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Fortune Financial Services (India) reports 39.6% EBITDA decline in 2016 and 10.9% Revenue decline

25-05-2016 • About Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF) • By InTwits

Fortune Financial Services (India) reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 21.2% in FY2016, 31.2% in FY2015, 31.3% in FY2014, -7.6% in FY2013, 20.9% in FY2012
  • Fortune Financial Services (India) has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹13m in FY2016, ₹116m in FY2015, ₹25m in FY2014, ₹8m in FY2013, ₹8m in FY2012
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 10.9%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.8 pp from 6.6% to 9.5% in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased on 3.1 pp from 0.93% to 4.0% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2013 at -21.3% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 Fortune Financial Services (India) had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.92%. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%. During FY2012-FY2016 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2015 at 7.3%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.4x. Debt dropped on 84.6% while cash surged on 311%.

Fortune Financial Services (India) has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (121.3%).

Valuation and dividends


Fortune Financial Services (India)'s trades at EV/EBITDA 26.0x and P/E 140.1x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 27.2x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue7895935511,5891,415-10.9%
EBITDA164-45172496299-39.6%
Net Income-22-126-121557282.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash658659208856310.9%
Short Term Debt1,5471,2721,9184,384706-83.9%
Long Term Debt0002171-99.5%
Cash flow
Capex882511613-88.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-11.7%-24.9%-7.1%188.4%-10.9%
EBITDA growth-43.3%-127.4%-482.5%187.9%-39.6%

EBITDA Margin20.9%-7.6%31.3%31.2%21.2%-10.1%
Net Income Margin-2.8%-21.3%-2.3%0.9%4.0%3.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.0%1.3%4.5%7.3%0.9%-6.4%

ROE-1.9%-11.5%-0.9%0.8%2.5%1.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA9.0x10.8x8.9x-0.5x-9.4x

Peers in Finance (including NBFCs)


Below we provide Fortune Financial Services (India) benchmarking against other companies in Finance (including NBFCs) industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-0.4%-0.9%64.7%39.8%
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)--25.6%55.0%47.3%64.5%
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)-12.8%25.9%27.0%-12.2%
Bajaj Finserv ($BAJAJFINSV)-28.1%18.8%26.8%23.9%
Master Trust ($MASTERTR)10.2%-0.0%-5.3%26.0%-
 
Median (23 companies)23.9%27.4%20.8%13.3%9.9%
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)--24.9%-7.1%188.4%-10.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Microse India ($MICROSE)---101.1%-
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)94.0%96.4%96.4%96.1%95.4%
Jsw Holdings ($JSWHL)---93.8%-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)97.2%97.3%96.7%93.3%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)96.1%95.4%92.3%92.7%91.4%
 
Median (48 companies)70.0%67.8%66.4%56.6%66.8%
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)20.9%-7.6%31.3%31.2%21.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Clarus Finance & Securities ($CLARUS)--6.9%5.8%-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)30.2%8.5%12.3%5.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)15.5%5.3%1.7%3.4%2.5%
Bengal & Assam Company ($BENGALASM)15.9%4.5%1.2%2.1%-
Shriram City Union Finance ($SHRIRAMCIT)1.8%2.0%1.0%1.2%1.0%
 
Median (21 companies)0.6%0.7%0.9%0.7%0.6%
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)1.0%1.3%4.5%7.3%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-12.0%9.7%11.9%7.8%
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)--4.1%6.6%7.6%
Shriram City Union Finance ($SHRIRAMCIT)6.1%5.8%5.8%5.7%4.6%
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)-4.7%5.2%4.7%-
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)6.4%6.3%5.3%4.2%3.2%
 
Median (52 companies)4.1%4.6%4.1%4.1%3.7%
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)-----


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)14.2x11.2x11.3x8.8x15.0x
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)7.0x6.2x7.5x8.0x-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)8.3x8.0x7.5x8.0x-
Magma Fincorp ($MAGMA)7.7x8.5x7.0x7.7x7.5x
Cholamandalam Investment And Finance Company ($CHOLAFIN)9.0x7.9x7.4x7.2x4.9x
 
Median (44 companies)4.4x3.6x2.9x0.0x5.1x
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)9.0x-10.8x8.9x-0.5x