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Graphite India reports 10.4% revenue decline in FY2016 and 1.1 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 8.2% to 9.3%

12-05-2016 • About Graphite India ($GRPHIDM) • By InTwits

Graphite India reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Graphite India has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.8%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹557m in FY2016, ₹266m in FY2015, ₹246m in FY2014, ₹521m in FY2013, ₹1,349m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 4.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.0x while industry average is 0.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 10.4%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -10.3 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 8.2% to 9.3% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -2.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.64 pp from 3.4% to 4.0% in FY2016. Net Income margin followed a declining trend at -1.8 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.6%. Graphite India showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 0.96 pp from 2.7% in FY2013 to 3.6% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2014 at 1.2% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.3%) and ROE (3.5%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016. ROIC declined at -2.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE declined at -2.4 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 2.4x to 2.0x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 17.6% while cash dropped on 25.3%.

Graphite India has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 7.0% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Graphite India's trades at EV/EBITDA 12.7x and P/E 25.0x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. Graphite India's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 20.8x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Management team


Sanjay Wamanrao Parnerkar is a Graphite India's CFO. Sanjay Wamanrao Parnerkar has spent 5 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


Graphite India ($GRPHIDM) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue19,12419,48820,09317,10715,324-10.4%
EBITDA3,2302,7482,5431,4091,4301.5%
Net Income2,1251,3441,2995766156.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash164140273282210-25.3%
Short Term Debt5,1226,1643,6313,2503,023-7.0%
Long Term Debt1,5761,2691,0024170-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex1,349521246266557109.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth32.5%1.9%3.1%-14.9%-10.4%
EBITDA growth3.1%-14.9%-7.4%-44.6%1.5%

EBITDA Margin16.9%14.1%12.7%8.2%9.3%1.1%
Net Income Margin11.1%6.9%6.5%3.4%4.0%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.1%2.7%1.2%1.6%3.6%2.1%

ROIC12.6%8.6%8.0%4.2%4.3%0.0%
ROE13.4%8.0%7.5%3.3%3.5%0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x2.7x1.7x2.4x2.0x-0.4x

Peers in Other Industrial Goods


Below you can find Graphite India benchmarking vs. other companies in Other Industrial Goods industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Gee ($GEE)17.7%7.6%-10.2%7.6%-
Vesuvius India ($VESUVIUS)4.1%6.9%8.4%7.2%-
Ifgl Refractories ($IFGLREFRAC)28.2%11.2%15.9%1.2%-
Amd Industries ($AMDIND)31.8%-15.5%21.0%-9.9%-
Heg ($HEG)27.9%13.6%-9.8%-15.9%-
 
Median (7 companies)28.0%11.2%3.8%-9.9%-
Graphite India ($GRPHIDM)-1.9%3.1%-14.9%-10.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Snl Bearings ($SNL)---29.0%-
Vesuvius India ($VESUVIUS)17.7%18.8%15.6%18.0%-
Heg ($HEG)17.0%18.1%16.9%16.3%-
Amd Industries ($AMDIND)15.3%12.3%16.4%15.3%-
Ifgl Refractories ($IFGLREFRAC)13.2%8.5%15.1%11.3%-
 
Median (8 companies)13.2%8.5%15.3%13.3%-
Graphite India ($GRPHIDM)16.9%14.1%12.7%8.2%9.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vesuvius India ($VESUVIUS)4.2%4.0%3.4%2.7%-
Heg ($HEG)14.4%9.3%18.7%2.6%-
Ifgl Refractories ($IFGLREFRAC)0.8%2.9%1.3%2.5%-
Insilco ($INSILCO)---1.6%-
 
Median (4 companies)3.5%3.5%3.1%2.5%-
Graphite India ($GRPHIDM)7.1%2.7%1.2%1.6%3.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vesuvius India ($VESUVIUS)25.0%25.0%19.3%21.6%-
Ifgl Refractories ($IFGLREFRAC)20.0%11.7%23.5%15.7%-
Heg ($HEG)9.0%10.4%8.3%5.5%-
De Nora India ($DENORA)61.7%19.1%---
Snl Bearings ($SNL)61.1%48.2%31.9%--
 
Median (13 companies)16.4%12.4%20.2%15.7%-
Graphite India ($GRPHIDM)12.6%8.6%8.0%4.2%4.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Heg ($HEG)5.2x4.1x3.3x4.1x-
Ifgl Refractories ($IFGLREFRAC)1.2x2.1x0.7x0.9x-
Iykot Hitech Toolroom ($IYKOTHITE)0.0x--0.0x-
Snl Bearings ($SNL)0.2x0.6x1.1x0.0x0.0x
Gee ($GEE)3.2x2.8x0.0x0.0x-
 
Median (7 companies)1.2x1.3x0.4x0.0x0.0x
Graphite India ($GRPHIDM)2.0x2.7x1.7x2.4x2.0x