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Lic Housing Finance reports 19.5% Net Income growth in 2016 while 1.4 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 96.4% to 95.0%

18-04-2016 • About Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN) • By InTwits

Lic Housing Finance reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Lic Housing Finance is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 15.5%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 20.7% at FY2016 ROIC
  • Lic Housing Finance has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.2%.
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 9.3x while industry average is 8.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Lic Housing Finance's Revenue jumped on 15.5%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -3.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 96.4% to 95.0% in FY2016. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2015 at 96.4%.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in FY2016.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.18% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.14%. During FY2012-FY2016 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2014 at 0.081% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 9.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 9.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA increased on 0.1x from 9.3x to 9.3x in FY2016. Debt surged on 15.5% while cash surged on 33.5%. During FY2012-FY2016 Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2014 at 9.0x and was growing since that time.

Lic Housing Finance has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 15.1% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 11.4x and P/E 14.7x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x.

Management team


Sunita Sharma is a Lic Housing Finance's CEO. Sunita Sharma has spent 6 years with the company. Lic Housing Finance's CFO P Narayanan has spent 5 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue62,44677,34893,392108,121124,90615.5%
EBITDA58,33873,38989,823104,224118,68713.9%
Net Income9,19910,47513,18213,95616,67719.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash15,58714,16530,69029,87039,87133.5%
Short Term Debt112,959143,830163,943188,849263,60839.6%
Long Term Debt461,113562,679677,123805,186884,2459.8%
Cash flow
Capex360787618522320.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth28.1%23.9%20.7%15.8%15.5%
EBITDA growth32.8%25.8%22.4%16.0%13.9%

EBITDA Margin93.4%94.9%96.2%96.4%95.0%-1.4%
Net Income Margin14.7%13.5%14.1%12.9%13.4%0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.0%

ROE18.6%17.1%18.7%18.0%19.5%1.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA9.6x9.4x9.0x9.3x9.3x0.1x

Peers in Housing Finance


Below you can find Lic Housing Finance benchmarking vs. other companies in Housing Finance industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Can Fin Homes ($CANFINHOME)24.0%36.9%47.2%41.4%-
Housing Development Finance Corp ($HDFC)17.5%18.8%13.4%18.6%-
Gic Housing Finance ($GICHSGFIN)2.6%26.1%12.8%17.2%-
 
Median (3 companies)17.5%26.1%13.4%18.6%-
Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN)-23.9%20.7%15.8%15.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Can Fin Homes ($CANFINHOME)92.2%91.5%92.0%92.0%-
Gic Housing Finance ($GICHSGFIN)89.0%88.2%88.7%90.9%-
Housing Development Finance Corp ($HDFC)57.7%59.9%61.9%59.4%-
 
Median (3 companies)89.0%88.2%88.7%90.9%-
Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN)93.4%94.9%96.2%96.4%95.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Housing Development Finance Corp ($HDFC)0.5%0.5%0.6%1.3%-
Can Fin Homes ($CANFINHOME)0.5%1.2%0.6%0.7%-
Gic Housing Finance ($GICHSGFIN)0.4%0.3%0.1%0.1%-
 
Median (3 companies)0.5%0.5%0.6%0.7%-
Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN)0.6%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Housing Development Finance Corp ($HDFC)4.6%4.8%4.8%4.6%-
Can Fin Homes ($CANFINHOME)2.8%2.3%2.2%2.0%-
Gic Housing Finance ($GICHSGFIN)-----
 
Median (3 companies)3.7%3.5%3.5%3.3%-
Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN)-----


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Can Fin Homes ($CANFINHOME)8.7x9.8x9.9x9.8x-
Gic Housing Finance ($GICHSGFIN)9.1x8.0x8.3x8.6x-
Housing Development Finance Corp ($HDFC)6.5x5.9x6.2x6.3x-
 
Median (3 companies)8.7x8.0x8.3x8.6x-
Lic Housing Finance ($LICHSGFIN)9.6x9.4x9.0x9.3x9.3x