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Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Net Income dropped on 15.4% and EBITDA Margin decreased on 4.7 pp from 67.5% to 62.7%

23-04-2016 • About Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN) • By InTwits

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services reported FY2016 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 8.8%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 26.0% at FY2016 ROIC 3.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 62.7% in FY2016 vs. 67.5% in FY2015 vs. 72.9% in FY2012
  • Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.9%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 8.1x while industry average is 2.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services's Revenue increased on 8.8%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -9.0 pp per annum in FY2012-FY2016. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 11.9% to 13.0% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -2.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.4 pp from 15.1% to 11.7% in FY2016. Net Income margin declined at -2.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.84%. Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2013 to FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.78%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2015 at 0.74%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.4%) while ROIC is low (3.2%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.00 pp from 4.2% to 3.2% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 3.8 pp from 16.2% to 12.4% in FY2016. ROIC declined at -0.85 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a declining trend at -2.9 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 8.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 8.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.1x from 7.0x to 8.1x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 16.5% while cash surged on 23.4%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2013 at 6.6x and was growing since that time.

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 4.4% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue29,08441,13053,00560,60865,9648.8%
EBITDA21,19530,16437,68540,88341,3721.2%
Net Income6,4359,2709,5449,1297,723-15.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,5543,6735,1534,9316,08323.4%
Short Term Debt47,35463,37176,392123,665137,02510.8%
Long Term Debt99,110138,154182,538168,652203,41220.6%
Cash flow
Capex41334941244755423.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth40.2%41.4%28.9%14.3%8.8%
EBITDA growth49.9%42.3%24.9%8.5%1.2%

EBITDA Margin72.9%73.3%71.1%67.5%62.7%-4.7%
Net Income Margin22.1%22.5%18.0%15.1%11.7%-3.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.4%0.8%0.8%0.7%0.8%0.1%

ROIC6.4%6.3%5.3%4.2%3.2%-1.0%
ROE23.1%24.4%19.3%16.2%12.4%-3.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.8x6.6x6.7x7.0x8.1x1.1x

Peers in Finance (including NBFCs)


Below you can find Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services benchmarking vs. other companies in Finance (including NBFCs) industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)-11.7%-24.9%-7.1%188.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-21.6%0.4%-0.9%64.7%-
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)-62.8%-25.6%55.0%47.3%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)-12.8%25.9%27.0%-12.2%
Bajaj Finserv ($BAJAJFINSV)59.7%28.1%18.8%26.8%-
 
Median (23 companies)23.2%24.4%19.8%13.3%3.6%
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)-41.4%28.9%14.3%8.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Microse India ($MICROSE)---101.1%-
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)94.0%96.4%96.4%96.1%-
Jsw Holdings ($JSWHL)---93.8%-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)97.2%97.3%96.7%93.3%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)96.1%95.4%92.3%92.7%91.4%
 
Median (48 companies)64.8%65.4%65.5%49.0%74.8%
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)72.9%73.3%71.1%67.5%62.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)1.0%1.3%4.5%7.3%-
Clarus Finance & Securities ($CLARUS)--6.9%5.8%-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)30.2%8.5%12.3%5.4%-
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)15.5%5.3%1.7%3.4%-
Bengal & Assam Company ($BENGALASM)15.9%4.5%1.2%2.1%-
 
Median (21 companies)0.6%0.7%1.1%0.7%0.3%
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)1.4%0.8%0.8%0.7%0.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Motilal Oswal Financial Services ($MOTILALOFS)-12.0%9.7%11.9%-
Sks Microfinance ($SKSMICRO)--4.1%6.6%-
Shriram City Union Finance ($SHRIRAMCIT)6.1%5.8%5.8%5.7%-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)-4.7%5.2%4.7%-
Bajaj Holdings & Investment ($BAJAJHLDNG)3.6%3.4%3.5%3.9%3.0%
 
Median (52 companies)3.6%4.4%3.8%3.9%3.0%
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)6.4%6.3%5.3%4.2%3.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Fortune Financial Services (India) ($FORTUNEF)9.0x-10.8x8.9x-
Pnb Gilts ($PNBGILTS)14.2x11.2x11.3x8.8x-
Srei Infrastructure Finance ($SREINFRA)7.0x6.2x7.5x8.0x-
Rural Electrification Corporation ($RECLTD)8.3x8.0x7.5x8.0x-
Magma Fincorp ($MAGMA)7.7x8.5x7.0x7.7x-
 
Median (44 companies)4.4x3.6x2.9x0.0x1.6x
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ($M&MFIN)6.8x6.6x6.7x7.0x8.1x