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Ajmera Realty & Infra India revenue growth decelerated from 110% in FY2015 to 92.0% in FY2016

19-05-2016 • About Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA) • By InTwits

Ajmera Realty & Infra India reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ajmera Realty & Infra India is a growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 92.0%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 13.0% at FY2016 ROIC 14.2%
  • Ajmera Realty & Infra India has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹0m in FY2016, ₹0m in FY2015, ₹0m in FY2014, ₹229m in FY2013, ₹497m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 14.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 92.0%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 19.0 pp from -26.4% to -45.3% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 5.1 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased on 2.2 pp from 15.6% to 13.4% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2014 at 20.7% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (14.2%) while ROE is low (9.8%). ROIC increased on 5.8 pp from 8.3% to 14.2% in FY2016. ROE increased on 3.5 pp from 6.3% to 9.8% in FY2016. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2013 at 2.3% and was growing since that time. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2013 at 3.9% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.3x from 3.9x to 2.6x in FY2016. Debt surged on 24.6% while cash surged on 149%. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Debt/EBITDA topped in FY2014 at 13.8x and was declining since that time.

Ajmera Realty & Infra India has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 12.4% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue2,0857997841,6463,16092.0%
EBITDA4012132286691,19478.5%
Net Income38715516225742465.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash11026118375186148.6%
Short Term Debt352151593281,501357.1%
Long Term Debt1,8872,3183,1732,3521,840-21.8%
Cash flow
Capex497229000
Ratios
Revenue growth21.3%-61.7%-1.8%109.9%92.0%
EBITDA growth-7.6%-47.0%7.1%193.9%78.5%

EBITDA Margin19.2%26.6%29.0%40.7%37.8%-2.9%
Net Income Margin18.6%19.4%20.7%15.6%13.4%-2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue23.8%28.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%

ROIC6.6%2.3%2.4%8.3%14.2%5.8%
ROE10.2%3.9%4.1%6.3%9.8%3.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.5x10.7x13.8x3.9x2.6x-1.3x

Peers in Realty


Below we provide Ajmera Realty & Infra India benchmarking against other companies in Realty industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sspdl ($SSPDL)16.2%-11.8%-43.4%326.1%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)--21.9%-88.0%275.1%-98.6%
Prajay Engineers Syndicate ($PRAENG)-21.1%42.0%-30.1%62.8%-
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)-34.7%13.7%56.3%35.9%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)-63.9%152.9%56.0%35.7%
 
Median (34 companies)-3.6%5.6%-4.5%11.4%18.5%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)--61.7%-1.8%109.9%92.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%
 
Median (1 company)24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)53.3%72.4%67.6%82.4%-
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%-
Tci Developers ($TCIDEVELOP)---75.9%-
Orbit Corporation ($ORBITCORP)42.4%53.3%-127.2%69.8%-
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%47.7%
 
Median (43 companies)20.1%13.4%19.8%19.4%23.8%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)19.2%26.6%29.0%40.7%37.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Prozone Intu Properties ($PROZONINTU)---89.5%-
Ashiana Housing ($ASHIANA)---26.7%-
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%56.3%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)37.7%30.2%18.8%11.6%-
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)15.9%-11.6%10.6%-
 
Median (30 companies)4.7%2.3%3.7%2.5%2.9%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)23.8%28.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ahluwalia Contracts (India) ($AHLUCONT)-3.2%-15.8%5.6%21.2%-
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%7.5%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%-
Mahindra Lifespace Developers ($MAHLIFE)10.4%11.7%6.6%14.9%4.6%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%9.0%
 
Median (50 companies)5.7%5.1%5.7%6.8%6.7%
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)6.6%2.3%2.4%8.3%14.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x-
B.L.Kashyap And Sons ($BLKASHYAP)8.2x5.8x12.7x40.1x-
Vipul ($VIPUL)0.7x3.0x10.8x26.0x-
Ansal Properties & Infrastructure ($ANSALAPI)12.8x11.9x11.4x16.6x-
Srs Real Infrastructure ($SRSREAL)11.7x10.0x12.9x14.7x-
 
Median (37 companies)5.3x4.8x4.9x4.0x4.2x
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)4.5x10.7x13.8x3.9x2.6x