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Pnb Gilts Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 6.2x from 8.8x to 15.0x in 2016 while Revenue dropped on 16.2%

16-05-2016 • About Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS) • By InTwits

Pnb Gilts reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Pnb Gilts has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.0%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 1.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 15.0x while industry average is 3.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Pnb Gilts's Revenue dropped on 16.2%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -20.9 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.4 pp from 18.5% to 20.9% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2014 at 96.4% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin dropped on 11.5 pp from 21.5% to 10.0% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.082% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.064%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.0%) and ROE (4.7%). ROE decreased on 8.0 pp from 12.7% to 4.7% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 15.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 15.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 6.2x from 8.8x to 15.0x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 27.5% while cash dropped on 94.6%.

Pnb Gilts has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 0.4% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Pnb Gilts's trades at EV/EBITDA 16.3x and P/E 12.8x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x.

Financial and operational results


Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,6532,8873,4574,1003,434-16.2%
EBITDA1,5532,7823,3343,9403,275-16.9%
Net Income211612614883345-60.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1433,917212-94.6%
Short Term Debt22,07731,21737,67538,57949,20727.5%
Long Term Debt00000
Cash flow
Capex00313331.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth60.2%74.6%19.8%18.6%-16.2%
EBITDA growth63.8%79.1%19.9%18.2%-16.9%

EBITDA Margin94.0%96.4%96.4%96.1%95.4%-0.7%
Net Income Margin12.7%21.2%17.8%21.5%10.0%-11.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%0.1%

ROIC1.0%
ROE3.7%10.2%9.5%12.7%4.7%-8.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA14.2x11.2x11.3x8.8x15.0x6.2x

Peers in Finance (including NBFCs)


Below you can find Pnb Gilts benchmarking vs. other companies in Finance (including NBFCs) industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)-11.7%-24.9%-7.1%188.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-0.4%-0.9%64.7%39.8%
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)--25.6%55.0%47.3%64.5%
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)-12.8%25.9%27.0%-12.2%
Bajaj Finserv ($BAJAJFINSV)59.7%28.1%18.8%26.8%-
 
Median (23 companies)23.2%24.4%20.8%13.3%11.4%
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)-74.6%19.8%18.6%-16.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Microse India ($MICROSE)---101.1%-
Jsw Holdings ($JSWHL)---93.8%-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)97.2%97.3%96.7%93.3%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)96.1%95.4%92.3%92.7%91.4%
Saraswati Commercial (India) ($ZSARACOM)---92.3%-
 
Median (48 companies)64.8%65.4%65.5%49.0%64.8%
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)94.0%96.4%96.4%96.1%95.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)1.0%1.3%4.5%7.3%-
Clarus Finance & Securities ($CLARUS)--6.9%5.8%-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)30.2%8.5%12.3%5.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)15.5%5.3%1.7%3.4%2.5%
Bengal & Assam Company ($BENGALASM)15.9%4.5%1.2%2.1%-
 
Median (21 companies)1.0%0.8%1.1%0.7%0.9%
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-12.0%9.7%11.9%7.8%
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)--4.1%6.6%7.6%
Shriram City Union Finance ($SHRIRAMCIT)6.1%5.8%5.8%5.7%4.6%
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)-4.7%5.2%4.7%-
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)6.4%6.3%5.3%4.2%3.2%
 
Median (52 companies)4.1%4.6%4.1%4.1%4.1%
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)----1.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)9.0x-10.8x8.9x-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)7.0x6.2x7.5x8.0x-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)8.3x8.0x7.5x8.0x-
Magma Fincorp ($MAGMA)7.7x8.5x7.0x7.7x7.5x
Cholamandalam Investment And Finance Company ($CHOLAFIN)9.0x7.9x7.4x7.2x4.9x
 
Median (44 companies)4.4x3.6x2.9x0.0x5.3x
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)14.2x11.2x11.3x8.8x15.0x