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India Cements EBITDA jumped on 13.6% while Revenue decreased on 3.9%

26-05-2016 • About India Cements ($INDIACEM) • By InTwits

India Cements reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • India Cements has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.1%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹1,680m in FY2016, ₹2,576m in FY2015, ₹2,427m in FY2014, ₹5,645m in FY2013, ₹6,631m in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


India Cements's Revenue decreased on 3.9%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -7.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.7 pp from 15.1% to 17.8% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2014 at 12.4% and was growing since that time.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.68 pp from 27.7% to 28.4% in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased on 2.8 pp from -0.065% to 2.8% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2014 at -4.8% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.5%. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 7.5 pp from 10.9% in FY2013 to 3.5% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.4%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue declined at -2.8 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.4%) and ROE (3.9%). ROIC increased on 2.2 pp from 6.2% to 8.4% in FY2016. ROE increased on 4.0 pp from -0.094% to 3.9% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROIC bottomed in FY2014 at 4.1% and was growing since that time. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE bottomed in FY2014 at -6.4% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.9x from 4.6x to 3.7x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 7.3% while cash jumped on 403%. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Debt/EBITDA topped in FY2014 at 5.5x and was declining since that time.

India Cements has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 3.1% of short term debt.

Management team


India Cements's CEO Narayanaswami Srinivasan has spent 31 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


India Cements ($INDIACEM) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue46,31051,59550,84850,60448,654-3.9%
SG&A2,13516,12117,37914,01813,808-1.5%
EBITDA9,5279,4756,3117,6328,67313.6%
Net Income2,7151,880-2,434-331,344
Balance Sheet
Cash122926072361403.1%
Short Term Debt12,82711,83612,57710,56511,69210.7%
Long Term Debt17,51921,32122,40724,45420,755-15.1%
Cash flow
Capex6,6315,6452,4272,5761,680-34.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.8%11.4%-1.4%-0.5%-3.9%
EBITDA growth97.8%-0.5%-33.4%20.9%13.6%

EBITDA Margin20.6%18.4%12.4%15.1%17.8%2.7%
SG&A, % of revenue4.6%31.2%34.2%27.7%28.4%0.7%
Net Income Margin5.9%3.6%-4.8%-0.1%2.8%2.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue14.3%10.9%4.8%5.1%3.5%-1.6%

ROIC9.5%8.3%4.1%6.2%8.4%2.2%
ROE6.8%4.7%-6.4%-0.1%3.9%4.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.2x3.5x5.5x4.6x3.7x-0.9x

Peers in Cement & Cement Products


Below you can find India Cements benchmarking vs. other companies in Cement & Cement Products industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ncl Industries ($NCLIND)38.2%-15.8%-3.0%30.8%-
Indian Hume Pipe Co ($INDIANHUME)-34.5%18.3%22.7%-7.2%
J.K.Cement ($JKCEMENT)21.8%14.7%-4.0%21.2%-
Visaka Industries ($VIKASAS)-22.0%-2.6%13.6%-0.8%
Prism Cement ($PRISMCEM)-4.9%5.3%12.5%-0.6%
 
Median (16 companies)14.9%11.7%1.7%7.3%-0.6%
India Cements ($INDIACEM)-11.4%-1.4%-0.5%-3.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Orient Cement ($ORIENTCEM)-21.5%15.0%19.8%12.2%
Saurashtra Cement ($SAURASHCEM)11.4%21.6%11.9%16.8%13.8%
Ambuja Cements ($AMBUJACEM)25.6%18.2%19.4%16.4%-
Deccan Cements ($DECCANCE)22.8%13.2%14.7%14.9%19.9%
Acc ($ACC)19.3%14.6%12.9%14.4%-
 
Median (15 companies)16.2%13.4%11.7%11.0%12.2%
India Cements ($INDIACEM)20.6%18.4%12.4%15.1%17.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Udaipur Cement Works ($UDAICEMENT)---91.1%-
Orient Cement ($ORIENTCEM)-2.9%-59.7%24.5%
J.K.Cement ($JKCEMENT)6.5%18.8%55.8%16.2%-
Acc ($ACC)5.0%8.6%13.7%9.5%-
Birla Corporation ($BIRLACORPN)19.1%7.1%5.5%6.9%5.1%
 
Median (12 companies)5.5%7.1%8.3%5.9%4.2%
India Cements ($INDIACEM)14.3%10.9%4.8%5.1%3.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Saurashtra Cement ($SAURASHCEM)38.6%42.7%13.9%26.9%23.6%
Indian Hume Pipe Co ($INDIANHUME)7.6%13.8%15.0%18.0%14.5%
Orient Cement ($ORIENTCEM)-57.3%15.2%15.4%4.6%
Acc ($ACC)20.2%12.7%11.0%9.9%-
K.C.P ($KCP)17.6%6.7%7.1%9.3%-
 
Median (17 companies)15.8%11.2%6.7%8.7%8.0%
India Cements ($INDIACEM)9.5%8.3%4.1%6.2%8.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Udaipur Cement Works ($UDAICEMENT)---17.1x358.6x
Heidelbergcement India ($HEIDELBERG)14.0x12.2x0.0x10.4x3.0x
Prism Cement ($PRISMCEM)4.8x6.0x10.0x6.0x5.3x
J.K.Cement ($JKCEMENT)2.3x2.3x6.9x5.8x-
Orient Cement ($ORIENTCEM)--0.1x1.1x3.5x6.8x
 
Median (14 companies)1.8x2.4x2.6x2.6x3.1x
India Cements ($INDIACEM)3.2x3.5x5.5x4.6x3.7x