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Astral Poly Technik CAPEX surged on 59.7% and Revenue surged on 20.2%

27-05-2016 • About Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL) • By InTwits

Astral Poly Technik reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Astral Poly Technik is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 20.2%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 33.1% at FY2016 ROIC 17.3%
  • Astral Poly Technik has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹496,620m in FY2016, ₹633,640m in FY2015, ₹600,870m in FY2014, ₹307,260m in FY2013, ₹163,810m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 17.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.7x while industry average is 0.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 20.2%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -5.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.55 pp from 5.3% to 5.9% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 8.0%. Astral Poly Technik showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.5%. To maintain its fast growth Astral Poly Technik invested a large share of EBITDA (66.7%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (17.3%) and ROE (14.4%). ROIC decreased on 2.4 pp from 19.7% to 17.3% in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 16.2% to 14.4% in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2014 at 33.3% and was declining since that time. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE topped in FY2013 at 28.5% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 1.1x to 0.7x in FY2016. Debt showed almost no change in FY2016 while cash surged on 371%.

Astral Poly Technik has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 73.4% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 24.8x and P/E 49.2x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. Astral Poly Technik's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 74.7x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Management team


The company's CEO Sandeep P Engineer has spent 14 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue5,8278,25210,79614,29917,19020.2%
SG&A50666832.1%
EBITDA8281,1721,6001,6832,05121.9%
Net Income3956067897591,00632.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash1101159115541370.7%
Short Term Debt291279613814738-9.3%
Long Term Debt6486448061,2131,2886.2%
Cash flow
Capex6966969248581,36959.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth41.7%41.6%30.8%32.4%20.2%
EBITDA growth49.4%41.5%36.5%5.2%21.9%

EBITDA Margin14.2%14.2%14.8%11.8%11.9%0.2%
SG&A, % of revenue3.5%3.9%0.4%
Net Income Margin6.8%7.3%7.3%5.3%5.9%0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.9%8.4%8.6%6.0%8.0%2.0%

ROIC29.3%31.1%33.3%19.7%17.3%-2.4%
ROE23.8%28.5%28.4%16.2%14.4%-1.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x0.7x0.9x1.1x0.7x-0.4x

Peers in Plastic Products


Below we provide Astral Poly Technik benchmarking against other companies in Plastic Products industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Max India ($MAX)28.0%23.7%10.1%27.4%-
Wim Plast ($WIMPLAST)-23.1%19.5%23.5%-1.9%
Acrysil ($ACRYSIL)-29.6%33.8%19.4%31.6%
Shaily Engineering Plastics ($SHAILY)--16.0%23.3%19.2%25.5%
Fenoplast ($FENOPLAS)11.4%-1.1%12.6%8.5%-
 
Median (11 companies)18.2%23.4%12.6%8.4%7.5%
Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL)-41.6%30.8%32.4%20.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Acrysil ($ACRYSIL)12.4%16.8%17.5%19.5%17.1%
Wim Plast ($WIMPLAST)18.1%17.9%18.1%17.0%20.9%
Shaily Engineering Plastics ($SHAILY)14.3%13.9%16.0%14.8%17.3%
Jain Irrigation Systems ($JISLJALEQS)16.6%12.6%12.6%12.4%-
Responsive Industries ($RESPONIND)13.4%11.5%10.3%12.2%-
 
Median (15 companies)11.7%11.2%11.1%9.7%14.0%
Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL)14.2%14.2%14.8%11.8%11.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shaily Engineering Plastics ($SHAILY)3.7%-10.7%17.2%13.0%
Flexituff International ($FLEXITUFF)10.8%10.3%15.7%10.0%5.0%
Acrysil ($ACRYSIL)7.8%11.0%9.6%9.3%5.0%
Wim Plast ($WIMPLAST)14.3%8.1%3.7%7.9%3.3%
Responsive Industries ($RESPONIND)14.7%10.3%6.9%3.8%-
 
Median (7 companies)7.8%8.1%6.9%7.9%5.0%
Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL)11.9%8.4%8.6%6.0%8.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Wim Plast ($WIMPLAST)31.8%31.2%31.0%31.2%31.6%
Acrysil ($ACRYSIL)7.7%16.2%20.2%21.0%16.9%
Shaily Engineering Plastics ($SHAILY)19.5%15.0%19.3%15.2%18.2%
Max India ($MAX)8.9%24.3%7.0%12.7%-
Jain Irrigation Systems ($JISLJALEQS)13.4%8.3%9.0%8.6%-
 
Median (22 companies)10.0%10.9%11.0%12.7%17.5%
Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL)29.3%31.1%33.3%19.7%17.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Flexituff International ($FLEXITUFF)2.2x3.1x4.3x5.3x4.5x
Jain Irrigation Systems ($JISLJALEQS)3.8x5.1x4.8x4.8x-
Acrysil ($ACRYSIL)2.9x2.2x2.0x2.7x1.4x
Shaily Engineering Plastics ($SHAILY)1.9x1.8x1.9x2.6x1.5x
Responsive Industries ($RESPONIND)3.3x2.9x2.4x1.9x-
 
Median (15 companies)2.2x2.2x0.0x0.0x0.0x
Astral Poly Technik ($ASTRAL)1.0x0.7x0.9x1.1x0.7x