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Jayaswal Neco Industries CAPEX dropped on 71.0% and Revenue dropped on 13.0%

27-05-2016 • About Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND) • By InTwits

Jayaswal Neco Industries reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Jayaswal Neco Industries has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 23.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹1,513m in FY2016, ₹5,222m in FY2015, ₹9,824m in FY2014, ₹11,215m in FY2013, ₹5,286m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 2.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 14.8x while industry average is 4.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Jayaswal Neco Industries's Revenue dropped on 13.0%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 11.9% to 10.0% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin followed a declining trend at -0.76 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.6 pp from 0.0094% to -3.6% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.7% in FY2016. Jayaswal Neco Industries's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 38.2 pp from 44.0% in FY2013 to 5.7% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 18.0%. Battling declining revenue the company invested a large share of EBITDA (57.6%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2013 at 44.0% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.9%) and negative ROE (-4.3%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 4.4% to 2.9% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 4.3 pp from 0.013% to -4.3% in FY2016. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -1.6 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. ROE stuck to a declining trend at -2.1 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 14.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 15.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 3.6x from 11.2x to 14.8x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 2.7% while cash surged on 117%. Net Debt/EBITDA stuck to a growing trend at 2.4x per annum in the last 5 years.

Jayaswal Neco Industries has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 5.4% of short term debt.

Management team


Jayaswal Neco Industries's CEO is Arbind Jayaswal. Arbind Jayaswal has 21 years tenure with the company.

Financial and operational results


Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue25,90525,49231,60830,24326,326-13.0%
SG&A4
EBITDA3,4973,1864,0313,5932,628-26.9%
Net Income5382786213-936-33,019.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash8881,1652,137222481117.0%
Short Term Debt5,7149,57411,93110,6978,959-16.2%
Long Term Debt11,45014,64624,79729,82530,4592.1%
Cash flow
Capex5,28611,2159,8245,2221,513-71.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.6%-1.6%24.0%-4.3%-13.0%
EBITDA growth-1.9%-8.9%26.5%-10.9%-26.9%

EBITDA Margin13.5%12.5%12.8%11.9%10.0%-1.9%
SG&A, % of revenue0.0%
Net Income Margin2.1%1.1%2.0%0.0%-3.6%-3.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue20.4%44.0%31.1%17.3%5.7%-11.5%

ROIC10.1%5.9%5.5%4.4%2.9%-1.6%
ROE5.5%1.8%3.2%0.0%-4.3%-4.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.7x7.2x8.6x11.2x14.8x3.6x

Peers in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products


Below we provide Jayaswal Neco Industries benchmarking against other companies in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ocl Iron And Steel ($OISL)-5.5%86.6%69.1%-65.1%
Uttam Galva Steels ($UTTAMSTL)12.0%11.0%-13.2%55.0%-
Modern Steels ($MDRNSTL)-2.6%-22.7%0.7%20.3%-
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)-59.1%1.1%15.0%4.0%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)--8.5%0.5%12.7%3.4%
 
Median (34 companies)11.9%8.8%3.4%-0.4%-15.4%
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)--1.6%24.0%-4.3%-13.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)37.5%30.5%28.1%29.8%17.2%
Sarda Energy & Minerals ($SARDAEN)16.3%21.5%21.3%21.5%13.5%
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)31.2%32.3%28.1%20.4%-
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)17.8%17.1%17.9%17.7%14.6%
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-9.6%0.9%6.8%14.6%16.8%
 
Median (31 companies)9.3%9.0%7.0%7.2%9.2%
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)13.5%12.5%12.8%11.9%10.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ocl Iron And Steel ($OISL)191.2%247.2%163.7%42.4%-
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)34.2%47.6%69.6%26.4%21.8%
Steel Authority Of India ($SAIL)20.9%20.7%19.3%16.9%17.3%
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)47.2%44.0%50.4%16.2%-
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)11.9%14.7%11.3%12.7%12.4%
 
Median (18 companies)9.7%11.6%7.7%4.9%8.8%
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)20.4%44.0%31.1%17.3%5.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-23.5%-3.7%19.9%57.4%42.6%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)26.8%18.4%12.3%15.7%16.6%
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)16.3%15.1%5.5%15.3%19.0%
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries ($KIRLFER)19.1%16.8%12.4%14.7%15.9%
Gallantt Metal ($GALLANTT)8.7%11.7%8.5%11.7%-
 
Median (42 companies)6.8%5.4%6.0%5.0%3.8%
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)10.1%5.9%5.5%4.4%2.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)20.1x-24.4x187.1x-
Ismt ($ISMTLTD)5.3x9.8x19.9x48.3x0.0x
Kic Metaliks ($KAJARIR)9.2x3.0x18.2x19.8x-
Ocl Iron And Steel ($OISL)164.7x1,935.8x41.6x19.4x-
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)6.3x8.6x12.9x17.7x-
 
Median (28 companies)4.7x4.4x3.4x1.7x0.8x
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)4.7x7.2x8.6x11.2x14.8x