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Asian Hotels (East) Debt dropped on 52.4% and Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 4.4x from 7.1x to 2.7x

24-05-2016 • About Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST) • By InTwits

Asian Hotels (East) reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Asian Hotels (East) has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹42m in FY2016, ₹35m in FY2015, ₹42m in FY2014, ₹181m in FY2013, ₹10m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 2.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 2.3%. During FY2012-FY2016 Revenue growth topped in FY2013 at 76.9% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 26.3 pp from 5.7% to -20.6% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2014 at 21.8% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin increased on 8.3 pp from -11.6% to -3.3% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2015 at -11.6%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2% in FY2016. Asian Hotels (East) showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 9.8 pp from 12.0% in FY2013 to 2.2% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.2%) and negative ROE (-0.9%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 1.1% to 2.2% in FY2016. ROE increased slightly on 2.0 pp from -2.8% to -0.85% in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at 1.1%. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2015 at -2.8%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 4.4x from 7.1x to 2.7x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 52.4% while cash jumped on 15.6%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA topped in FY2013 at 9.8x and was declining since that time.

Asian Hotels (East) has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 39.6% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue8541,5111,7971,8841,9272.3%
EBITDA26935839244354422.8%
Net Income280107-75-219-64
Balance Sheet
Cash123748435015.6%
Short Term Debt51906610112624.5%
Long Term Debt03,3433,4583,1031,399-54.9%
Cash flow
Capex1018142354219.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.4%76.9%18.9%4.9%2.3%
EBITDA growth5.5%33.0%9.5%13.0%22.8%

EBITDA Margin31.5%23.7%21.8%23.5%28.2%4.7%
Net Income Margin32.7%7.1%-4.2%-11.6%-3.3%8.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.1%12.0%2.3%1.9%2.2%0.3%

ROIC2.5%1.7%1.2%1.1%2.2%1.1%
ROE3.6%1.3%-0.9%-2.8%-0.9%2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.0x9.8x8.9x7.1x2.7x-4.4x

Peers in Hotels


Below we provide Asian Hotels (East) benchmarking against other companies in Hotels industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Asian Hotels (West) ($AHLWEST)--0.2%3.1%96.5%16.3%
Sterling Holiday Resorts (India) ($STERLINH)69.9%50.6%21.3%26.2%-
Royale Manor Hotels & Industries ($RAYALEMA)-2.2%5.5%18.9%-16.0%
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)-105.7%54.3%16.5%27.6%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)-4.4%5.3%7.9%-0.6%
 
Median (15 companies)18.2%8.6%5.5%3.1%10.0%
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)-76.9%18.9%4.9%2.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jindal Hotels ($JINDHOT)---37.6%-
Benares Hotels ($BENARAS)---33.6%-
Fomento Resorts & Hotels ($FOMEHOT)---27.9%-
Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) ($ADVANIHOTR)---25.9%-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)34.2%32.3%24.2%23.7%-
 
Median (20 companies)21.7%22.6%20.0%20.0%16.5%
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)31.5%23.7%21.8%23.5%28.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)30.8%60.2%37.2%36.1%-
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)18.9%17.5%12.4%30.3%-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)58.7%36.6%49.6%28.5%-
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)26.0%26.5%15.4%18.0%12.6%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)13.6%12.0%7.1%9.0%5.5%
 
Median (11 companies)30.8%22.1%11.4%7.5%6.5%
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)1.1%12.0%2.3%1.9%2.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)5.3%14.5%22.6%24.1%32.0%
Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) ($ADVANIHOTR)---15.9%19.6%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)5.5%4.5%5.8%6.3%6.6%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)13.4%22.2%16.3%6.3%10.0%
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)8.8%8.9%5.4%5.3%-
 
Median (29 companies)5.9%5.0%4.1%3.5%8.3%
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)2.5%1.7%1.2%1.1%2.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hotel Leelaventure ($HOTELEELA)62.5x40.2x33.5x46.7x-
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)28.4x11.0x15.4x24.8x-
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)4.3x4.6x6.0x5.5x6.5x
Tgb Banquets And Hotels ($TGBHOTELS)3.7x3.0x2.7x4.0x-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)2.0x1.8x3.2x3.5x-
 
Median (19 companies)2.0x2.0x0.9x0.3x0.3x
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)-0.0x9.8x8.9x7.1x2.7x