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Oriental Hotels EBITDA dropped on 16.6% while Revenue increased on 3.7%

12-05-2016 • About Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT) • By InTwits

Oriental Hotels reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Oriental Hotels has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 11.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹248m in FY2016, ₹274m in FY2015, ₹467m in FY2014, ₹612m in FY2013, ₹772m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 2.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.5x while industry average is 5.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Oriental Hotels's Revenue increased on 3.7%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at 3.1%. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.3 pp from 16.7% to 13.4% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -1.9 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 0.77 pp from 0.45% to -0.33% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.5% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 11.2 pp from 17.7% in FY2013 to 6.5% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 9.1%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -4.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.5%) and negative ROE (-0.4%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.8% to 2.5% in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 0.81 pp from 0.45% to -0.36% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 6.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.0x from 5.5x to 6.5x in FY2016. Debt showed almost no change in FY2016 while cash jumped on 34.5%. Net Debt/EBITDA followed a growing trend at 0.5x per annum in the last 5 years.

Oriental Hotels has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 14.9% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,1723,4463,5543,6643,7983.7%
EBITDA689639551610509-16.6%
Net Income225156-22616-12-175.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash26719117212116334.5%
Short Term Debt5741,0391,7118761,09525.0%
Long Term Debt2,6462,0661,7622,6062,394-8.1%
Cash flow
Capex772612467274248-9.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.9%8.6%3.1%3.1%3.7%
EBITDA growth-1.3%-7.3%-13.7%10.7%-16.6%

EBITDA Margin21.7%18.5%15.5%16.7%13.4%-3.3%
Net Income Margin7.1%4.5%-6.4%0.4%-0.3%-0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue24.3%17.7%13.1%7.5%6.5%-0.9%

ROIC6.4%4.3%2.7%3.8%2.5%-1.3%
ROE5.9%3.9%-5.7%0.4%-0.4%-0.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.3x4.6x6.0x5.5x6.5x1.0x

Peers in Hotels


Below you can find Oriental Hotels benchmarking vs. other companies in Hotels industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Asian Hotels (West) ($AHLWEST)0.8%-0.2%3.1%96.5%-
Sterling Holiday Resorts (India) ($STERLINH)69.9%50.6%21.3%26.2%-
Royale Manor Hotels & Industries ($RAYALEMA)0.9%2.2%5.5%18.9%-
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)47.6%105.7%54.3%16.5%-
Eih ($EIHOTEL)-4.4%5.3%7.9%-0.6%
 
Median (15 companies)15.6%12.7%5.9%3.4%-0.6%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)-8.6%3.1%3.1%3.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jindal Hotels ($JINDHOT)---37.6%-
Benares Hotels ($BENARAS)---33.6%-
Fomento Resorts & Hotels ($FOMEHOT)---27.9%-
Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) ($ADVANIHOTR)---25.9%-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)34.2%32.3%24.2%23.7%-
 
Median (20 companies)21.9%22.9%21.0%20.8%16.9%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)21.7%18.5%15.5%16.7%13.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)30.8%60.2%37.2%36.1%-
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)18.9%17.5%12.4%30.3%-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)58.7%36.6%49.6%28.5%-
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)26.0%26.5%15.4%18.0%-
Eih ($EIHOTEL)13.6%12.0%7.1%9.0%5.5%
 
Median (11 companies)30.8%22.0%8.8%4.9%4.9%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)24.3%17.7%13.1%7.5%6.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)5.3%14.5%22.6%24.1%-
Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) ($ADVANIHOTR)---15.9%-
Eih ($EIHOTEL)5.5%4.5%5.8%6.3%6.6%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)13.4%22.2%16.3%6.3%-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)8.8%8.9%5.4%5.3%-
 
Median (29 companies)5.4%5.0%4.1%2.3%4.5%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)6.4%4.3%2.7%3.8%2.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hotel Leelaventure ($HOTELEELA)62.5x40.2x33.5x46.7x-
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)28.4x11.0x15.4x24.8x-
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)-0.0x9.8x8.9x7.1x-
Tgb Banquets And Hotels ($TGBHOTELS)3.7x3.0x2.7x4.0x-
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)2.0x1.8x3.2x3.5x-
 
Median (19 companies)1.8x2.0x0.9x0.3x1.5x
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)4.3x4.6x6.0x5.5x6.5x