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Jsw Steel reports 35.2% EBITDA decline in 2016 and 3.2 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 17.7% to 14.6%

18-05-2016 • About Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL) • By InTwits

Jsw Steel reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Jsw Steel has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹39,891m in FY2016, ₹59,776m in FY2015, ₹94,236m in FY2014, ₹118,710m in FY2013, ₹125,119m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 4.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.5x while industry average is 12.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Jsw Steel's Revenue dropped on 20.9%. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 17.7% to 14.6% in FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased on 5.2 pp from 3.4% to -1.8% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 12.4% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.4 pp from 14.7% in FY2013 to 12.4% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 12.1%. Jsw Steel invested a big chunk of EBITDA (85.0%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (4.8%) and negative ROE (-3.7%). ROIC decreased on 5.1 pp from 9.9% to 4.8% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 11.8 pp from 8.1% to -3.7% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 6.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.6x from 3.8x to 6.5x in FY2016. Debt increased on 5.8% while cash dropped on 61.6%. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2013 at 3.3x and was growing since that time.

Jsw Steel has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 9.9% of short term debt.

Management team


Seshagiri Rao Mvs is a the company's CFO. Seshagiri Rao Mvs has spent 23 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue343,681382,097512,196529,715418,789-20.9%
EBITDA61,15465,20591,68694,02360,943-35.2%
Net Income5,3779,6314,52017,966-7,420-141.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,6393,2566,63019,1337,340-61.6%
Short Term Debt78,24042,97448,87143,13274,12271.9%
Long Term Debt128,891173,932267,026336,766327,932-2.6%
Cash flow
Capex40,79556,30157,62967,20651,787-22.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth42.6%11.2%34.0%3.4%-20.9%
EBITDA growth25.3%6.6%40.6%2.5%-35.2%

EBITDA Margin17.8%17.1%17.9%17.7%14.6%-3.2%
Net Income Margin1.6%2.5%0.9%3.4%-1.8%-5.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.9%14.7%11.3%12.7%12.4%-0.3%

ROIC11.0%10.3%12.1%9.9%4.8%-5.1%
ROE3.1%5.6%2.2%8.1%-3.7%-11.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.3x3.3x3.4x3.8x6.5x2.6x

Peers in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products


Below you can find Jsw Steel benchmarking vs. other companies in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Uttam Galva Steels ($UTTAMSTL)12.0%11.0%-13.2%55.0%-
Modern Steels ($MDRNSTL)-2.6%-22.7%0.7%20.3%-
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)-59.1%1.1%15.0%4.0%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)0.9%-8.5%0.5%12.7%-
Vaswani Industries ($VASWANI)51.4%-2.1%5.6%12.6%-
 
Median (32 companies)14.6%3.2%2.8%-1.6%-15.4%
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)-11.2%34.0%3.4%-20.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)37.5%30.5%28.1%29.8%17.2%
Sarda Energy & Minerals ($SARDAEN)16.3%21.5%21.3%21.5%-
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)31.2%32.3%28.1%20.4%-
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-9.6%0.9%6.8%14.6%16.8%
Jai Corp ($JAICORPLTD)14.1%16.3%16.0%12.7%-
 
Median (29 companies)9.4%9.0%7.0%7.3%13.6%
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)17.8%17.1%17.9%17.7%14.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)34.2%47.6%69.6%26.4%21.8%
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)20.4%44.0%31.1%17.3%-
Steel Authority Of India ($SAIL)20.9%20.7%19.3%16.9%17.3%
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)47.2%44.0%50.4%16.2%-
Tata Steel ($TATASTEEL)9.1%11.6%11.1%9.8%9.6%
 
Median (17 companies)7.5%10.4%6.6%4.4%7.9%
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)11.9%14.7%11.3%12.7%12.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-23.5%-3.7%19.9%57.4%42.6%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)26.8%18.4%12.3%15.7%-
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)16.3%15.1%5.5%15.3%19.0%
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries ($KIRLFER)19.1%16.8%12.4%14.7%15.9%
Gallantt Metal ($GALLANTT)8.7%11.7%8.5%11.7%-
 
Median (40 companies)6.8%5.5%5.5%4.6%9.0%
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)11.0%10.3%12.1%9.9%4.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)20.1x-24.4x187.1x-
Ismt ($ISMTLTD)5.3x9.8x19.9x48.3x-
Kic Metaliks ($KAJARIR)9.2x3.0x18.2x19.8x-
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)6.3x8.6x12.9x17.7x-
Prakash Industries ($PRAKASH)2.5x2.8x2.5x11.9x-
 
Median (26 companies)4.6x4.4x3.2x1.7x0.8x
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)3.3x3.3x3.4x3.8x6.5x