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Aarti Industries CAPEX jumped on 53.9% while Revenue decreased on 4.4%

06-05-2016 • About Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND) • By InTwits

Aarti Industries reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Aarti Industries has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹4,665m in FY2016, ₹3,031m in FY2015, ₹2,909m in FY2014, ₹2,348m in FY2013, ₹1,331m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 19.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.2x while industry average is 2.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Aarti Industries's Revenue decreased on 4.4%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2014 at 25.6% and was decelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.4 pp from 16.1% to 20.6% in FY2016.

Net Income margin increased on 2.2 pp from 7.1% to 9.2% in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 16.8% in FY2016. Aarti Industries's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 5.6 pp from 11.2% in FY2013 to 16.8% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 12.8%. Battling declining revenue the company invested a large share of EBITDA (81.5%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (24.1%) while ROIC is a bit lower (19.3%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 17.9% to 19.3% in FY2016. ROE increased on 2.3 pp from 21.8% to 24.1% in FY2016. ROE followed a growing trend at 1.2 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from 2.5x to 2.2x in FY2016. Debt increased on 7.4% while cash dropped on 25.6%.

Aarti Industries has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 2.9% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Aarti Industries's trades at EV/EBITDA 9.9x and P/E 17.1x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. Aarti Industries's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 53.6x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Financial and operational results


Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue16,73320,96226,32529,08027,796-4.4%
EBITDA2,5453,6504,0584,6945,72321.9%
Net Income1,0331,3441,6242,0592,56924.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash688564302224-25.6%
Short Term Debt5,2437,3177,8377,8327,649-2.3%
Long Term Debt1,0351,1732,5534,1915,26825.7%
Cash flow
Capex1,3312,3482,9093,0314,66553.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth15.2%25.3%25.6%10.5%-4.4%
EBITDA growth26.4%43.4%11.2%15.7%21.9%

EBITDA Margin15.2%17.4%15.4%16.1%20.6%4.4%
Net Income Margin6.2%6.4%6.2%7.1%9.2%2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.0%11.2%11.0%10.4%16.8%6.4%

ROIC15.9%19.1%17.2%17.9%19.3%1.4%
ROE18.8%20.0%20.0%21.8%24.1%2.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.4x2.3x2.5x2.5x2.2x-0.3x

Peers in Commodity Chemicals


Below we provide Aarti Industries benchmarking against other companies in Commodity Chemicals industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tuticorin Alkali Chemicals & Fertilisers ($TUTIALKA)354.1%-27.9%-83.3%408.0%-
Jayshree Chemicals ($JAYCH)288.9%17.5%-75.2%262.3%-
Jagran Production ($JAGPRO)589.4%4.4%514.9%192.3%-
Shree Hari Chemicals Export ($SHHARICH)-2.5%-78.0%299.5%111.6%-
Jindal Poly Films ($JINDPOLBBPH)-17.2%-6.3%131.7%46.9%-
 
Median (37 companies)20.6%9.7%10.6%5.6%11.9%
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)-25.3%25.6%10.5%-4.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols ($RIDDHI)---104.7%-
Mysore Petro Chemicals ($MYSORPETRO)---47.1%-
Aditya Birla Chemicals (India) ($ABCIL)26.8%27.1%23.6%21.9%-
Indo Borax & Chemicals ($INDOBORAX)---21.3%-
Chemfab Alkalis ($CHEMFALKAL)22.3%32.9%24.2%19.8%-
 
Median (50 companies)9.6%8.3%8.5%6.6%9.0%
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)15.2%17.4%15.4%16.1%20.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kanoria Chemicals & Industries ($KANORICHEM)25.1%6.0%13.4%40.3%-
Aditya Birla Chemicals (India) ($ABCIL)136.9%24.2%30.8%15.0%-
Alkyl Amines Chemicals ($ALKYLAMINE)5.1%6.6%5.9%8.6%-
Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals ($SUKHJITS)15.7%9.4%5.4%5.4%-
Godrej Industries ($GODREJIND)1.5%9.9%5.4%5.4%-
 
Median (21 companies)5.2%6.3%5.4%3.2%4.7%
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)8.0%11.2%11.0%10.4%16.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bodal Chemicals ($BODALCHEM)-1.3%3.3%39.0%38.3%-
Elantas Beck India ($ELANTAS)20.4%33.9%31.0%36.6%-
Alkyl Amines Chemicals ($ALKYLAMINE)16.0%18.7%25.0%23.7%-
Transpek Industry ($TRANSPEK)-1.7%14.2%11.0%17.8%-
Balaji Amines ($BALAMINES)19.3%16.1%15.6%16.5%-
 
Median (60 companies)9.0%9.5%8.9%7.9%3.5%
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)15.9%19.1%17.2%17.9%19.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Iol Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals ($IOLCP)5.8x4.5x3.7x35.4x8.8x
India Glycols ($INDIAGLYCO)4.8x3.7x8.5x14.2x-
Godrej Industries ($GODREJIND)9.9x5.7x7.9x10.7x-
Kanoria Chemicals & Industries ($KANORICHEM)5.2x9.6x3.5x9.4x-
Garware Polyester ($GARWARPOLY)2.2x3.8x4.0x5.2x-
 
Median (37 companies)2.6x3.2x0.8x0.9x0.0x
Aarti Industries ($AARTIIND)2.4x2.3x2.5x2.5x2.2x