intu Properties ($PROZONINTU)---89.5%-
Ashiana Housing ($ASHIANA)---26.7%-
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%56.3%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)37.7%30.2%18.8%11.6%-
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)15.9%-11.6%10.6%15.6%
 
Median (30 companies)4.9%2.6%3.7%2.5%2.1%
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)1.8%1.8%1.1%2.1%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) ($AHLUCONT)-3.2%-15.8%5.6%21.2%27.1%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%7.5%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%-
Mahindra Lifespace Developers ($MAHLIFE)10.4%11.7%6.6%14.9%4.6%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%9.0%
 
Median (50 companies)5.7%4.6%5.6%6.8%7.5%
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)13.3%17.0%12.3%9.7%8.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x-
B.L.Kashyap And Sons ($BLKASHYAP)8.2x5.8x12.7x40.1x3.3x
Vipul ($VIPUL)0.7x3.0x10.8x26.0x-
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)12.8x11.9x11.4x16.6x-
Srs Real Infrastructure ($SRSREAL)11.7x10.0x12.9x14.7x-
 
Median (37 companies)5.3x5.1x5.0x4.0x4.2x
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)3.3x2.7x3.2x4.0x5.5x