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IDFC Limited Net Income dropped on 155% and Revenue decreased on 6.8%

29-04-2016 • About IDFC Limited ($IDFC) • By InTwits

IDFC Limited reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • IDFC Limited has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹4,378m in FY2016, ₹441m in FY2015, ₹165m in FY2014, ₹90m in FY2013, ₹90m in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 2.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.3x while industry average is 2.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 6.8%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -9.0 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 81.7% to 83.5% in FY2016.

Net Income margin dropped on 27.9 pp from 17.6% to -10.3% in FY2016. Net Income margin followed a declining trend in FY2012-FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


IDFC Limited's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.8% in FY2016. IDFC Limited's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.7 pp from 0.11% in FY2013 to 4.8% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.8%. During FY2012-FY2016 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2013 at 0.11% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.5%) and negative ROE (-6.8%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.95 pp from 3.4% to 2.5% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 17.4 pp from 10.6% to -6.8% in FY2016. ROIC followed a declining trend at -0.62 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 ROE topped in FY2013 at 14.1% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.6x from 6.9x to 5.3x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 22.1% while cash jumped on 911%.

IDFC Limited has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (30,524.5%).

Management team


Bipin Gemani is a IDFC Limited's CFO. Bipin Gemani has spent 5 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


IDFC Limited ($IDFC) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue64,35081,48487,90097,22590,638-6.8%
EBITDA56,67373,03876,48979,42675,708-4.7%
Net Income15,54018,36218,02717,070-9,348-154.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash6,9812,6273,9043,00130,341911.1%
Short Term Debt73,51038,69464,643120,85899-99.9%
Long Term Debt298,372368,033393,201429,187428,135-0.2%
Cash flow
Capex90901654414,378893.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth30.4%26.6%7.9%10.6%-6.8%
EBITDA growth34.7%28.9%4.7%3.8%-4.7%

EBITDA Margin88.1%89.6%87.0%81.7%83.5%1.8%
Net Income Margin24.1%22.5%20.5%17.6%-10.3%-27.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.1%0.1%0.2%0.5%4.8%4.4%

ROIC4.8%5.0%4.3%3.4%2.5%-1.0%
ROE13.3%14.1%12.6%10.6%-6.8%-17.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.4x5.5x5.9x6.9x5.3x-1.6x

Peers in Finance (including NBFCs)


Below you can find IDFC Limited benchmarking vs. other companies in Finance (including NBFCs) industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)-11.7%-24.9%-7.1%188.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-21.6%0.4%-0.9%64.7%-
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)-62.8%-25.6%55.0%47.3%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)-12.8%25.9%27.0%-12.2%
Bajaj Finserv ($BAJAJFINSV)59.7%28.1%18.8%26.8%-
 
Median (23 companies)20.4%25.1%20.8%14.3%11.6%
IDFC Limited ($IDFC)-26.6%7.9%10.6%-6.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Microse India ($MICROSE)---101.1%-
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)94.0%96.4%96.4%96.1%-
Jsw Holdings ($JSWHL)---93.8%-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)97.2%97.3%96.7%93.3%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)96.1%95.4%92.3%92.7%91.4%
 
Median (48 companies)64.8%65.4%65.5%49.0%64.8%
IDFC Limited ($IDFC)88.1%89.6%87.0%81.7%83.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)1.0%1.3%4.5%7.3%-
Clarus Finance & Securities ($CLARUS)--6.9%5.8%-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)30.2%8.5%12.3%5.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)15.5%5.3%1.7%3.4%-
Bengal & Assam Company ($BENGALASM)15.9%4.5%1.2%2.1%-
 
Median (21 companies)1.0%0.8%1.1%0.7%0.6%
IDFC Limited ($IDFC)0.1%0.1%0.2%0.5%4.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-12.0%9.7%11.9%-
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)--4.1%6.6%-
Shriram City Union Finance ($SHRIRAMCIT)6.1%5.8%5.8%5.7%4.6%
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)-4.7%5.2%4.7%-
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)6.4%6.3%5.3%4.2%3.2%
 
Median (52 companies)3.6%4.4%3.8%4.2%3.8%
IDFC Limited ($IDFC)4.8%5.0%4.3%3.4%2.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)9.0x-10.8x8.9x-
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)14.2x11.2x11.3x8.8x-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)7.0x6.2x7.5x8.0x-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)8.3x8.0x7.5x8.0x-
Magma Fincorp ($MAGMA)7.7x8.5x7.0x7.7x-
 
Median (44 companies)4.4x3.6x2.9x0.0x6.5x
IDFC Limited ($IDFC)6.4x5.5x5.9x6.9x5.3x