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Jindal Steel & Power Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 7.2x from 7.7x to 14.9x in 2016 and Debt increased on 2.9%

04-05-2016 • About Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL) • By InTwits

Jindal Steel & Power reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Jindal Steel & Power has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 39.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹39,500m in FY2016, ₹51,012m in FY2015, ₹134,184m in FY2014, ₹94,313m in FY2013, ₹62,214m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 0.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 14.9x while industry average is 12.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 6.5%. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 12.6 pp from 29.8% to 17.2% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin followed a declining trend at -4.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.9 pp from -6.6% to -10.5% in FY2016. Net Income margin declined at -8.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Jindal Steel & Power's CAPEX/Revenue was 21.8% in FY2016. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 25.8 pp from 47.6% in FY2013 to 21.8% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 39.2%. Battling declining revenue Jindal Steel & Power made large investments to CAPEX (127% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2014 at 69.6% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (0.4%) and negative ROE (-9.7%). ROIC decreased on 4.2 pp from 4.6% to 0.42% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 3.9 pp from -5.9% to -9.7% in FY2016. ROIC declined at -3.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a declining trend at -8.9 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 14.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 15.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 7.2x from 7.7x to 14.9x in FY2016. Debt increased on 2.9% while cash dropped on 45.9%. Net Debt/EBITDA grew at 2.8x per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Jindal Steel & Power has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 5.8% of short term debt.

Management team


The company's CEO Ravi K Uppal has spent 8 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue182,086198,068192,863193,591181,049-6.5%
EBITDA68,30660,48554,25957,60131,057-46.1%
Net Income39,64929,10119,104-12,781-19,020
Balance Sheet
Cash1,3271,8789,49811,2906,111-45.9%
Short Term Debt59,11292,165106,319101,045104,5473.5%
Long Term Debt111,796154,016259,003353,996363,6172.7%
Cash flow
Capex62,21494,313134,18451,01239,500-22.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth38.9%8.8%-2.6%0.4%-6.5%
EBITDA growth7.9%-11.4%-10.3%6.2%-46.1%

EBITDA Margin37.5%30.5%28.1%29.8%17.2%-12.6%
Net Income Margin21.8%14.7%9.9%-6.6%-10.5%-3.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue34.2%47.6%69.6%26.4%21.8%-4.5%

ROIC14.9%9.7%6.3%4.6%0.4%-4.2%
ROE24.6%14.8%8.7%-5.9%-9.7%-3.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.5x4.0x6.6x7.7x14.9x7.2x

Peers in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products


Below you can find Jindal Steel & Power benchmarking vs. other companies in Iron & Steel/Interm.Products industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Uttam Galva Steels ($UTTAMSTL)12.0%11.0%-13.2%55.0%-
Modern Steels ($MDRNSTL)-2.6%-22.7%0.7%20.3%-
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)-1.5%59.1%1.1%15.0%-
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)0.9%-8.5%0.5%12.7%-
Vaswani Industries ($VASWANI)51.4%-2.1%5.6%12.6%-
 
Median (32 companies)14.6%3.2%3.4%-1.6%-18.4%
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)-8.8%-2.6%0.4%-6.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sarda Energy & Minerals ($SARDAEN)16.3%21.5%21.3%21.5%-
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)31.2%32.3%28.1%20.4%-
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)17.8%17.1%17.9%17.7%-
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-9.6%0.9%6.8%14.6%16.8%
Jai Corp ($JAICORPLTD)14.1%16.3%16.0%12.7%-
 
Median (29 companies)9.4%9.0%7.0%7.3%13.6%
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)37.5%30.5%28.1%29.8%17.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jayaswal Neco Industries ($JAYNECOIND)20.4%44.0%31.1%17.3%-
Steel Authority Of India ($SAIL)20.9%20.7%19.3%16.9%17.3%
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)47.2%44.0%50.4%16.2%-
Jsw Steel ($JSWSTEEL)11.9%14.7%11.3%12.7%-
Tata Steel ($TATASTEEL)9.1%11.6%11.1%9.8%9.6%
 
Median (17 companies)7.5%10.4%6.6%4.4%7.9%
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)34.2%47.6%69.6%26.4%21.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tata Metaliks ($TATAMETALI)-23.5%-3.7%19.9%57.4%42.6%
Pennar Industries ($PENIND)26.8%18.4%12.3%15.7%-
Maithan Alloys ($MAITHANALL)16.3%15.1%5.5%15.3%-
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries ($KIRLFER)19.1%16.8%12.4%14.7%15.9%
Gallantt Metal ($GALLANTT)8.7%11.7%8.5%11.7%-
 
Median (40 companies)6.8%5.5%5.5%5.4%9.0%
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)14.9%9.7%6.3%4.6%0.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Visa Steel ($VISASTEEL)20.1x-24.4x187.1x-
Ismt ($ISMTLTD)5.3x9.8x19.9x48.3x-
Kic Metaliks ($KAJARIR)9.2x3.0x18.2x19.8x-
Bhushan Steel ($BHUSANSTL)6.3x8.6x12.9x17.7x-
Prakash Industries ($PRAKASH)2.5x2.8x2.5x11.9x-
 
Median (26 companies)4.6x4.4x3.2x1.7x0.7x
Jindal Steel & Power ($JINDALSTEL)2.5x4.0x6.6x7.7x14.9x