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Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng reports 248% EBITDA decline in 2016 and 65.8% Revenue decline

14-05-2016 • About Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC) • By InTwits

Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -65.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -18.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -41.0% in FY2016, 9.5% in FY2015, 30.7% in FY2014, 23.2% in FY2013, 23.9% in FY2012
  • Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 50.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹266m in FY2016, ₹9,706m in FY2015, ₹8,298m in FY2014, ₹19,756m in FY2013, ₹5,275m in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -3.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.5x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng's Revenue dropped on 65.8%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -46.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 50.4 pp from 9.5% to -41.0% in FY2016.

Net Income margin dropped on 149 pp from -40.7% to -190% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2013 at 1.2% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng had CAPEX/Revenue of 8.5%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 67.9 pp from 76.4% in FY2013 to 8.5% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 49.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.3%) and ROE (-25.5%). ROIC decreased on 2.0 pp from -1.3% to -3.3% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 10.6 pp from -14.9% to -25.5% in FY2016. ROIC followed a declining trend at -3.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a declining trend at -7.0 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 75.5x from 75.5x to in FY2016. Debt surged on 17.1% while cash dropped on 23.5%.

Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 8.5% of short term debt.

Management team


Harisimran Singh Malhi is a Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng's CEO. Harisimran Singh Malhi has spent 4 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue18,67125,86525,3379,1153,122-65.8%
EBITDA4,4615,9957,787862-1,279-248.3%
Net Income21631127-3,705-5,924
Balance Sheet
Cash2,7834594632,0841,595-23.5%
Short Term Debt20,08327,70134,30612,25918,78153.2%
Long Term Debt10,01822,03820,96654,89559,8399.0%
Cash flow
Capex5,27519,7568,2989,706266-97.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth117.1%38.5%-2.0%-64.0%-65.8%
EBITDA growth136.1%34.4%29.9%-88.9%-248.3%

EBITDA Margin23.9%23.2%30.7%9.5%-41.0%-50.4%
Net Income Margin1.2%1.2%0.1%-40.7%-189.8%-149.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue28.3%76.4%32.7%106.5%8.5%-98.0%

ROIC7.6%7.7%8.1%-1.3%-3.3%-2.0%
ROE1.2%1.5%0.1%-14.9%-25.5%-10.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.1x8.2x7.0x75.5x

Peers in Defence


Below you can find Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng benchmarking vs. other companies in Defence industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bharat Electronics ($BEL)2.9%6.2%3.0%8.8%-
 
Median (1 company)2.9%6.2%3.0%8.8%-
Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC)-38.5%-2.0%-64.0%-65.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bharat Electronics ($BEL)11.0%10.8%14.8%17.0%-
 
Median (1 company)11.0%10.8%14.8%17.0%-
Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC)23.9%23.2%30.7%9.5%-41.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bharat Electronics ($BEL)4.2%6.3%5.9%3.3%-
 
Median (1 company)4.2%6.3%5.9%3.3%-
Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC)28.3%76.4%32.7%106.5%8.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bharat Electronics ($BEL)9.7%8.9%12.0%13.5%-
 
Median (1 company)9.7%8.9%12.0%13.5%-
Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC)7.6%7.7%8.1%-1.3%-3.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bharat Electronics ($BEL)-0.7x-0.6x-0.4x-0.5x-
 
Median (1 company)-0.7x-0.6x-0.4x-0.5x-
Pipavav Defence And Offshore Eng ($PIPAVAVDOC)6.1x8.2x7.0x75.5x-