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Welspun Projects reports 73.2% revenue decline in FY2016 and 5.3 pp EBITDA Margin decline from -0.23% to -5.6%

23-05-2016 • About Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ) • By InTwits

Welspun Projects reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -5.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -5.6% in FY2016, -0.2% in FY2015, 6.2% in FY2014, 34.0% in FY2013, 16.4% in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -2.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 8.9x while industry average is 4.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 73.2%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.8 pp from 15.9% to 18.7% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2013 at 34.0% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.70 pp from 0.082% to 0.78% in FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-2.4%) and low but positive ROE (0.1%). ROIC increased on 4.1 pp from -6.5% to -2.4% in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 8.9x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2016. Debt dropped on 35.8% while cash dropped on 30.0%.

Welspun Projects has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 23.9% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,3703,0712,4348,2562,209-73.2%
EBITDA5521,044151-19-123
Net Income3359-610717156.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash634281107554388-30.0%
Short Term Debt9867796981,4111,62014.9%
Long Term Debt2,9492,2402,5473,0661,254-59.1%
Cash flow
Capex13151,431
Ratios
Revenue growth41.2%-8.9%-20.7%239.1%-73.2%
EBITDA growth929.4%89.2%-85.6%-112.4%554.1%

EBITDA Margin16.4%34.0%6.2%-0.2%-5.6%-5.3%
Net Income Margin1.0%1.9%-25.1%0.1%0.8%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.4%0.6%17.3%

ROIC3.4%4.1%-2.5%-6.5%-2.4%4.1%
ROE0.6%1.1%-12.5%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.0x2.6x20.8x

Peers in Construction & Engineering


Below we provide Welspun Projects benchmarking against other companies in Construction & Engineering industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Thirthankar Infra ($THIRINFRA)---258.2%-
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)-3.7%-4.0%8.5%79.2%-
Mukand Engineers ($MUKANDENGG)-16.7%12.4%63.0%-20.2%
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)-47.6%115.1%28.1%50.2%-
Spml Infra ($SPMLINFRA)-17.1%19.3%6.6%35.0%-
 
Median (32 companies)2.7%6.9%7.1%-0.0%-11.8%
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)--8.9%-20.7%239.1%-73.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)8.4%31.9%22.1%32.1%-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)36.9%35.9%32.4%31.5%-
Arss Infrastructure Projects ($ARSSINFRA)14.0%13.9%22.0%31.3%-
Reliance Industrial Infrastructure ($RIIL)---30.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)27.2%30.0%30.0%29.8%-
 
Median (36 companies)11.9%11.2%10.7%10.3%11.4%
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)16.4%34.0%6.2%-0.2%-5.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)234.5%155.1%76.0%67.4%-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)46.6%31.1%43.1%45.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)0.0%11.2%14.1%40.8%-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)97.0%65.5%45.0%31.6%-
Man Infraconstruction ($MANINFRA)7.8%1.6%25.0%18.6%4.5%
 
Median (23 companies)7.7%6.6%6.9%3.1%3.0%
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)0.4%-0.6%17.3%-


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Skipper ($SKIPPER)10.4%13.5%14.7%27.4%24.4%
Voltas ($VOLTAS)19.6%11.7%11.8%19.3%18.2%
Coromandel Engineering Company ($COROENGG)-21.9%3.4%-0.3%15.0%7.9%
Mbl Infrastructures ($MBLINFRA)21.3%13.4%14.0%13.6%-
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)13.1%11.3%3.8%12.6%-
 
Median (42 companies)8.6%7.5%6.3%6.8%7.1%
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)3.4%4.1%-2.5%-6.5%-2.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mcnally Bharat Engineering Company ($MBECL)4.3x7.0x7.6x28.3x-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)9.2x8.9x11.0x11.9x-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)6.0x6.1x6.8x11.3x-
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)96.8x19.0x16.4x9.8x-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)11.8x8.6x7.9x9.4x-
 
Median (31 companies)4.5x5.7x5.9x3.0x2.1x