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Moil EBITDA dropped on 24.8% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 19.4%

29-05-2015 • About Moil ($MOIL) • By InTwits

Moil reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Moil is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -19.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -2.7%
  • Moil has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 947 in FY2015, 763 in FY2014, 477 in FY2013, 418 in FY2012, 488 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 11.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Moil ($MOIL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue11,4008,9969,67110,2138,233-19.4%
EBITDA7,6954,3484,3675,5734,190-24.8%
Net Income5,8814,1084,3175,0964,280-16.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash1368032527,88928,2881.4%
Short Term Debt00000
Long Term Debt00000
Cash flow
Capex48841847776394724.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth20.9%-21.1%7.5%5.6%-19.4%
EBITDA growth5.2%-43.5%0.4%27.6%-24.8%
EBITDA Margin67.5%48.3%45.2%54.6%50.9%-3.7%
Net Income Margin51.6%45.7%44.6%49.9%52.0%2.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.3%4.6%4.9%7.5%11.5%4.0%
ROIC38.6%17.7%15.6%17.8%11.5%-6.3%
ROE30.9%18.0%16.6%17.3%13.2%-4.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.0x-0.0x-0.1x-5.0x-6.8x-1.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 19.4% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.4 pp from 1.4% to 4.8% in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased on 2.1 pp from 49.9% to 52.0% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Moil had CAPEX/Revenue of 11.5%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 6.9 pp from 4.6% in FY2012 to 11.5% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.15%) while ROIC is low (11.50%). ROIC decreased on 6.3 pp from 17.8% to 11.5% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 4.1 pp from 17.3% to 13.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash increased slightly on 1.4% in FY2015.

Valuation


Moil's trades at EV/EBITDA 3.0x and P/E 9.6x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 3.9x with the industry average at 4.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Moil benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ashapura Minechem ($ASHAPURMIN)2.7%18.3%40.3%61.8%
20 Microns ($20MICRONS)18.4%3.6%5.0%9.0%
 
Median (2 companies)10.5%11.0%22.7%35.4%
Moil ($MOIL)-21.1%7.5%5.6%-19.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ashapura Minechem ($ASHAPURMIN)33.8%11.7%17.1%16.6%15.5%
20 Microns ($20MICRONS)10.6%12.7%12.4%9.2%8.4%
Yantra Natural Resources ($YANTRA)4.2%
 
Median (3 companies)22.2%12.2%14.7%12.9%8.4%
Moil ($MOIL)67.5%48.3%45.2%54.6%50.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ashapura Minechem ($ASHAPURMIN)3.1%6.4%5.3%3.7%6.3%
Yantra Natural Resources ($YANTRA)0.0%
 
Median (2 companies)5.2%10.8%5.3%3.7%3.1%
Moil ($MOIL)4.3%4.6%4.9%7.5%11.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ashapura Minechem ($ASHAPURMIN)45.1%39.1%87.6%90.5%181.4%
Yantra Natural Resources ($YANTRA)0.1%
20 Microns ($20MICRONS)13.7%15.8%13.4%
 
Median (3 companies)29.4%27.4%50.5%90.5%90.7%
Moil ($MOIL)38.6%17.7%15.6%17.8%11.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ashapura Minechem ($ASHAPURMIN)2.0x5.7x2.9x1.4x0.5x
20 Microns ($20MICRONS)4.0x3.9x3.6x0.0x0.0x
Yantra Natural Resources ($YANTRA)-0.1x-17.9x-0.1x
 
Median (3 companies)2.0x5.7x3.6x0.0x0.0x
Moil ($MOIL)-0.0x-0.0x-0.1x-5.0x-6.8x