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Balkrishna Industries CAPEX dropped on 34.6% and Revenue dropped on 14.6%

18-05-2016 • About Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND) • By InTwits

Balkrishna Industries reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Balkrishna Industries has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 18.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 9.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹2,424m in FY2016, ₹3,708m in FY2015, ₹8,866m in FY2014, ₹10,143m in FY2013, ₹7,049m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 12.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.8x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 14.6%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -12.4 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.1 pp from 19.1% to 27.2% in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased on 5.3 pp from 12.4% to 17.7% in FY2016. Net Income margin stuck to a growing trend at 2.0 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.4% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 22.4 pp from 29.9% in FY2013 to 7.4% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.6%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2013 at 29.9% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (22.7%) while ROIC is a bit lower (12.4%). ROIC increased on 2.0 pp from 10.4% to 12.4% in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.9x from 2.6x to 1.8x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 18.8% while cash dropped on 24.3%. Net Debt/EBITDA stuck to a declining trend at -0.3x per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Balkrishna Industries has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 30.3% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 9.1x and P/E 11.2x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 12.5x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue30,16633,93937,71938,16832,587-14.6%
SG&A1,023
EBITDA5,1206,8359,8207,2868,86121.6%
Net Income2,6893,4994,7464,7265,75921.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash5771011434,3343,282-24.3%
Short Term Debt7,6945,9737,3219,98610,8218.4%
Long Term Debt9,39815,66617,06413,5938,323-38.8%
Cash flow
Capex7,04910,1438,8663,7082,424-34.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth41.5%12.5%11.1%1.2%-14.6%
EBITDA growth36.2%33.5%43.7%-25.8%21.6%

EBITDA Margin17.0%20.1%26.0%19.1%27.2%8.1%
SG&A, % of revenue3.1%
Net Income Margin8.9%10.3%12.6%12.4%17.7%5.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue23.4%29.9%23.5%9.7%7.4%-2.3%

ROIC17.7%17.3%19.7%10.4%12.4%2.0%
ROE27.3%27.4%28.4%22.7%22.7%0.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.2x3.2x2.5x2.6x1.8x-0.9x

Peers in Auto Tyres & Rubber Products


Below you can find Balkrishna Industries benchmarking vs. other companies in Auto Tyres & Rubber Products industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Rubfila International ($RUBFILA)-4.7%25.1%28.7%1.0%
Ceat ($CEATLTD)-8.7%9.9%3.6%-0.7%
Pix Transmissions ($PIXTRANS)-5.8%12.3%-14.1%-3.6%-
Apollo Tyres ($APOLLOTYRE)-5.3%4.0%-4.4%-8.0%
Goodyear India ($GOODYEAR)-2.1%5.9%0.7%-8.0%-
 
Median (5 companies)-4.0%5.9%4.0%-3.6%-0.7%
Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND)-12.5%11.1%1.2%-14.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pix Transmissions ($PIXTRANS)20.4%21.7%16.9%18.1%-
Multibase India ($MULTIBASE)---17.0%-
Apollo Tyres ($APOLLOTYRE)9.7%11.4%14.2%15.2%16.8%
Ceat ($CEATLTD)6.1%9.0%11.9%13.7%16.0%
Rubfila International ($RUBFILA)12.3%14.9%12.6%13.5%8.8%
 
Median (7 companies)11.0%11.4%12.6%13.7%16.0%
Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND)17.0%20.1%26.0%19.1%27.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ceat ($CEATLTD)3.1%1.7%2.7%5.3%12.3%
Apollo Tyres ($APOLLOTYRE)6.5%4.9%3.7%5.0%14.7%
Rubfila International ($RUBFILA)0.3%9.1%5.0%2.2%-
Multibase India ($MULTIBASE)---1.8%-
 
Median (4 companies)1.7%4.0%3.4%3.6%13.5%
Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND)23.4%29.9%23.5%9.7%7.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Rubfila International ($RUBFILA)35.1%26.2%22.7%29.4%15.9%
Ceat ($CEATLTD)11.4%19.1%27.6%28.8%29.0%
Multibase India ($MULTIBASE)12.3%22.8%22.0%25.8%-
Apollo Tyres ($APOLLOTYRE)14.7%16.8%23.6%23.9%20.5%
Falcon Tyres ($FALCONTQ)6.2%----
 
Median (8 companies)11.8%19.1%23.6%27.3%20.5%
Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND)17.7%17.3%19.7%10.4%12.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ceat ($CEATLTD)4.5x2.1x1.3x0.8x0.6x
Apollo Tyres ($APOLLOTYRE)2.4x1.3x0.3x0.3x0.4x
Tirupati Foam ($TIRFOAM)6.4x5.4x0.0x0.0x-
Goodyear India ($GOODYEAR)--0.3x-1.5x0.0x-
Pix Transmissions ($PIXTRANS)4.8x-0.6x0.0x0.0x-
 
Median (7 companies)4.5x-0.1x0.0x0.0x0.4x
Balkrishna Industries ($BALKRISIND)3.2x3.2x2.5x2.6x1.8x