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Skipper CAPEX jumped on 206% and Revenue surged on 14.7%

18-05-2016 • About Skipper ($SKIPPER) • By InTwits

Skipper reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Skipper is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 14.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 24.6% at FY2016 ROIC 24.4%
  • Skipper has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹1,005m in FY2016, ₹329m in FY2015, ₹327m in FY2014, ₹591m in FY2013, ₹564m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 24.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 14.7%. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 16.4% to 14.6% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 1.9 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in FY2016. Net Income margin stuck to a growing trend at 1.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.7% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.1%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2015 at 2.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (24.4%) and ROE (27.8%). ROIC decreased on 2.9 pp from 27.4% to 24.4% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 5.6 pp from 33.3% to 27.8% in FY2016. ROIC followed a growing trend at 4.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a growing trend at 6.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.4x from 1.5x to 1.9x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 22.3% while cash dropped on 11.2%. Net Debt/EBITDA followed a declining trend at -0.8x per annum in the last 5 years.

Skipper has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 18.5% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 8.5x and P/E 15.2x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 15.6x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Skipper ($SKIPPER) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue7,4129,00310,41513,12815,06214.7%
EBITDA6318671,1152,1562,1971.9%
Net Income991872698929516.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash86128263561498-11.2%
Short Term Debt1,2221,9902,0882,1222,69927.2%
Long Term Debt1,7721,9862,3071,7071,98316.2%
Cash flow
Capex5645913273291,005205.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth47.5%21.5%15.7%26.0%14.7%
EBITDA growth24.6%37.5%28.7%93.3%1.9%

EBITDA Margin8.5%9.6%10.7%16.4%14.6%-1.8%
Net Income Margin1.3%2.1%2.6%6.8%6.3%-0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.6%6.6%3.1%2.5%6.7%4.2%

ROIC10.4%13.5%14.7%27.4%24.4%-2.9%
ROE5.8%11.0%12.3%33.3%27.8%-5.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.6x4.4x3.7x1.5x1.9x0.4x

Peers in Construction & Engineering


Below you can find Skipper benchmarking vs. other companies in Construction & Engineering industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Thirthankar Infra ($THIRINFRA)---258.2%-
Welspun Projects ($WELPROJ)41.2%-8.9%-20.7%239.1%-
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)-3.7%-4.0%8.5%79.2%-
Mukand Engineers ($MUKANDENGG)-14.3%16.7%12.4%63.0%-
Atlanta ($ATLANTA)-47.6%115.1%28.1%50.2%-
 
Median (32 companies)-1.5%6.7%6.6%-0.0%-8.2%
Skipper ($SKIPPER)-21.5%15.7%26.0%14.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)8.4%31.9%22.1%32.1%-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)36.9%35.9%32.4%31.5%-
Arss Infrastructure Projects ($ARSSINFRA)14.0%13.9%22.0%31.3%-
Reliance Industrial Infrastructure ($RIIL)---30.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)27.2%30.0%30.0%29.8%-
 
Median (36 companies)12.4%11.3%10.2%10.1%10.5%
Skipper ($SKIPPER)8.5%9.6%10.7%16.4%14.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)234.5%155.1%76.0%67.4%-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)46.6%31.1%43.1%45.8%-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)0.0%11.2%14.1%40.8%-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)97.0%65.5%45.0%31.6%-
Man Infraconstruction ($MANINFRA)7.8%1.6%25.0%18.6%-
 
Median (23 companies)7.4%8.6%6.9%3.2%1.4%
Skipper ($SKIPPER)7.6%6.6%3.1%2.5%6.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Voltas ($VOLTAS)19.6%11.7%11.8%19.3%18.2%
Coromandel Engineering Company ($COROENGG)-21.9%3.4%-0.3%15.0%7.9%
Mbl Infrastructures ($MBLINFRA)21.3%13.4%14.0%13.6%-
Itd Cementation India ($ITDCEM)13.1%11.3%3.8%12.6%-
Simplex Infrastructures ($SIMPLEXINF)10.7%8.7%8.9%10.7%-
 
Median (42 companies)8.6%7.1%5.6%6.6%7.1%
Skipper ($SKIPPER)10.4%13.5%14.7%27.4%24.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mcnally Bharat Engineering Company ($MBECL)4.3x7.0x7.6x28.3x-
Jaiprakash Associates ($JPASSOCIAT)9.2x8.9x11.0x11.9x-
Supreme Infrastructure India ($SUPREMEINF)6.0x6.1x6.8x11.3x-
Madhucon Projects ($MADHUCON)96.8x19.0x16.4x9.8x-
Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation ($SHRISTI)11.8x8.6x7.9x9.4x-
 
Median (30 companies)4.6x5.7x6.6x3.1x1.2x
Skipper ($SKIPPER)4.6x4.4x3.7x1.5x1.9x