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Coromandel International reports 31.4% EBITDA decline in 2016 and 0.91% Revenue growth

27-04-2016 • About Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL) • By InTwits

Coromandel International reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 8.7% in FY2016 vs. 12.8% in FY2015 vs. 10.8% in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 12.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.9x while industry average is 1.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.91%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.6 pp from 23.5% to 29.1% in FY2016. During FY2012-FY2016 EBITDA Margin topped in FY2013 at 16.3% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 0.55 pp from 5.0% to 4.4% in FY2016. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2013 at 7.2% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 Coromandel International had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.3%. Coromandel International's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.1 pp from 4.4% in FY2013 to 1.3% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (12.5%) and ROE (15.6%). ROIC decreased on 8.0 pp from 20.5% to 12.5% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 2.3 pp from 17.9% to 15.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.0x from 2.0x to 2.9x in FY2016. Debt decreased slightly on 1.3% while cash dropped on 26.4%.

Coromandel International has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 8.1% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Coromandel International's trades at EV/EBITDA 12.2x and P/E 18.4x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x.

Financial and operational results


Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue97,89259,99071,26980,79281,5230.9%
EBITDA10,5449,7589,98210,3807,124-31.4%
Net Income6,3884,3203,5654,0183,610-10.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash9,8472,1094,1952,4401,797-26.4%
Short Term Debt22,89718,49015,76022,21022,2870.3%
Long Term Debt5,86310,9692,669668306-54.3%
Cash flow
Capex2,6271,1359481,06111.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth199.6%-38.7%18.8%13.4%0.9%
EBITDA growth-5.3%-7.5%2.3%4.0%-31.4%

EBITDA Margin10.8%16.3%14.0%12.8%8.7%-4.1%
Net Income Margin6.5%7.2%5.0%5.0%4.4%-0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%1.6%1.2%1.3%0.1%

ROIC22.2%16.7%18.3%20.5%12.5%-8.0%
ROE29.3%18.8%15.9%17.9%15.6%-2.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.8x2.8x1.4x2.0x2.9x1.0x

Peers in Fertilizers


Below we provide Coromandel International benchmarking against other companies in Fertilizers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals ($CHAMBLFERT)32.6%8.8%8.6%9.3%-
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals ($GSFC)11.5%17.9%-13.4%-1.6%-
Basant Agro Tech (India) ($BASANTGL)63.9%5.3%7.7%-2.4%-
Khaitan Chemicals & Fertilizers ($KHAICHEM)41.2%-29.1%-14.7%-15.2%-
Rama Phosphates ($RAMAPHO)56.4%11.4%-13.9%-25.0%-
 
Median (5 companies)41.2%8.8%-13.4%-2.4%-
Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL)--38.7%18.8%13.4%0.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals ($GSFC)22.4%13.6%12.1%12.3%-
Khaitan Chemicals & Fertilizers ($KHAICHEM)11.0%6.8%9.2%10.5%-
Basant Agro Tech (India) ($BASANTGL)8.7%9.4%8.6%9.1%-
Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals ($CHAMBLFERT)13.2%10.7%10.6%8.2%-
Rama Phosphates ($RAMAPHO)11.2%7.7%0.2%0.1%-
 
Median (5 companies)11.2%9.4%9.2%9.1%-
Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL)10.8%16.3%14.0%12.8%8.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals ($GSFC)7.7%6.6%5.6%2.6%-
Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals ($CHAMBLFERT)1.6%1.2%1.7%2.0%-
 
Median (2 companies)1.8%4.3%3.6%2.3%-
Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL)-4.4%1.6%1.2%1.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals ($GSFC)27.1%14.2%9.2%10.2%-
Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals ($CHAMBLFERT)13.6%9.3%9.2%8.6%-
Kothari Industrial Corporation ($KOTIC)--5.5%---
Teesta Agro Industries ($TEEAI)-----
Rama Phosphates ($RAMAPHO)40.0%23.5%---
 
Median (7 companies)20.1%11.1%9.2%9.4%-
Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL)22.2%16.7%18.3%20.5%12.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals ($CHAMBLFERT)3.3x5.4x4.5x4.5x-
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals ($GSFC)-0.2x1.6x0.6x0.6x-
Basant Agro Tech (India) ($BASANTGL)3.9x3.8x0.0x0.0x-
Khaitan Chemicals & Fertilizers ($KHAICHEM)2.4x9.0x5.3x0.0x-
Rama Phosphates ($RAMAPHO)0.8x1.2x0.0x0.0x-
 
Median (5 companies)2.4x3.8x0.6x0.0x-
Coromandel International ($COROMANDEL)1.8x2.8x1.4x2.0x2.9x