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Waterbase reports 96.5% Net Income decline in 2016 while 14.5% Revenue growth

25-05-2016 • About Waterbase ($WATERBASE) • By InTwits

Waterbase reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Waterbase is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 14.5%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 47.0% at FY2016 ROIC 17.2%
  • Waterbase has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 8.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹51m in FY2016, ₹50m in FY2015, ₹8m in FY2014, ₹25m in FY2013, ₹25m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 17.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Waterbase's Revenue surged on 14.5%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -24.9 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.7 pp from 11.2% to 7.5% in FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased on 6.8 pp from 7.0% to 0.22% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 Waterbase had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6%. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (17.2%) while ROE is low (0.7%). ROIC decreased on 8.1 pp from 25.3% to 17.2% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 20.3 pp from 21.0% to 0.69% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROIC topped in FY2015 at 25.3%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.4x Debt / EBITDA. Debt dropped on 17.5% while cash dropped on 38.8%.

Waterbase has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (137.4%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 11.6x and P/E 409.9x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. Waterbase's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 14.7x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Waterbase ($WATERBASE) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,0351,5702,2822,7723,17514.5%
EBITDA111122237309238-22.9%
Net Income56601361957-96.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash51126101227139-38.8%
Short Term Debt86181104121101-16.0%
Long Term Debt1051022231-74.7%
Cash flow
Capex2525850512.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth124.1%51.8%45.3%21.5%14.5%
EBITDA growth113.0%9.8%95.3%30.4%-22.9%

EBITDA Margin10.7%7.7%10.4%11.2%7.5%-3.7%
Net Income Margin5.4%3.8%5.9%7.0%0.2%-6.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.4%1.6%0.4%1.8%1.6%-0.2%

ROIC10.8%11.3%22.5%25.3%17.2%-8.1%
ROE11.1%10.5%18.5%21.0%0.7%-20.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x1.3x0.1x-0.3x-0.2x0.2x

Peers in Other Food Products


Below you can find Waterbase benchmarking vs. other companies in Other Food Products industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skm Egg Products Export (India) ($SKMEGGPROD)-51.0%23.4%10.0%3.7%
 
Median (1 company)-51.0%23.4%10.0%3.7%
Waterbase ($WATERBASE)-51.8%45.3%21.5%14.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lactose (India) ($LACTOSE)---22.2%-
Skm Egg Products Export (India) ($SKMEGGPROD)1.7%11.5%16.8%11.9%13.0%
Chordia Food Products ($CHORDIA)---8.6%-
 
Median (3 companies)1.7%11.5%16.8%11.9%13.0%
Waterbase ($WATERBASE)10.7%7.7%10.4%11.2%7.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skm Egg Products Export (India) ($SKMEGGPROD)0.3%0.3%0.9%0.8%3.0%
 
Median (1 company)0.3%0.3%0.9%0.8%3.0%
Waterbase ($WATERBASE)2.4%1.6%0.4%1.8%1.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skm Egg Products Export (India) ($SKMEGGPROD)-3.4%4.8%36.3%29.4%30.0%
Saboo Sodium Chloro ($SABOOSOD)-0.4%----
Lactose (India) ($LACTOSE)-----
Kothari Fermentation & Biochem ($KFBL)-----
Chordia Food Products ($CHORDIA)10.2%----
 
Median (5 companies)-0.4%4.8%36.3%29.4%30.0%
Waterbase ($WATERBASE)10.8%11.3%22.5%25.3%17.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skm Egg Products Export (India) ($SKMEGGPROD)34.3x3.4x0.6x0.9x0.4x
Chordia Food Products ($CHORDIA)0.8x--0.0x-
Lactose (India) ($LACTOSE)0.0x2.0x0.0x0.0x-
 
Median (3 companies)3.5x1.0x0.0x0.0x0.4x
Waterbase ($WATERBASE)1.3x1.3x0.1x-0.3x-0.2x