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Cmi Fpe Net Income surged on 38.5% while Revenue decreased on 6.4%

19-05-2016 • About Cmi Fpe ($CMIFPE) • By InTwits

Cmi Fpe reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Cmi Fpe is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -6.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -13.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 2.1% in FY2016, -3.8% in FY2015, -2.9% in FY2014, -0.1% in FY2013, 7.5% in FY2012
  • Cmi Fpe has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹36m in FY2016, ₹67m in FY2015, ₹74m in FY2014, ₹247m in FY2013, ₹262m in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -0.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Cmi Fpe's Revenue decreased on 6.4%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.9 pp from -3.8% to 2.1% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2015 at -3.8%.

Net Income margin increased on 2.1 pp from 4.3% to 6.4% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2014 at -5.0% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.7%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.9 pp from 4.6% in FY2013 to 1.7% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.2%. The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (83.3%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.9%) and low but positive ROE (9.1%). ROIC increased on 7.0 pp from -7.8% to -0.88% in FY2016. ROE increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 7.1% to 9.1% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROIC bottomed in FY2014 at -9.8% and was growing since that time. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2014 at -16.0% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


The company paid down all the debt in FY2016. Cash dropped on 93.5%.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 46.2x and P/E 15.3x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. Cmi Fpe's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 276.6x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Cmi Fpe ($CMIFPE) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,5185,3294,4282,1932,054-6.4%
EBITDA262-3-129-8443
Net Income110-10-2239513138.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash209702619313-93.5%
Short Term Debt24541671380-100.0%
Long Term Debt332311731150-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex262247746736-46.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-15.9%51.5%-16.9%-50.5%-6.4%
EBITDA growth-53.6%-101.1%4,492.3%-34.5%-151.1%

EBITDA Margin7.5%-0.1%-2.9%-3.8%2.1%5.9%
Net Income Margin3.1%-0.2%-5.0%4.3%6.4%2.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.4%4.6%1.7%3.1%1.7%-1.3%

ROIC14.2%-2.4%-9.8%-7.8%-0.9%7.0%
ROE7.4%-0.7%-16.0%7.1%9.1%2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.7x-0.3x

Peers in Industrial Machinery


Below you can find Cmi Fpe benchmarking vs. other companies in Industrial Machinery industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lloyd Electric & Engineering ($LLOYDELENG)---22.3%27.3%
Kabra Extrusiontechnik ($KABRAEXTRU)-13.3%-8.7%28.4%21.6%-
Akar Tools ($AKARTOOL)21.1%2.1%-2.3%16.7%-
Honda Siel Power Products ($HONDAPOWER)28.1%2.4%5.0%16.5%-
Mazda ($MAZDALTD)22.1%14.7%-15.6%16.2%-
 
Median (27 companies)20.6%2.1%3.0%3.7%2.7%
Cmi Fpe ($CMIFPE)-51.5%-16.9%-50.5%-6.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bell Agromachina ($BELAGRO)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
 
Median (1 company)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Texmaco Infrastructure & Holdings ($TEXINFRA)---40.5%-
Dhp India ($DHPIND)---26.3%-
Shilp Gravures ($SHILGRAVQ)---19.4%-
Solitaire Machine Tools ($SOLIMAC)---19.4%-
Wendt (India) ($WENDT)28.3%21.6%18.6%19.0%16.5%
 
Median (43 companies)11.3%9.5%10.5%10.4%11.8%
Cmi Fpe ($CMIFPE)7.5%-0.1%-2.9%-3.8%2.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Texmaco Infrastructure & Holdings ($TEXINFRA)---14.0%-
Wendt (India) ($WENDT)13.5%9.0%8.8%9.4%9.3%
Ingersoll-Rand (India) ($INGERRAND)4.3%10.9%3.6%9.2%-
Kabra Extrusiontechnik ($KABRAEXTRU)6.5%1.8%0.5%8.8%-
Forbes & Company ($FORBESCO)1.8%2.6%3.0%5.1%-
 
Median (21 companies)5.6%3.8%3.0%3.3%2.4%
Cmi Fpe ($CMIFPE)7.4%4.6%1.7%3.1%1.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Greaves Cotton ($GREAVESCOT)-24.8%16.3%26.7%25.7%
Gmm Pfaudler ($GMM)-76.2%6.8%17.4%18.2%16.1%
Lakshmi Machine Works ($LAXMIMACH)18.0%11.7%16.2%17.6%-
Honda Siel Power Products ($HONDAPOWER)16.9%8.8%11.5%15.3%-
Wendt (India) ($WENDT)38.2%20.2%16.2%15.1%12.6%
 
Median (52 companies)12.8%10.9%10.2%13.0%12.6%
Cmi Fpe ($CMIFPE)14.2%-2.4%-9.8%-7.8%-0.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Forbes & Company ($FORBESCO)2.2x3.3x4.7x6.3x-
Nitin Fire Protection Industries ($NITINFIRE)3.6x3.5x3.0x3.7x-
Elgi Equipments ($ELGIEQUIP)-1.2x2.3x2.7x3.3x-
Lloyd Electric & Engineering ($LLOYDELENG)--3.7x3.2x2.7x
Elecon Engineering Co ($ELECON)3.0x3.2x4.0x3.1x3.9x
 
Median (35 companies)0.9x1.4x0.0x0.0x0.0x