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Dabur India Net Income surged on 17.5% and Revenue increased on 8.0%

28-04-2016 • About Dabur India ($DABUR) • By InTwits

Dabur India reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Dabur India is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 8.0%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 15.5% at FY2016 ROIC 29.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 18.0% in FY2016 vs. 16.8% in FY2015 vs. 16.2% in FY2012
  • Dabur India has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹2,811m in FY2016, ₹4,488m in FY2015, ₹9,924m in FY2014, ₹5,139m in FY2013, ₹6,186m in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 29.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.4x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Dabur India's Revenue increased on 8.0%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -4.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 6.6 pp from 6.1% to -0.47% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 0.43 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a growing trend at 0.54 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 13.6% to 14.8% in FY2016. Net Income margin stuck to a growing trend at 0.66 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.9% in FY2013 to 2.6% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.0%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -0.41 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (29.5%) and ROE (33.3%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 31.3% to 29.5% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 2.1 pp from 35.5% to 33.3% in FY2016. ROE declined at -2.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 0.5x to 0.4x in FY2016. Debt increased on 7.9% while cash jumped on 111%.

Dabur India has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 29.3% of short term debt.

Management team


The company's CEO is Sunil Duggal. Sunil Duggal has 19 years tenure with the company. Lalit Malik is a the company's CFO. Lalit Malik has spent 7 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


Dabur India ($DABUR) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue53,05461,69170,94478,27284,5408.0%
SG&A7,6689,63611,54812,80914,18710.8%
EBITDA8,5989,87811,56413,16415,19815.4%
Net Income6,4497,6349,13910,65812,52717.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash4,1431,1853,0846251,317110.7%
Short Term Debt3,9017,1774,4775,2304,497-14.0%
Long Term Debt7,2725,3992,6042,1063,41562.2%
Cash flow
Capex2,3272,4102,1542,6702,170-18.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth29.3%16.3%15.0%10.3%8.0%
EBITDA growth12.1%14.9%17.1%13.8%15.4%

EBITDA Margin16.2%16.0%16.3%16.8%18.0%1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue14.5%15.6%16.3%16.4%16.8%0.4%
Net Income Margin12.2%12.4%12.9%13.6%14.8%1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%3.9%3.0%3.4%2.6%-0.8%

ROIC29.4%28.7%30.8%31.3%29.5%-1.9%
ROE41.5%40.0%38.5%35.5%33.3%-2.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.8x1.2x0.3x0.5x0.4x-0.1x

Peers in Personal Products


Below we provide Dabur India benchmarking against other companies in Personal Products industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bajaj Corp ($BAJAJCORP)-28.2%10.7%22.9%6.2%
Marico ($MARICO)26.9%15.5%2.0%22.3%-
Emami ($EMAMILTD)16.6%16.9%7.2%21.8%-
Bliss Gvs Pharma ($BLISSGVS)-48.5%-13.1%17.0%-
Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care ($PGHH)29.4%29.9%21.5%13.9%-
 
Median (8 companies)22.4%22.8%9.6%15.4%6.2%
Dabur India ($DABUR)-16.3%15.0%10.3%8.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bajaj Corp ($BAJAJCORP)24.6%28.4%27.7%29.0%31.2%
Cupid ($CUPID)---28.9%-
Bliss Gvs Pharma ($BLISSGVS)27.2%28.1%20.9%25.7%-
Emami ($EMAMILTD)20.9%20.5%24.3%25.0%-
Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care ($PGHH)16.3%15.4%20.7%21.3%-
 
Median (10 companies)19.5%18.3%19.7%21.0%31.2%
Dabur India ($DABUR)16.2%16.0%16.3%16.8%18.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Colgate-Palmolive (India) ($COLPAL)3.8%4.9%9.0%7.5%-
Bliss Gvs Pharma ($BLISSGVS)8.7%5.0%16.7%7.0%-
Emami ($EMAMILTD)8.0%5.0%3.6%5.0%-
Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care ($PGHH)4.2%2.2%7.2%3.4%-
Cupid ($CUPID)---3.0%-
 
Median (9 companies)4.0%4.5%5.4%3.0%1.9%
Dabur India ($DABUR)4.4%3.9%3.0%3.4%2.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hindustan Unilever ($HINDUNILVR)99.9%114.4%133.0%133.9%-
Colgate-Palmolive (India) ($COLPAL)121.4%120.4%104.4%99.9%-
Bajaj Corp ($BAJAJCORP)-36.9%36.2%46.5%54.8%
Emami ($EMAMILTD)31.5%36.7%43.3%45.4%-
Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care ($PGHH)28.1%30.3%43.2%40.1%-
 
Median (10 companies)25.6%30.4%31.6%40.1%54.8%
Dabur India ($DABUR)29.4%28.7%30.8%31.3%29.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Godrej Consumer Products ($GODREJCP)1.6x1.7x1.5x1.7x-
Bliss Gvs Pharma ($BLISSGVS)0.0x1.1x1.9x1.4x-
Marico ($MARICO)1.5x1.3x0.9x0.3x-
Cupid ($CUPID)1.7x0.5x1.4x-0.1x-
Hindustan Unilever ($HINDUNILVR)-0.3x-0.1x-0.2x-0.2x-
 
Median (9 companies)0.2x-0.0x-0.2x-0.2x-0.2x
Dabur India ($DABUR)0.8x1.2x0.3x0.5x0.4x