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Atlanta Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 64.1x from 7.6x to 71.7x in 2016 and Debt increased on 7.3%

27-05-2016 • About Atlanta ($ATLANTA) • By InTwits

Atlanta reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Atlanta is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -70.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -8.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 8.2% in FY2016 vs. 21.4% in FY2015 vs. 28.5% in FY2012
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 8.2% in FY2016, 21.4% in FY2015, 30.8% in FY2014, 34.6% in FY2013, 28.5% in FY2012
  • Atlanta has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 75.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹17m in FY2016, ₹69m in FY2015, ₹90m in FY2014, ₹24m in FY2013, ₹4,831m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 0.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 71.7x while industry average is 6.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Atlanta's Revenue dropped on 70.5%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.8 pp from 6.3% to 10.0% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 EBITDA Margin topped in FY2013 at 34.6% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin dropped on 33.8 pp from 8.9% to -24.8% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2014 at 15.0% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Atlanta's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (0.5%) and negative ROE (-5.6%). ROIC decreased on 6.5 pp from 6.9% to 0.47% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 12.6 pp from 7.0% to -5.6% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROIC topped in FY2014 at 8.7% and was declining since that time. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE topped in FY2014 at 8.8% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 71.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 72.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 64.1x from 7.6x to 71.7x in FY2016. Debt increased on 7.3% while cash increased slightly on 1.6%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2013 at 4.8x and was growing since that time.

Atlanta has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 3.0% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Atlanta ($ATLANTA) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,3062,8103,5995,4061,593-70.5%
EBITDA3729731,1081,157131-88.6%
Net Income-76-39540483-395-181.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash221612571301321.6%
Short Term Debt7461,0221,7552,0304,433118.4%
Long Term Debt3,4613,6885,5796,8645,108-25.6%
Cash flow
Capex4,83124906917-76.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-47.6%115.1%28.1%50.2%-70.5%
EBITDA growth-66.2%161.9%13.9%4.4%-88.6%

EBITDA Margin28.5%34.6%30.8%21.4%8.2%-13.2%
Net Income Margin-5.8%-1.4%15.0%8.9%-24.8%-33.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue370.0%0.8%2.5%1.3%1.0%-0.2%

ROIC5.0%8.6%8.7%6.9%0.5%-6.5%
ROE-2.7%-1.0%8.8%7.0%-5.6%-12.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA10.7x4.8x6.4x7.6x71.7x64.1x

Peers in Construction & Engineering


Below you can find Atlanta benchmarking vs. other companies in Construction & Engineering industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Thirthankar Infra ($THIRINFRA)---258.2%-
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)--8.9%-20.7%239.1%-73.2%
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)-3.7%-4.0%8.5%79.2%-
Mukand Engineers ($MUKANDENGG)-16.7%12.4%63.0%-20.2%
Spml Infra ($SPMLINFRA)-19.3%6.6%35.0%11.6%
 
Median (32 companies)4.2%6.7%6.6%-0.0%-2.1%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)-115.1%28.1%50.2%-70.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)8.4%31.9%22.1%32.1%-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)36.9%35.9%32.4%31.5%-
Arss Infrastructure Projects ($ARSSINFRA)14.0%13.9%22.0%31.3%-
Reliance Industrial Infrastructure ($RIIL)---30.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)27.2%30.0%30.0%29.8%29.6%
 
Median (36 companies)11.9%11.2%10.2%10.1%10.5%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)28.5%34.6%30.8%21.4%8.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)234.5%155.1%76.0%67.4%-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)46.6%31.1%43.1%45.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)0.0%11.2%14.1%40.8%25.2%
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)97.0%65.5%45.0%31.6%-
Man Infraconstruction ($MANINFRA)7.8%1.6%25.0%18.6%4.5%
 
Median (23 companies)7.3%8.6%6.9%3.2%3.5%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)370.0%0.8%2.5%1.3%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skipper ($SKIPPER)10.4%13.5%14.7%27.4%24.4%
Voltas ($VOLTAS)19.6%11.7%11.8%19.3%18.2%
Coromandel Engineering Company ($COROENGG)-21.9%3.4%-0.3%15.0%7.9%
Mbl Infrastructures ($MBLINFRA)21.3%13.4%14.0%13.6%-
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)13.1%11.3%3.8%12.6%-
 
Median (42 companies)8.6%7.1%5.6%6.6%7.2%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)5.0%8.6%8.7%6.9%0.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mcnally Bharat Engineering Company ($MBECL)4.3x7.0x7.6x28.3x-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)9.2x8.9x11.0x11.9x-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)6.0x6.1x6.8x11.3x-
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)96.8x19.0x16.4x9.8x-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)11.8x8.6x7.9x9.4x8.8x
 
Median (30 companies)4.5x5.7x6.1x2.9x3.0x
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)10.7x4.8x6.4x7.6x71.7x