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United Spirits reports 150% Net Income growth in 2016 and 0.88% Revenue growth

26-05-2016 • About United Spirits ($UNITDSPR) • By InTwits

United Spirits reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 10.5% in FY2016, 6.1% in FY2015, -1.3% in FY2014, 12.6% in FY2013, 12.2% in FY2012
  • United Spirits has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹2,596m in FY2016, ₹1,643m in FY2015, ₹2,325m in FY2014, ₹2,902m in FY2013, ₹6,831m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 12.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.2x while industry average is 2.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.88%. During FY2012-FY2016 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at -12.8%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.6 pp from 23.5% to 29.1% in FY2016.

Net Income margin jumped on 31.5 pp from -21.1% to 10.5% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2015 at -21.1%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.8% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.3%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2015 at 1.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (79.1%) while ROIC is a bit lower (12.8%). ROIC increased on 9.2 pp from 3.7% to 12.8% in FY2016. ROE jumped on 184 pp from -105% to 79.1% in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2015 at -105%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 4.2x from 8.4x to 4.2x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 14.8% while cash dropped on 44.8%.

United Spirits has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 4.6% of short term debt.

Management team


United Spirits's CEO Anand Kripalu has spent 6 years with the company. The company's CFO is Sanjeev Churiwala. Sanjeev Churiwala has 4 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


United Spirits ($UNITDSPR) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue91,865104,115105,00991,59492,4010.9%
EBITDA11,18113,169-1,3755,5699,72674.7%
Net Income1,879-3,301-14,413-19,2999,677
Balance Sheet
Cash3,1331,8516,1542,9061,603-44.8%
Short Term Debt30,48535,66973,10438,69535,136-9.2%
Long Term Debt53,96046,7559,96711,1737,344-34.3%
Cash flow
Capex6,8312,9022,3251,6432,59658.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth24.5%13.3%0.9%-12.8%0.9%
EBITDA growth-2.3%17.8%-110.4%-504.9%74.7%

EBITDA Margin12.2%12.6%-1.3%6.1%10.5%4.4%
Net Income Margin2.0%-3.2%-13.7%-21.1%10.5%31.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.4%2.8%2.2%1.8%2.8%1.0%

ROIC8.1%8.7%-2.7%3.7%12.8%9.2%
ROE4.3%-7.0%-36.9%-104.5%79.1%183.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.3x6.1x8.4x4.2x-4.2x

Peers in Breweries & Distilleries


Below you can find United Spirits benchmarking vs. other companies in Breweries & Distilleries industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ifb Agro Industries ($IFBAGRO)-5.4%8.4%19.2%4.8%
Pioneer Distilleries ($PIONDIST)--0.9%25.1%17.0%-5.3%
United Breweries ($UBL)-9.5%8.5%10.8%8.3%
Som Distilleries & Breweries ($SDBL)-5.0%-6.5%8.3%6.7%
G.M.Breweries ($GMBREW)-12.0%0.3%6.5%17.0%
 
Median (7 companies)18.4%5.4%8.5%8.3%6.7%
United Spirits ($UNITDSPR)-13.3%0.9%-12.8%0.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pioneer Distilleries ($PIONDIST)-3.0%-7.5%6.6%19.5%56.5%
Tilaknagar Industries ($TI)26.2%22.7%21.0%15.0%-
Som Distilleries & Breweries ($SDBL)14.4%15.0%15.0%14.9%14.8%
United Breweries ($UBL)11.6%12.3%10.3%13.3%14.4%
G.M.Breweries ($GMBREW)10.0%9.1%13.7%11.5%23.8%
 
Median (10 companies)11.6%10.8%13.7%8.3%14.8%
United Spirits ($UNITDSPR)12.2%12.6%-1.3%6.1%10.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tilaknagar Industries ($TI)20.6%10.0%14.8%13.7%-
Pioneer Distilleries ($PIONDIST)29.8%35.0%30.0%12.3%-
United Breweries ($UBL)10.7%9.8%5.0%8.7%4.8%
Ifb Agro Industries ($IFBAGRO)4.6%1.8%9.8%4.5%7.4%
Som Distilleries & Breweries ($SDBL)12.3%3.3%0.9%1.5%1.1%
 
Median (6 companies)10.7%6.7%7.4%6.6%3.0%
United Spirits ($UNITDSPR)7.4%2.8%2.2%1.8%2.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pioneer Distilleries ($PIONDIST)-12.3%-17.4%-3.3%70.5%-
G.M.Breweries ($GMBREW)18.4%17.0%21.9%18.0%46.7%
Som Distilleries & Breweries ($SDBL)23.3%22.2%19.2%16.5%13.3%
United Breweries ($UBL)11.5%11.6%8.1%14.3%17.1%
Ifb Agro Industries ($IFBAGRO)33.3%26.7%18.8%4.8%8.0%
 
Median (11 companies)15.0%11.6%10.7%15.4%15.2%
United Spirits ($UNITDSPR)8.1%8.7%-2.7%3.7%12.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tilaknagar Industries ($TI)4.3x3.8x4.8x8.4x-
Pioneer Distilleries ($PIONDIST)--10.4x2.1x0.3x
United Breweries ($UBL)2.0x2.5x2.7x1.3x0.9x
Som Distilleries & Breweries ($SDBL)0.5x-0.1x-0.0x0.7x2.2x
G.M.Breweries ($GMBREW)0.9x0.7x0.6x0.5x-0.4x
 
Median (7 companies)2.0x1.1x0.9x0.7x0.8x
United Spirits ($UNITDSPR)7.3x6.1x-8.4x4.2x