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Sayaji Hotels revenue dropped on 63.4% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from 17.0% to 19.5%

31-05-2015 • About Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL) • By InTwits

Sayaji Hotels reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Sayaji Hotels is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -63.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -2.5%
  • Sayaji Hotels has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 13.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 433 in FY2015, 483 in FY2014, 527 in FY2013, 458 in FY2012, 153 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,0502,4233,0173,9051,428-63.4%
EBITDA433532938663279-57.9%
Net Income4657-38713830-78.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash22136410110-90.1%
Short Term Debt632526497396305-23.0%
Long Term Debt9619641,112774613-20.8%
Cash flow
Capex153458527483433-10.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth26.3%18.2%24.5%29.4%-63.4%
EBITDA growth41.7%22.7%76.4%-29.3%-57.9%
EBITDA Margin21.1%21.9%31.1%17.0%19.5%2.5%
Net Income Margin2.2%2.4%-12.8%3.5%2.1%-1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.5%18.9%17.5%12.4%30.3%18.0%
ROIC10.2%13.1%9.4%14.2%1.3%-12.9%
ROE5.4%5.1%-40.0%14.7%2.8%-11.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.6x2.8x1.6x1.6x3.3x1.6x

Revenue and profitability


Sayaji Hotels's Revenue dropped on 63.4% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from 17.0% to 19.5% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 3.5% to 2.1% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Sayaji Hotels's CAPEX/Revenue was 30.3% in FY2015. The company showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 11.4 pp from 18.9% in FY2012 to 30.3% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 20.1%.Sayaji Hotels has spent a lot to CAPEX (155% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.31%) and ROE (2.82%). ROIC dropped on 12.9 pp from 14.2% to 1.3% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 11.9 pp from 14.7% to 2.8% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.6x from 1.6x to 3.3x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 21.6% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 90.1% in FY2015.

Valuation


Sayaji Hotels's trades at EV/EBITDA 6.7x and P/E 32.3x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Hotels


Below we provide Sayaji Hotels benchmarking against other companies in Hotels industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asian Hotels (West) ($AHLWEST)0.8%-0.2%3.1%96.5%
Sterling Holiday Resorts (India) ($STERLINH)69.9%50.6%21.3%26.2%
Royale Manor Hotels & Industries ($RAYALEMA)0.9%2.2%5.5%18.9%
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)47.6%105.7%54.3%16.5%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)12.4%4.4%5.3%7.9%
 
Median (14 companies)-45.1%14.9%8.6%5.5%4.1%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)18.2%24.5%29.4%-63.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jindal Hotels ($JINDHOT)37.6%
Benares Hotels ($BENARAS)33.6%
Fomento Resorts & Hotels ($FOMEHOT)27.9%
Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) ($ADVANIHOTR)25.9%
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)30.8%31.5%23.7%21.8%23.5%
 
Median (19 companies)25.3%21.7%22.6%21.0%20.5%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)21.1%21.9%31.1%17.0%19.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)60.3%30.8%60.2%37.2%36.1%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)20.4%26.0%26.5%15.4%18.0%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)18.9%13.6%12.0%7.1%9.0%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)31.7%24.3%17.7%13.1%7.5%
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)76.4%33.3%15.7%5.8%4.9%
 
Median (10 companies)27.3%30.8%22.1%8.8%4.8%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)7.5%18.9%17.5%12.4%30.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)6.0%5.3%14.5%22.6%24.1%
Advani Hotels & Resorts (India) ($ADVANIHOTR)15.9%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)4.5%5.5%4.5%5.8%6.3%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)20.1%13.4%22.2%16.3%6.3%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)8.1%6.4%4.3%2.7%3.8%
 
Median (27 companies)7.6%5.4%4.7%2.8%3.2%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)10.2%13.1%9.4%14.2%1.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hotel Leelaventure ($HOTELEELA)23.9x62.5x40.2x33.5x46.7x
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)9.1x28.4x11.0x15.4x24.8x
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)-0.1x-0.0x9.8x8.9x7.1x
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)3.4x4.3x4.6x6.0x5.5x
Tgb Banquets And Hotels ($TGBHOTELS)4.6x3.7x3.0x2.7x4.0x
 
Median (18 companies)1.8x1.8x2.3x0.9x0.1x
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)3.6x2.8x1.6x1.6x3.3x