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Tvs Motor Company EBITDA jumped on 26.9% and EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.77 pp from 5.9% to 6.7%

03-05-2016 • About Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR) • By InTwits

Tvs Motor Company reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tvs Motor Company is a growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 12.3%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 12.0% at FY2016 ROIC 20.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 6.7% in FY2016 vs. 5.9% in FY2015 vs. 6.6% in FY2012
  • Tvs Motor Company has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹5,520m in FY2016, ₹3,757m in FY2015, ₹2,844m in FY2014, ₹1,624m in FY2013, ₹4,671m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 20.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.4x while industry average is 0.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 12.3%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 15.2% to 16.8% in FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in FY2016. Net Income margin followed a growing trend at 0.34 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Tvs Motor Company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.8% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.6 pp from 2.2% in FY2013 to 4.8% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.9%. To fuel its fast growth the company invested a large share of EBITDA (71.8%) to CAPEX. During FY2012-FY2016 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2013 at 2.2% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (20.2%) and ROE (25.4%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 18.4% to 20.2% in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 26.4% to 25.4% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 1.8x to 1.4x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 2.5% while cash surged on 94.7%.

Tvs Motor Company has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 8.4% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue74,35275,10583,836102,558115,16312.3%
SG&A2,6933,27021.4%
EBITDA4,8885,3164,9206,0587,68526.9%
Net Income1,3231,9751,8633,2833,69312.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash77177096425349294.7%
Short Term Debt2,2242,2242,0995,5885,8284.3%
Long Term Debt8,4578,4575,1785,6035,087-9.2%
Cash flow
Capex4,6711,6242,8443,7575,52046.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth13.6%1.0%11.6%22.3%12.3%
EBITDA growth41.3%8.8%-7.4%23.1%26.9%

EBITDA Margin6.6%7.1%5.9%5.9%6.7%0.8%
SG&A, % of revenue2.6%2.8%0.2%
Net Income Margin1.8%2.6%2.2%3.2%3.2%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.3%2.2%3.4%3.7%4.8%1.1%

ROIC17.2%17.4%16.8%18.4%20.2%1.7%
ROE16.7%22.0%18.1%26.4%25.4%-1.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x1.9x1.3x1.8x1.4x-0.4x

Peers in 2/3 Wheelers


Below we provide Tvs Motor Company benchmarking against other companies in 2/3 Wheelers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bajaj Auto ($BAJAJ-AUTO)18.9%3.1%1.0%7.0%-
Scooters India ($SCOOTER)30.0%-8.8%-7.8%-13.1%-
 
Median (2 companies)24.5%-2.8%-3.4%-3.1%-
Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR)-1.0%11.6%22.3%12.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bajaj Auto ($BAJAJ-AUTO)19.6%18.7%21.1%19.5%-
Scooters India ($SCOOTER)-1.6%-3.4%1.0%4.7%-
Kinetic Engineering ($KINETICENG)----28.9%-
 
Median (3 companies)9.0%7.6%11.1%4.7%-
Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR)6.6%7.1%5.9%5.9%6.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bajaj Auto ($BAJAJ-AUTO)1.9%2.6%1.1%1.3%-
Scooters India ($SCOOTER)0.3%0.2%-0.6%-
 
Median (2 companies)1.1%1.4%1.1%1.0%-
Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR)6.3%2.2%3.4%3.7%4.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bajaj Auto ($BAJAJ-AUTO)64.1%48.7%42.8%35.5%-
Kinetic Engineering ($KINETICENG)-8.1%-14.9%---
Scooters India ($SCOOTER)--654.7%0.9%--
 
Median (3 companies)28.0%-14.9%21.8%35.5%-
Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR)17.2%17.4%16.8%18.4%20.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Scooters India ($SCOOTER)---26.5x0.0x-
Bajaj Auto ($BAJAJ-AUTO)-0.3x-0.1x-0.1x-0.1x-
 
Median (2 companies)-0.3x-0.1x-13.3x-0.1x-
Tvs Motor Company ($TVSMOTOR)2.0x1.9x1.3x1.8x1.4x